Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos: 2013 Conf. Championship Recap

Game story

In the Conf. Championship of the 2013 NFL season on 2014-02-02, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 43–8 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -11.68 total EPA, and +3.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.61 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-98.4% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: 44° F, Humidity: 73%, Wind: N 10 mph

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +16.61 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +8.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Kearse · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +6.04 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
4. 4 W. Welker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.94 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
5. 5 P. Harvin · Seattle Seahawks · Rushing · +3.74 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.87 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Lockette · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +1.03 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Anderson · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +0.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
8. 8 G. Tate · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +0.64 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Seattle Seahawks — M. Lynch (Q2 42:08)
• Seattle Seahawks — M. Smith (Q2 33:36)
• Seattle Seahawks — P. Harvin (Q3 30:00)
• Seattle Seahawks — J. Kearse (R. Wilson pass) (Q3 18:11)
• Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q3 15:03)
• Seattle Seahawks — D. Baldwin (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 11:55)

Field goals

• Seattle Seahawks — S. Hauschka (Q1 55:25)
• Seattle Seahawks — S. Hauschka (Q1 47:21)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 8–0. Seattle Seahawks registered a safety from the SEA 86 (Q1 59:53); Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the DEN 13 (Q1 55:25) — (10:25) 4-S.Hauschka 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the DEN 14 (Q1 47:21) — (2:21) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q2 42:08) — (12:08) 24-M.Lynch left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 42:00) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SEA 35 (Q2 33:36); Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 33:21) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The third quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–8. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the DEN 35 (Q3 30:00) — 5-M.Prater kicks 52 yards from DEN 35 to SEA 13. 11-P.Harvin for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 29:48) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the DEN 23 (Q3 18:11) — (3:11) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 15-J.Kearse for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 17:58) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the SEA 14 (Q3 15:03) — (:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos registered a safety from the SEA 2 (Q3 15:00) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 83-W.Welker is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 7–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the DEN 10 (Q4 11:55) — (11:55) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 89-D.Baldwin for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 11:45) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q3) — 44° F, Humidity: 73%, Wind: N 10 mph [WPA -98.4% · EPA -0.02]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch up the middle to SEA 24 for 1 yard (97-M.Jackson, 90-S.Phillips). [WPA -96.9% · EPA -0.20]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 33:36) — (3:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 27-K.Moreno INTERCEPTED by 53-M.Smith (56-C.Avril) at SEA 31. 53-M.Smith for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -8.4% · EPA -8.64]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 59:08) — (14:08) 11-P.Harvin left end pushed ob at DEN 31 for 30 yards (33-D.Ihenacho). End around. [WPA +7.2% · EPA +2.70]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 59:43) — (14:43) 24-M.Lynch up the middle to SEA 39 for 3 yards (92-S.Williams, 59-D.Trevathan). [WPA +6.1% · EPA -0.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 33:36) — (3:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 27-K.Moreno INTERCEPTED by 53-M.Smith (56-C.Avril) at SEA 31. 53-M.Smith for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -8.4% · EPA -8.64]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q3 30:00) — 5-M.Prater kicks 52 yards from DEN 35 to SEA 13. 11-P.Harvin for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +6.99]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 21:08) — (6:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas to SEA 21 for 23 yards (41-B.Maxwell). FUMBLES (41-B.Maxwell), RECOVERED by SEA-53-M.Smith at SEA 20. 53-M.Smith to SEA 27 for 7 [WPA -0.0% · EPA -4.17]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 49:26) — (4:26) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin to DEN 6 for 37 yards (24-C.Bailey). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +3.94]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 55 dropbacks · 61.8% completion · +3.1% CPOE · -0.21 EPA/play · -11.68 total EPA
• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 29 dropbacks · 62.1% completion · +4.8% CPOE · +0.57 EPA/play · +16.61 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Seattle Seahawks generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.26 vs -0.20), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Denver Broncos: 12 drives, -16.85 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Seattle Seahawks: 11 drives, +19.88 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• R. Wilson (SEA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Seattle Seahawks Safety (+2) — Q1 59:53 · SEA 86 · Score 2-0
   (14:53) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning Aborted. 66-M.Ramirez FUMBLES at DEN 14, recovered by DEN-27-K.Moreno at DEN -8. 27-K.Moreno tackled in End Zone, SAFETY (56-C.Av
2. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q1 55:25 · DEN 13 · Score 5-0
   (10:25) 4-S.Hauschka 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
3. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q1 47:21 · DEN 14 · Score 8-0
   (2:21) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
4. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 42:08 · DEN 1 · Score 14-0
   (12:08) 24-M.Lynch left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 42:00 · DEN 2 · Score 15-0
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
6. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 33:36 · SEA 35 · Score 21-0
   (3:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 27-K.Moreno INTERCEPTED by 53-M.Smith (56-C.Avril) at SEA 31. 53-M.Smith for 69 yards, TO
7. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 33:21 · DEN 2 · Score 22-0
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
8. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 30:00 · DEN 35 · Score 28-0
   5-M.Prater kicks 52 yards from DEN 35 to SEA 13. 11-P.Harvin for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 29:48 · DEN 2 · Score 29-0
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
10. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 18:11 · DEN 23 · Score 35-0
    (3:11) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 15-J.Kearse for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 17:58 · DEN 2 · Score 36-0
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
12. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 15:03 · SEA 14 · Score 36-6
    (:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Denver Broncos Safety (+2) — Q3 15:00 · SEA 2 · Score 36-8
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 83-W.Welker is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
14. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 11:55 · DEN 10 · Score 42-8
    (11:55) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 89-D.Baldwin for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 11:45 · DEN 2 · Score 43-8
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.