FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Divisional · January 24, 2021 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers: 2020 Divisional Recap

Buccaneers defeat Packers 31–26 in Divisional

T.Brady led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 31–26 Divisional finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31 14–5 Winner
Final 31–26
Green Bay Packers 26 14–4
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
31–26
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21–10 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Brady
Game date
January 24, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • T.Brady 20/38 · 275 YDS · 3 TD +10.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 5 REC · 110 YDS +9.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Scotty Miller
    Scotty Miller 2 REC · 36 YDS · 1 TD +4.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling
    Marquez Valdes-Scantling 4 REC · 115 YDS · 1 TD +8.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Davante Adams
    Davante Adams 9 REC · 67 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 33/55 · 314 YDS · 3 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Green Bay Packers 31–26 in the Divisional of the 2020 NFL season on 2021-01-24, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+16.6% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In the Divisional of the 2020 NFL season on 2021-01-24, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 31–26 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +2.92 total EPA, and +4.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.77 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+16.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (13:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-C.Godwin to GB 20 for 52 yards (23-J.Alexander).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers71473031
Green Bay Packers010133026

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +10.77 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +9.86 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.10 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Valdes-Scantling · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +8.27 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.38 EPA/play
  4. 4 S. Miller · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.04 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +2.92 total EPA · 55 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. Gronkowski · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.54 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.54 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Lewis · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Brady — TB · Passing

T. Brady posted the highest total EPA (+10.77) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.28 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.98 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (14:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones to GB 32 for 2 yards (33-J.Whitehead). FUMBLES (33-J.Whitehead), RECOVERED by TB-45-D.White at GB 29. 45-D.White to GB 8 for 21 yards (62-L.Patrick;

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q1 56:04)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Valdes-Scantling (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 44:15)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — L. Fournette (Q2 42:33)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — S. Miller (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:08)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q3 28:58)
  • Green Bay Packers — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 24:33)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 15:26)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 35:02)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q4 4:46)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 2:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 15 (Q1 56:04) — (11:04) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 55:59) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–10. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 50 (Q2 44:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 44:07) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 20 (Q2 42:33) — (12:33) 73-J.Haeg reported in as eligible. 28-L.Fournette right end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 42:24) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 6 (Q2 35:02) — (5:02) 2-M.Crosby 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 39 (Q2 30:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 30:01) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 8 (Q3 28:58) — (13:58) 73-J.Haeg reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 28:54) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 8 (Q3 24:33) — (9:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 85-R.Tonyan for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 24:28) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q3 15:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 28 (Q4 4:46) — (4:46) 3-R.Succop 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 8 (Q4 2:09) — (2:09) 2-M.Crosby 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 43:20) — (13:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-C.Godwin to GB 20 for 52 yards (23-J.Alexander). [WPA +16.6% · EPA +4.69]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 44:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.1% · EPA +5.12]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 12:34) — (12:34) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Alexander at GB 3. 23-J.Alexander to GB 19 for 16 yards (14-C.Godwin). [WPA -13.4% · EPA -4.08]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 58:38) — (13:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 13-M.Evans to GB 33 for 27 yards (39-C.Sullivan). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +2.94]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +5.88]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 29:10) — (14:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones to GB 32 for 2 yards (33-J.Whitehead). FUMBLES (33-J.Whitehead), RECOVERED by TB-45-D.White at GB 29. 45-D.White to GB 8 for 21 [WPA -9.4% · EPA -5.98]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +5.88]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 44:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.1% · EPA +5.12]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 43:20) — (13:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 14-C.Godwin to GB 20 for 52 yards (23-J.Alexander). [WPA +16.6% · EPA +4.69]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 55 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +4.4% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +2.92 total EPA
  • T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 38 dropbacks · 52.6% completion · -2.5% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +10.77 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play+0.139+0.056
Offensive success rate46.8%48.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.284+0.053
Rush EPA/play-0.077+0.024
Defensive EPA/play-0.056-0.139
Defensive success rate51.8%53.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs +0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +4.78 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +10.98 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 56:04 · GB 15 · Score 6-0
    (11:04) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 55:59 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 44:15 · TB 50 · Score 7-6
    (14:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 44:07 · TB 15 · Score 7-7
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:33 · GB 20 · Score 13-7
    (12:33) 73-J.Haeg reported in as eligible. 28-L.Fournette right end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 42:24 · GB 15 · Score 14-7
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 35:02 · TB 6 · Score 14-10
    (5:02) 2-M.Crosby 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:08 · GB 39 · Score 20-10
    (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:01 · GB 15 · Score 21-10
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 28:58 · GB 8 · Score 27-10
    (13:58) 73-J.Haeg reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-C.Brate for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 28:54 · GB 15 · Score 28-10
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 24:33 · TB 8 · Score 28-16
    (9:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 85-R.Tonyan for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:28 · TB 15 · Score 28-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  14. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 15:26 · TB 2 · Score 28-23
    (:26) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 4:46 · GB 28 · Score 31-23
    (4:46) 3-R.Succop 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  16. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 2:09 · TB 8 · Score 31-26
    (2:09) 2-M.Crosby 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Green Bay Packers 31-26 in Divisional, 2020 on 2021-01-24.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31, Green Bay Packers 26 (TB 31-26 GB) in Divisional, 2020 on 2021-01-24.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Green Bay Packers 0; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Green Bay Packers 10; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Green Bay Packers 13; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Green Bay Packers 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31, Green Bay Packers 26.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q1 56:04) Green Bay Packers touchdown — M. Valdes-Scantling (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 44:15) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — L. Fournette (Q2 42:33) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — S. Miller (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:08) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q3 28:58) Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 24:33) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 15:26) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 35:02, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q4 4:46, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 2:09, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 60.0% completion, +4.4% CPOE, +0.05 EPA per dropback, +2.92 total passing EPA. T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 52.6% completion, -2.5% CPOE, +0.28 EPA per dropback, +10.77 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +10.77 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.98 EPA): (14:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones to GB 32 for 2 yards (33-J.Whitehead). FUMBLES (33-J.Whitehead), RECOVERED by TB-45-D.White at GB 29. 45-D.W. The biggest win-probability swing was +16.6%.

Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 5 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 31-26 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 13-5 Now 14-5 W

Green Bay Packers

Entered 14-3 Now 14-4 L