New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos: 2013 Divisional Recap

Game story

In the Divisional of the 2013 NFL season on 2014-01-19, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 26–16 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +19.55 total EPA, and +11.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +19.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (5:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas to NE 29 for 29 yards (32-D.McCourty).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +19.55 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +7.51 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.89 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Edelman · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.50 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Collie · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.61 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.02 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
7. 7 E. Decker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Vereen · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — J. Tamme (P. Manning pass) (Q2 37:55)
• Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q3 22:55)
• New England Patriots — J. Edelman (T. Brady pass) (Q4 9:30)
• New England Patriots — T. Brady (Q4 3:13)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 48:48)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 33:00)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q2 30:30)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q4 12:07)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q4 7:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NE 9 (Q1 48:48) — (3:48) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–3. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q2 37:55) — (7:55) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 37:50) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the DEN 29 (Q2 33:00) — (3:00) 3-S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NE 17 (Q2 30:30) — (:30) 5-M.Prater 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NE 3 (Q3 22:55) — (7:55) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 88-D.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q3 22:52) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–6. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NE 1 (Q4 12:07) — (12:07) 5-M.Prater 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the DEN 7 (Q4 9:30) — (9:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 9:26) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NE 36 (Q4 7:05) — (7:05) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the DEN 5 (Q4 3:13) — (3:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q1 50:52) — (5:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas to NE 29 for 29 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.03]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:15) — (2:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 11-J.Edelman to DEN 33 for 18 yards (32-T.Carter). [WPA +9.2% · EPA +2.37]
• New England Patriots (Q2 33:41) — (3:41) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at DEN 29 for -11 yards (91-R.Ayers). [WPA -6.1% · EPA -1.42]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 88-D.Thomas to DEN 36 for 26 yards (28-S.Gregory). [WPA +6.0% · EPA +1.74]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 43:31) — (13:31) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 83-W.Welker to DEN 33 for 14 yards (26-L.Ryan). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +2.21]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q3 17:30) — (2:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at DEN 39 for -10 yards (94-T.Knighton). [WPA -3.1% · EPA -3.82]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 0:34) — (:34) 18-P.Manning kneels to NE 13 for -1 yards. [EPA -3.75]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 50:52) — (5:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas to NE 29 for 29 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.03]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 40:31) — (10:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-K.Moreno right tackle to NE 11 for 28 yards (37-A.Dennard). [WPA +4.7% · EPA +2.86]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 46 dropbacks · 69.6% completion · +11.6% CPOE · +0.43 EPA/play · +19.55 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 43 dropbacks · 55.8% completion · +0.7% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +7.51 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Denver Broncos held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs +0.14), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Denver Broncos: 8 drives, +19.95 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 8 drives, +10.39 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Manning (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 48:48 · NE 9 · Score 0-3
   (3:48) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
2. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 37:55 · NE 1 · Score 0-9
   (7:55) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 37:50 · NE 2 · Score 0-10
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
4. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 33:00 · DEN 29 · Score 3-10
   (3:00) 3-S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
5. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:30 · NE 17 · Score 3-13
   (:30) 5-M.Prater 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
6. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 22:55 · NE 3 · Score 3-19
   (7:55) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 88-D.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 22:52 · NE 2 · Score 3-20
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
8. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 12:07 · NE 1 · Score 3-23
   (12:07) 5-M.Prater 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
9. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 9:30 · DEN 7 · Score 9-23
   (9:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 9:26 · DEN 2 · Score 10-23
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
11. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 7:05 · NE 36 · Score 10-26
    (7:05) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
12. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 3:13 · DEN 5 · Score 16-26
    (3:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.