FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Wild Card · January 12, 2019 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Wild Card Recap

Chiefs defeat Colts 31–13 in Wild Card

Travis Kelce led Fantasy Impact as Chiefs prevailed in a 13–31 Wild Card finish.

Indianapolis Colts 13 11–7
Final 13–31
Kansas City Chiefs 31 13–4 Winner
Winner
Kansas City Chiefs
Final score
13–31
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 7–24 Kansas City Chiefs
Top passer
Patrick Mahomes
FantasyHQ MVP
Travis Kelce
Game date
January 12, 2019

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • D.Inman 4 REC · 55 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Casey Rogers
    Casey Rogers 5 REC · 30 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
  • N.Hines 3 CAR · 24 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce
    Travis Kelce 7 REC · 108 YDS +7.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Dam.Williams +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Trysten Hill
    Trysten Hill 1 CAR · 36 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Indianapolis Colts 31–13 in the Wild Card of the 2018 NFL season on 2019-01-12, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+7.5% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Kansas City Chiefs swung the momentum.

In the Wild Card of the 2018 NFL season on 2019-01-12, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 31–13 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -4.09 total EPA, and -1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.95 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+7.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (10:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at IND 20 for 34 yards (37-J.Wilcox). PENALTY on IND-37-J.Wilcox, Horse Collar Tackle, 10 yards, enforced at IND 20.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Indianapolis Colts0760013
Kansas City Chiefs141070031

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.95 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
  2. 2 Dam. Williams · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +6.49 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Inman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +3.17 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.17 EPA/play
  5. 5 Dar. Williams · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +2.18 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Rogers · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.56 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  7. 7 G. Dieter · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.24 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.24 EPA/play
  8. 8 N. Hines · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +0.69 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Kelce — KC · Receiving

T. Kelce posted the highest total EPA (+6.95) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Kansas City Chiefs's efficiency. Across 10 counted snaps, they averaged +0.70 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.83 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at KC 29 for -9 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), touched at KC 29, RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 32. 50-J.Houston to KC 32 for no gain (12-A.Luck).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Kansas City Chiefs — unlisted player (Q1 55:11)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (Q1 51:39)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Colquitt (Q2 36:04)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — P. Mahomes (Q2 31:46)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q4 5:37)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — unlisted player (Q4 2:32)

Field goals

  • Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 42:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 10 (Q1 55:11) — (10:11) (Shotgun) 26-Dam. Williams right tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 55:05) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 36 (Q1 51:39) — (6:39) 10-T.Hill left end for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 51:28) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–7. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the IND 21 (Q2 42:18) — (12:18) 7-H.Butker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 81 (Q2 36:04) — (6:04) 2-D.Colquitt punt is BLOCKED by 52-N.Goode, Center-41-J.Winchester, RECOVERED by IND-14-Z.Pascal at KC -2. TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 35:56) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q2 31:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 31:40) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–6. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the KC 29 (Q4 5:37) — (5:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the IND 6 (Q4 2:32) — (2:32) 31-Dar.Williams up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 2:23) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 55:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at IND 20 for 34 yards (37-J.Wilcox). PENALTY on IND-37-J.Wilcox, Horse Collar Tackle, 10 yards, enforced at IND 20. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +2.44]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 52:15) — (7:15) 26-Dam. Williams up the middle to IND 36 for 11 yards (35-P.Desir). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +2.62]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 16:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to KC 19 for -1 yards (53-D.Leonard). FUMBLES (53-D.Leonard), RECOVERED by IND-53-D.Leonard at KC 20. 53-D.Leonard to KC 20 for no gain [WPA -5.9% · EPA -5.37]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 15:55) — (:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at KC 29 for -9 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), touched at KC 29, RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 32. 50-J.Houston to KC 32 for no gain (12-A.Luck). [WPA -5.1% · EPA -5.83]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 36:04) — (6:04) 2-D.Colquitt punt is BLOCKED by 52-N.Goode, Center-41-J.Winchester, RECOVERED by IND-14-Z.Pascal at KC -2. TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -4.1% · EPA -5.25]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 15:55) — (:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at KC 29 for -9 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), touched at KC 29, RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 32. 50-J.Houston to KC 32 for no gain (12-A.Luck). [WPA -5.1% · EPA -5.83]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 16:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins to KC 19 for -1 yards (53-D.Leonard). FUMBLES (53-D.Leonard), RECOVERED by IND-53-D.Leonard at KC 20. 53-D.Leonard to KC 20 for no gain [WPA -5.9% · EPA -5.37]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 36:04) — (6:04) 2-D.Colquitt punt is BLOCKED by 52-N.Goode, Center-41-J.Winchester, RECOVERED by IND-14-Z.Pascal at KC -2. TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -4.1% · EPA -5.25]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 2:32) — (2:32) 31-Dar.Williams up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.2% · EPA +3.76]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 51 dropbacks · 52.9% completion · -1.6% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -4.09 total EPA
  • A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 42 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · -9.8% CPOE · -0.30 EPA/play · -12.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsKansas City Chiefs
Offensive EPA/play-0.230+0.046
Offensive success rate43.1%47.1%
Pass EPA/play-0.299-0.080
Rush EPA/play+0.003+0.297
Defensive EPA/play-0.046+0.230
Defensive success rate52.9%56.9%

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.23), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -16.54 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, +4.65 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Luck (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 55:11 · IND 10 · Score 0-6
    (10:11) (Shotgun) 26-Dam. Williams right tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 55:05 · IND 15 · Score 0-7
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 51:39 · IND 36 · Score 0-13
    (6:39) 10-T.Hill left end for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 51:28 · IND 15 · Score 0-14
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  5. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 42:18 · IND 21 · Score 0-17
    (12:18) 7-H.Butker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 36:04 · IND 81 · Score 6-17
    (6:04) 2-D.Colquitt punt is BLOCKED by 52-N.Goode, Center-41-J.Winchester, RECOVERED by IND-14-Z.Pascal at KC -2. TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 35:56 · KC 15 · Score 7-17
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 31:46 · IND 4 · Score 7-23
    (1:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 31:40 · IND 15 · Score 7-24
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 5:37 · KC 29 · Score 13-24
    (5:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 2:32 · IND 6 · Score 13-30
    (2:32) 31-Dar.Williams up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 2:23 · IND 15 · Score 13-31
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Indianapolis Colts 31-13 in Wild Card, 2018 on 2019-01-12.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 13, Kansas City Chiefs 31 (IND 13-31 KC) in Wild Card, 2018 on 2019-01-12.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Kansas City Chiefs 14; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 7, Kansas City Chiefs 10; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 6, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Final: Indianapolis Colts 13, Kansas City Chiefs 31.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — unlisted player (Q1 55:11) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — T. Hill (Q1 51:39) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Colquitt (Q2 36:04) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — P. Mahomes (Q2 31:46) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q4 5:37) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — unlisted player (Q4 2:32) Kansas City Chiefs field goal — H. Butker (Q2 42:18, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs), 52.9% completion, -1.6% CPOE, -0.08 EPA per dropback, -4.09 total passing EPA. A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts), 45.2% completion, -9.8% CPOE, -0.30 EPA per dropback, -12.55 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

T. Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) led the game in total EPA with +6.95 on receiving plays. across 10 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.83 EPA): (:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at KC 29 for -9 yards (55-D.Ford). FUMBLES (55-D.Ford), touched at KC 29, RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 32. 50-J.Houston to KC 32 for no gain . The biggest win-probability swing was +7.5%.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 11-6 Now 11-7 L

Kansas City Chiefs

Entered 12-4 Now 13-4 W