Arizona Cardinals vs. Green Bay Packers: 2012 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-04, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Arizona Cardinals, pulling away with a 31–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Skelton (Arizona Cardinals) paced the passing game, with -1.17 total EPA, and -10.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.06 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+12.1% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 83-T.Crabtree for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +9.06 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Crabtree · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.60 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.80 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Floyd · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +4.96 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
4. 4 Ja. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.57 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Roberts · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Fitzgerald · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +1.42 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +1.10 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.00 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 50:36)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Stephens-Howling (Q2 43:32)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 37:50)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q2 32:00)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Fitzgerald (J. Skelton pass) (Q3 23:30)
• Green Bay Packers — T. Crabtree (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 15:07)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 28:16)
• Arizona Cardinals — J. Feely (Q3 15:53)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ARI 13 (Q1 50:36) — (5:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q1 50:31).

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–7. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q2 43:32) — (13:32) 76-N.Potter reported in as eligible. 36-L.Stephens-Howling right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 43:26) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-9-D.Zastudil.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ARI 21 (Q2 37:50) — (7:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q2 37:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ARI 28 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 89-Ja.Jones for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q2 31:54) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ARI 15 (Q3 28:16) — (13:16) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the GB 31 (Q3 23:30) — (8:30) (Shotgun) 19-J.Skelton pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 23:21) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-9-D.Zastudil.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the GB 2 (Q3 15:53) — (:53) 3-J.Feely 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-9-D.Zastudil.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ARI 72 (Q3 15:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 83-T.Crabtree for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q3 15:00) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q3 15:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 83-T.Crabtree for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.1% · EPA +5.94]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:15) — (12:15) 2-M.Crosby 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. [WPA -10.5% · EPA -2.87]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right intended for 18-R.Cobb INTERCEPTED by 22-W.Gay at GB 49. 22-W.Gay pushed ob at GB 43 for 6 yards (80-D.Driver). The Replay Assistant challenged the pass [WPA -8.9% · EPA -4.50]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q2 44:53) — (14:53) 19-J.Skelton pass deep middle to 12-A.Roberts to GB 3 for 40 yards (29-C.Hayward). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.40]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 16:36) — (1:36) 36-L.Stephens-Howling right guard to GB 2 for no gain (76-M.Daniels, 50-A.Hawk). [WPA -6.7% · EPA -2.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q3 15:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 83-T.Crabtree for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.1% · EPA +5.94]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 8-T.Masthay punts 36 yards to ARI 10, Center-61-B.Goode. 21-P.Peterson MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by GB-24-J.Bush at ARI 2. The Replay Assistant challenged the kick touched ruling, and the play was [WPA +0.1% · EPA +5.62]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 29:03) — (14:03) 19-J.Skelton pass short right intended for 84-R.Housler INTERCEPTED by 93-E.Walden (29-C.Hayward) at ARI 19. 93-E.Walden to ARI 17 for 2 yards (84-R.Housler). [WPA -4.1% · EPA -4.91]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right intended for 18-R.Cobb INTERCEPTED by 22-W.Gay at GB 49. 22-W.Gay pushed ob at GB 43 for 6 yards (80-D.Driver). The Replay Assistant challenged the pass [WPA -8.9% · EPA -4.50]

Quarterback report card

J.Skelton led all passers in efficiency for Arizona Cardinals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Skelton (Arizona Cardinals) · 48 dropbacks · 47.9% completion · -10.3% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -1.17 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 36 dropbacks · 38.9% completion · -12.8% CPOE · +0.25 EPA/play · +9.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.08), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Arizona Cardinals: 13 drives, -7.08 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 15 drives, +5.39 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Skelton (ARI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 50:36 · ARI 13 · Score 0-6
   (5:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:31 · ARI 2 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. PENALTY on ARI-21-P.Peterson, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
3. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 43:32 · GB 1 · Score 6-7
   (13:32) 76-N.Potter reported in as eligible. 36-L.Stephens-Howling right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 43:26 · GB 2 · Score 7-7
   3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-9-D.Zastudil.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 37:50 · ARI 21 · Score 7-13
   (7:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 37:44 · ARI 2 · Score 7-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · ARI 28 · Score 7-20
   (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 89-Ja.Jones for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 31:54 · ARI 2 · Score 7-21
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
9. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 28:16 · ARI 15 · Score 7-24
   (13:16) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
10. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 23:30 · GB 31 · Score 13-24
    (8:30) (Shotgun) 19-J.Skelton pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 23:21 · GB 2 · Score 14-24
    3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-9-D.Zastudil.
12. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q3 15:53 · GB 2 · Score 17-24
    (:53) 3-J.Feely 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-9-D.Zastudil.
13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 15:07 · ARI 72 · Score 17-30
    (:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 83-T.Crabtree for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 15:00 · ARI 2 · Score 17-31
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.