Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2019 Divisional Recap

Game story

In the Divisional of the 2019 NFL season on 2020-01-19, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 37–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +11.46 total EPA, and +15.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Mostert (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.99 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (6:01) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Mostert · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +13.99 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +11.46 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.61 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Lazard · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.45 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.57 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Samuel · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +3.24 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Samuel · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.56 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Graham · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Mostert (Q1 51:01)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Mostert (Q2 39:17)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Mostert (Q2 30:50)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 23:49)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Mostert (Q3 19:56)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (Q4 14:45)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Sternberger (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 8:21)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 45:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 32:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q4 3:36)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 36 (Q1 51:01) — (6:01) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 50:55) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 20–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 36 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 9-R.Gould 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 9 (Q2 39:17) — (9:17) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 39:12) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 9 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 9-R.Gould 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 18 (Q2 30:50) — (:50) 31-R.Mostert up the middle for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 30:45) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 9 (Q3 23:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 33-A.Jones for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 13. 13-yac; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 23:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 22 (Q3 19:56) — (4:56) 31-R.Mostert left end for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 19:49) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q4 14:45) — (14:45) 33-A.Jones up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 8 (Q4 8:21) — (8:21) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Sternberger for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 8:13) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 24 (Q4 3:36) — (3:36) 9-R.Gould 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 51:01) — (6:01) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.1% · EPA +4.49]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 53:12) — (8:12) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep middle to 19-D.Samuel to GB 38 for 30 yards (26-D.Savage). Caught at SF 48. 14-yac [WPA +8.7% · EPA +2.11]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 35:45) — (5:45) 12-A.Rodgers FUMBLES (Aborted) at SF 25, RECOVERED by SF-99-D.Buckner at SF 25. 99-D.Buckner to SF 25 for no gain (80-J.Graham). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -4.80]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 48:17) — (3:17) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 29 for -13 yards (97-N.Bosa). [WPA -6.1% · EPA -2.09]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:40) — (:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at GB 36 for -8 yards (51-K.Fackrell). [WPA -5.4% · EPA -2.61]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q4 10:48) — (10:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to SF 22 for 65 yards (29-J.Tartt). Caught at SF 44. 22-yac [WPA +0.4% · EPA +5.30]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 35:45) — (5:45) 12-A.Rodgers FUMBLES (Aborted) at SF 25, RECOVERED by SF-99-D.Buckner at SF 25. 99-D.Buckner to SF 25 for no gain (80-J.Graham). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -4.80]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 51:01) — (6:01) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.1% · EPA +4.49]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 31:08) — (1:08) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 81-G.Allison INTERCEPTED by 41-E.Moseley at GB 39. 41-E.Moseley to GB 30 for 9 yards (13-A.Lazard). [WPA -1.3% · EPA -3.74]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 44 dropbacks · 70.5% completion · +15.3% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +11.46 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 12 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -3.3% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +2.44 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

San Francisco 49ers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.29 vs +0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, +1.48 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, +20.15 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• R. Mostert (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• J. Garoppolo (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 51:01 · GB 36 · Score 0-6
   (6:01) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 50:55 · GB 15 · Score 0-7
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · GB 36 · Score 0-10
   (15:00) 9-R.Gould 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 39:17 · GB 9 · Score 0-16
   (9:17) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 39:12 · GB 15 · Score 0-17
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
6. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · GB 9 · Score 0-20
   (2:00) 9-R.Gould 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 30:50 · GB 18 · Score 0-26
   (:50) 31-R.Mostert up the middle for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 30:45 · GB 15 · Score 0-27
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 23:49 · SF 9 · Score 6-27
   (8:49) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 33-A.Jones for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 13. 13-yac
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 23:44 · SF 15 · Score 7-27
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 19:56 · GB 22 · Score 7-33
    (4:56) 31-R.Mostert left end for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 19:49 · GB 15 · Score 7-34
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 14:45 · SF 1 · Score 13-34
    (14:45) 33-A.Jones up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 8:21 · SF 8 · Score 19-34
    (8:21) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Sternberger for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 8:13 · SF 15 · Score 20-34
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
16. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 3:36 · GB 24 · Score 20-37
    (3:36) 9-R.Gould 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.