FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Wild Card · January 14, 2024 · 11 min read

Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions: 2023 Wild Card Recap

Lions defeat Rams 24–23 in Wild Card

Matthew Stafford led Fantasy Impact as Lions prevailed in a 23–24 Wild Card finish.

Los Angeles Rams 23 10–8
Final 23–24
Detroit Lions 24 13–5 Winner
Winner
Detroit Lions
Final score
23–24
Halftime
Los Angeles Rams 17–21 Detroit Lions
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
Matthew Stafford
Game date
January 14, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 25/41 · 357 YDS · 2 TD +18.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Puka Nacua
    Puka Nacua 9 REC · 181 YDS · 1 TD +14.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Tutu Atwell
    Tutu Atwell 1 REC · 38 YDS · 1 TD +3.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • Jared Goff
    Jared Goff 22/30 · 255 YDS · 1 TD +11.2 Fantasy Impact
  • A.St.Brown +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Josh Reynolds
    Josh Reynolds 5 REC · 80 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Detroit Lions defeated the Los Angeles Rams 24–23 in the Wild Card of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-14, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+14.1% win probability) came in the second quarter when Los Angeles Rams swung the momentum.

In the Wild Card of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-14, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Los Angeles Rams, pulling away with a 24–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with +18.35 total EPA, and +6.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.35 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Los Angeles Rams changed the game: (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Los Angeles Rams31433023
Detroit Lions14730024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · Passing · +18.35 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  2. 2 P. Nacua · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +14.61 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Goff · Detroit Lions · Passing · +11.22 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  4. 4 A.St. Brown · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.64 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Reynolds · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.64 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Atwell · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +3.59 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.59 EPA/play
  7. 7 S. LaPorta · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.35 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Allen · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.19 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Stafford — LA · Passing

M. Stafford posted the highest total EPA (+18.35) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 41 counted snaps, they averaged +0.45 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.76 EPA) came from Los Angeles Rams: (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Detroit Lions — D. Montgomery (Q1 54:33)
  • Detroit Lions — J. Gibbs (Q1 46:35)
  • Los Angeles Rams — P. Nacua (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 43:32)
  • Detroit Lions — S. LaPorta (J. Goff pass) (Q2 37:16)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Atwell (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 34:11)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Maher (Q1 49:29)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Badgley (Q3 23:45)
  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Maher (Q3 17:36)
  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Maher (Q4 8:13)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 14–3. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q1 54:33) — (9:33) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q1 54:30) — 17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the DET 6 (Q1 49:29) — (4:29) 8-B.Maher 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the LA 10 (Q1 46:35) — (1:35) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q1 46:31) — 17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 14–7. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the DET 50 (Q2 43:32) — (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 43:24) — 8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the LA 2 (Q2 37:16) — (7:16) (Shotgun) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 37:12) — 17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the DET 38 (Q2 34:11) — (4:11) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 5-T.Atwell for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 34:02) — 8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the LA 36 (Q3 23:45) — (8:45) 17-M.Badgley 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the DET 9 (Q3 17:36) — (2:36) 8-B.Maher 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 3–0. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the DET 11 (Q4 8:13) — (8:13) 8-B.Maher 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 43:32) — (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.1% · EPA +4.76]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 6:36) — (6:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-P.Nacua pushed ob at LA 45 for 35 yards (6-I.Melifonwu). [WPA +11.5% · EPA +2.76]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 4:15) — (4:15) 42-E.Evans punts 31 yards to DET 13, Center-46-C.Tinker. 19-D.Peoples-Jones pushed ob at DET 17 for 4 yards (26-D.Shelley). [WPA -11.3% · EPA -0.66]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 34:11) — (4:11) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 5-T.Atwell for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.9% · EPA +3.59]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 4:24) — (4:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 20-R.Rivers. PENALTY on LA-79-R.Havenstein, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DET 34 - No Play. [WPA -10.4% · EPA -1.43]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 43:32) — (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.1% · EPA +4.76]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 34:11) — (4:11) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 5-T.Atwell for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.9% · EPA +3.59]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 45:05) — (:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 15-D.Robinson to LA 41 for 19 yards (29-K.Vildor) [54-A.McNeill]. [WPA +5.5% · EPA +3.12]
  • Detroit Lions (Q3 27:39) — (12:39) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to LA 46 for 30 yards (43-J.Johnson). [WPA +7.2% · EPA +3.11]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) · 41 dropbacks · 61.0% completion · +6.9% CPOE · +0.45 EPA/play · +18.35 total EPA
  • J.Goff (Detroit Lions) · 30 dropbacks · 73.3% completion · +10.8% CPOE · +0.37 EPA/play · +11.22 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles RamsDetroit Lions
Offensive EPA/play+0.212+0.165
Offensive success rate46.5%45.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.448+0.374
Rush EPA/play-0.158-0.096
Defensive EPA/play-0.165-0.212
Defensive success rate54.2%53.5%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Los Angeles Rams +0.21, Detroit Lions +0.17) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Detroit Lions: 8 drives, +11.86 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 8 drives, +15.07 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Stafford (LA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Goff (DET) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 54:33 · LA 1 · Score 0-6
    (9:33) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 54:30 · LA 15 · Score 0-7
    17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  3. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q1 49:29 · DET 6 · Score 3-7
    (4:29) 8-B.Maher 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  4. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 46:35 · LA 10 · Score 3-13
    (1:35) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 46:31 · LA 15 · Score 3-14
    17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  6. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 43:32 · DET 50 · Score 9-14
    (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 43:24 · DET 15 · Score 10-14
    8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  8. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 37:16 · LA 2 · Score 10-20
    (7:16) (Shotgun) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 37:12 · LA 15 · Score 10-21
    17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  10. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 34:11 · DET 38 · Score 16-21
    (4:11) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 5-T.Atwell for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 34:02 · DET 15 · Score 17-21
    8-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  12. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q3 23:45 · LA 36 · Score 17-24
    (8:45) 17-M.Badgley 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  13. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q3 17:36 · DET 9 · Score 20-24
    (2:36) 8-B.Maher 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  14. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q4 8:13 · DET 11 · Score 23-24
    (8:13) 8-B.Maher 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-42-E.Evans.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions?

The Detroit Lions beat the Los Angeles Rams 24-23 in Wild Card, 2023 on 2024-01-14.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions?

The final score was Los Angeles Rams 23, Detroit Lions 24 (LA 23-24 DET) in Wild Card, 2023 on 2024-01-14.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions?

Q1: Los Angeles Rams 3, Detroit Lions 14; Q2: Los Angeles Rams 14, Detroit Lions 7; Q3: Los Angeles Rams 3, Detroit Lions 3; Q4: Los Angeles Rams 3, Detroit Lions 0; Final: Los Angeles Rams 23, Detroit Lions 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions?

Detroit Lions touchdown — D. Montgomery (Q1 54:33) Detroit Lions touchdown — J. Gibbs (Q1 46:35) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — P. Nacua (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 43:32) Detroit Lions touchdown — S. LaPorta (J. Goff pass) (Q2 37:16) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Atwell (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 34:11) Los Angeles Rams field goal — B. Maher (Q1 49:29, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Badgley (Q3 23:45, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — B. Maher (Q3 17:36, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — B. Maher (Q4 8:13, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams), 61.0% completion, +6.9% CPOE, +0.45 EPA per dropback, +18.35 total passing EPA. J. Goff (Detroit Lions), 73.3% completion, +10.8% CPOE, +0.37 EPA per dropback, +11.22 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +18.35 on passing plays. across 41 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.76 EPA): (13:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-P.Nacua for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +14.1%.

Was Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Detroit Lions won 24-23 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 10-7 Now 10-8 L

Detroit Lions

Entered 12-5 Now 13-5 W