San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2019 Conf. Championship Recap

Game story

In the Conf. Championship of the 2019 NFL season on 2020-02-02, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 31–20 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +8.47 total EPA, and -2.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, Dam. Williams (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.10 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+20.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (3:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at SF 10 for 38 yards (20-J.Ward).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 Dam. Williams · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +9.10 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
2. 2 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +8.47 total EPA · 51 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Watkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.55 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Juszczyk · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.96 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.65 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +4.34 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Samuel · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +3.27 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Bourne · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.80 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
8. 8 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +1.26 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — P. Mahomes (Q1 45:36)
• San Francisco 49ers — K. Juszczyk (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q2 35:13)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Mostert (Q3 17:40)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (P. Mahomes pass) (Q4 6:17)
• Kansas City Chiefs — P. Mahomes (Q4 2:50)
• Kansas City Chiefs — unlisted player (Q4 1:20)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q1 53:02)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 39:36)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q3 24:34)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 20 (Q1 53:02) — (8:02) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q1 45:36) — (:36) 75-C.Erving reported in as eligible. 15-P.Mahomes right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 45:31) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the SF 13 (Q2 39:36) — (9:36) (Field Goal formation) 7-H.Butker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the KC 15 (Q2 35:13) — (5:13) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 44-K.Juszczyk for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 35:05) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the KC 24 (Q3 24:34) — (9:34) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q3 17:40) — (2:40) 31-R.Mostert right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 17:35) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 21–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q4 6:17) — (6:17) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 6:13) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q4 2:50); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 2:44) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SF 38 (Q4 1:20) — (1:20) 26-Dam.Williams left end for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 1:12) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 3:44) — (3:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at SF 10 for 38 yards (20-J.Ward). [WPA +20.5% · EPA +2.90]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 12:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Moore at SF 13. 33-T.Moore to SF 20 for 7 yards (14-S.Watkins). [WPA -15.8% · EPA -4.07]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:33) — (1:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 42 for -9 yards (55-F.Clark). [WPA -14.0% · EPA -3.02]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 2:50) — (2:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 26-Dam.Williams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the fie [WPA +13.5% · EPA +2.80]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 7:13) — (7:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill to SF 21 for 44 yards (20-J.Ward) [99-D.Buckner]. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +4.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 7:13) — (7:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill to SF 21 for 44 yards (20-J.Ward) [99-D.Buckner]. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +4.28]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 1:20) — (1:20) 26-Dam.Williams left end for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.9% · EPA +4.24]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 12:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Moore at SF 13. 33-T.Moore to SF 20 for 7 yards (14-S.Watkins). [WPA -15.8% · EPA -4.07]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 44:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep right intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 21-B.Breeland [64-M.Pennel] at KC 43. 21-B.Breeland ran ob at KC 44 for 1 yard. [WPA -6.2% · EPA -3.20]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 51 dropbacks · 51.0% completion · -2.3% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +8.47 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 35 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · -2.2% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.18 vs +0.06), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, +16.72 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, +4.57 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• Dam. Williams (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 53:02 · KC 20 · Score 3-0
   (8:02) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
2. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 45:36 · SF 1 · Score 3-6
   (:36) 75-C.Erving reported in as eligible. 15-P.Mahomes right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 45:31 · SF 15 · Score 3-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 39:36 · SF 13 · Score 3-10
   (9:36) (Field Goal formation) 7-H.Butker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 35:13 · KC 15 · Score 9-10
   (5:13) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 44-K.Juszczyk for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 35:05 · KC 15 · Score 10-10
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 24:34 · KC 24 · Score 13-10
   (9:34) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
8. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 17:40 · KC 1 · Score 19-10
   (2:40) 31-R.Mostert right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
9. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 17:35 · KC 15 · Score 20-10
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 6:17 · SF 1 · Score 20-16
    (6:17) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 6:13 · SF 15 · Score 20-17
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
12. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 2:50 · SF 5 · Score 20-23
    (2:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 26-Dam.Williams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and th
13. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 2:44 · SF 15 · Score 20-24
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
14. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 1:20 · SF 38 · Score 20-30
    (1:20) 26-Dam.Williams left end for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 1:12 · SF 15 · Score 20-31
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.