Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-10, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 25–15 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Mariota (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -3.90 total EPA, and +6.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Byrd (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+8.9% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (5:33) 11-P.Walker pass short left to 88-T.Marshall to ATL 38 for 43 yards (54-R.Evans).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Byrd · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.07 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Hodge · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.14 EPA/play
3. 3 L. Shenault · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +4.15 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.07 EPA/play
4. 4 D. London · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.46 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Smith · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.02 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.02 EPA/play
6. 6 P. Walker · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.68 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Blackshear · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.46 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Marshall · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.17 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — L. Shenault (Q2 34:43)
• Atlanta Falcons — D. London (M. Mariota pass) (Q3 21:20)
• Carolina Panthers — D. Foreman (Q3 16:56)
• Atlanta Falcons — K. Hodge (M. Mariota pass) (Q4 3:01)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q1 52:03)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q2 31:52)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q2 31:47)
• Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q2 30:03)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q4 9:26)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q4 0:14)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q4 0:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 3–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 28 (Q1 52:03) — (7:03) 4-E.Pineiro 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 13–3. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 41 (Q2 34:43) — (4:43) (Shotgun) 15-L.Shenault left end for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 34:34) — 4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 31 (Q2 31:52) — (1:52) 4-E.Pineiro 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the CAR 35 (Q2 31:47) — 4-E.Pineiro kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 15 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 7-Y.Koo 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 7 (Q3 21:20); Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 12 (Q3 16:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 33-D.Foreman right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 9–6. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 22 (Q4 9:26) — (9:26) 4-E.Pineiro 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 25 (Q4 3:01) — (3:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass deep left to 12-K.Hodge for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 19 (Q4 0:14) — (:14) 4-E.Pineiro 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the CAR 35 (Q4 0:10) — 4-E.Pineiro kicks 56 yards from CAR 35 to ATL 9. 40-K.Smith to ATL 20 for 11 yards (28-K.Taylor)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Carolina Panthers (Q3 20:33) — (5:33) 11-P.Walker pass short left to 88-T.Marshall to ATL 38 for 43 yards (54-R.Evans). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +3.37]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q1 50:53) — (5:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass deep right to 14-D.Byrd to CAR 46 for 19 yards (25-X.Woods). [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.72]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q3 27:21) — (12:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier left end pushed ob at CAR 19 for 9 yards (25-X.Woods). PENALTY on ATL-46-P.Hesse, Offensive Holding, 13 yards, enforced at CAR 28 - No Play. [WPA -7.7% · EPA -2.02]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 3:01) — (3:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass deep left to 12-K.Hodge for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +3.04]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q1 50:16) — (5:16) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short left to 12-K.Hodge to CAR 34 for 12 yards (8-J.Horn). [WPA +6.0% · EPA +1.24]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q2 34:43) — (4:43) (Shotgun) 15-L.Shenault left end for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.8% · EPA +4.53]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 20:33) — (5:33) 11-P.Walker pass short left to 88-T.Marshall to ATL 38 for 43 yards (54-R.Evans). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +3.37]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota sacked at ATL 19 for -7 yards (98-M.Haynes). [WPA -4.3% · EPA -3.14]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:25) — (4:25) 1-M.Mariota pass deep left intended for 8-K.Pitts INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Horn at CAR 37. 8-J.Horn ran ob at ATL 45 for 18 yards (84-C.Patterson). [WPA -5.3% · EPA -3.10]

Quarterback report card

M.Mariota led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Mariota (Atlanta Falcons) · 38 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +6.7% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -3.90 total EPA
• P.Walker (Carolina Panthers) · 17 dropbacks · 58.8% completion · -6.5% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -1.44 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Carolina Panthers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.01 vs -0.14), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Atlanta Falcons: 12 drives, -11.15 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, +0.62 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Byrd (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Mariota (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Walker (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q1 52:03 · ATL 28 · Score 0-3
   (7:03) 4-E.Pineiro 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
2. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 34:43 · ATL 41 · Score 0-9
   (4:43) (Shotgun) 15-L.Shenault left end for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 34:34 · ATL 15 · Score 0-10
   4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
4. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 31:52 · ATL 31 · Score 0-13
   (1:52) 4-E.Pineiro 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
5. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 31:47 · CAR 35 · Score 0-13
   4-E.Pineiro kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback.
6. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · CAR 15 · Score 3-13
   (:03) 7-Y.Koo 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 21:20 · CAR 7 · Score 9-13
   (6:20) 1-M.Mariota pass short middle to 5-D.London for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-25-X.Woods, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
8. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 16:56 · ATL 12 · Score 9-19
   (1:56) (Shotgun) 33-D.Foreman right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 9:26 · ATL 22 · Score 9-22
   (9:26) 4-E.Pineiro 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 3:01 · CAR 25 · Score 15-22
    (3:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass deep left to 12-K.Hodge for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 0:14 · ATL 19 · Score 15-25
    (:14) 4-E.Pineiro 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
12. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 0:10 · CAR 35 · Score 15-25
    4-E.Pineiro kicks 56 yards from CAR 35 to ATL 9. 40-K.Smith to ATL 20 for 11 yards (28-K.Taylor).