FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Wild Card · January 16, 2023 · 10 min read

Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Wild Card Recap

Cowboys defeat Buccaneers 31–14 in Wild Card

Dak Prescott led Fantasy Impact as Cowboys prevailed in a 31–14 Wild Card finish.

Dallas Cowboys 31 13–5 Winner
Final 31–14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 8–10
Winner
Dallas Cowboys
Final score
31–14
Halftime
Dallas Cowboys 18–0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
Dak Prescott
Game date
January 16, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Cowboys

  • Dak Prescott
    Dak Prescott 25/37 · 316 YDS · 4 TD +25.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Dalton Schultz
    Dalton Schultz 7 REC · 95 YDS · 2 TD +9.1 Fantasy Impact
  • CeeDee Lamb
    CeeDee Lamb 4 REC · 68 YDS · 1 TD +7.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 6 REC · 74 YDS +3.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 7 REC · 74 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Ricky White III
    Ricky White III 4 REC · 36 YDS +2.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31–14 in the Wild Card of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-16, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-15.8% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In the Wild Card of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-16, the Dallas Cowboys took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 31–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 15 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -3.58 total EPA, and -13.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +25.25 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (14:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 17-R.Gage INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Kearse at DAL -9. Touchback.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Dallas Cowboys61267031
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0068014

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Prescott · Dallas Cowboys · Passing · +25.25 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Schultz · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +9.12 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Lamb · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +7.43 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.24 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Gallup · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +4.95 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.93 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Prescott · Dallas Cowboys · Rushing · +3.47 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Jones · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.25 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. White · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.91 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Prescott — DAL · Passing

D. Prescott posted the highest total EPA (+25.25) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Dallas Cowboys's efficiency. Across 37 counted snaps, they averaged +0.68 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.65 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (14:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 17-R.Gage INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Kearse at DAL -9. Touchback.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Dallas Cowboys — D. Schultz (D. Prescott pass) (Q1 51:34)
  • Dallas Cowboys — D. Prescott (Q2 36:18)
  • Dallas Cowboys — D. Schultz (D. Prescott pass) (Q2 30:34)
  • Dallas Cowboys — M. Gallup (D. Prescott pass) (Q3 25:11)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Jones (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:05)
  • Dallas Cowboys — C. Lamb (D. Prescott pass) (Q4 10:18)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q4 2:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Dallas Cowboys won the period 6–0. Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the TB 22 (Q1 51:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-D.Schultz for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The second quarter: Dallas Cowboys won the period 12–0. Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 36:18) — (6:18) 4-D.Prescott left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the TB 11 (Q2 30:34) — (:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-D.Schultz for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-L.David]..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q3 25:11); Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the DAL 30 (Q3 15:05) — (:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 6-J.Jones for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 8–7. Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the TB 18 (Q4 10:18) — (10:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Dallas Cowboys added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 10:13) — 19-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the DAL 8 (Q4 2:09) — (2:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the DAL 2 (Q4 2:04) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-T.Brady pass to 13-M.Evans is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 44:58) — (14:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 17-R.Gage INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Kearse at DAL -9. Touchback. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -5.65]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q1 59:47) — (14:47) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to TB 25, Center-45-M.Overton. 83-D.Thompkins to TB 35 for 10 yards (85-N.Brown). [WPA +8.3% · EPA -0.08]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q1 53:08) — (8:08) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 85-N.Brown to DAL 45 for 3 yards (31-A.Winfield, 54-L.David). PENALTY on TB-96-A.Hicks, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 45. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +1.85]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q1 51:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-D.Schultz for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +2.99]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q1 57:17) — (12:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 24 for -8 yards (50-V.Vea). [WPA -5.8% · EPA -2.23]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 44:58) — (14:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 17-R.Gage INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Kearse at DAL -9. Touchback. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -5.65]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q4 10:18) — (10:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.6% · EPA +4.39]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q4 2:04) — 5-J.Camarda kicks onside 14 yards from TB 35 to TB 49. RECOVERED by TB-25-G.Bernard. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -3.24]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q1 51:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-D.Schultz for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +2.99]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 70 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -13.0% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -3.58 total EPA
  • D.Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) · 37 dropbacks · 67.6% completion · +13.4% CPOE · +0.68 EPA/play · +25.25 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDallas CowboysTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.205-0.048
Offensive success rate47.0%40.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.682-0.051
Rush EPA/play-0.007-0.035
Defensive EPA/play+0.048-0.205
Defensive success rate59.6%53.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Dallas Cowboys generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.20 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Dallas Cowboys: 11 drives, +17.01 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, -4.50 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Dallas Cowboys leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • D. Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • D. Prescott (DAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q1 51:34 · TB 22 · Score 6-0
    (6:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-D.Schultz for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q2 36:18 · TB 1 · Score 12-0
    (6:18) 4-D.Prescott left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q2 30:34 · TB 11 · Score 18-0
    (:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-D.Schultz for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-L.David].
  4. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q3 25:11 · TB 2 · Score 24-0
    (10:11) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 13-M.Gallup for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. Th
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:05 · DAL 30 · Score 24-6
    (:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 6-J.Jones for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q4 10:18 · TB 18 · Score 30-6
    (10:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Dallas Cowboys XP (+1) — Q4 10:13 · TB 15 · Score 31-6
    19-B.Maher extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 2:09 · DAL 8 · Score 31-12
    (2:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q4 2:04 · DAL 2 · Score 31-14
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-T.Brady pass to 13-M.Evans is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Dallas Cowboys beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-14 in Wild Card, 2022 on 2023-01-16.

What was the final score of Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Dallas Cowboys 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 (DAL 31-14 TB) in Wild Card, 2022 on 2023-01-16.

What was the score by quarter in Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Dallas Cowboys 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Dallas Cowboys 12, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q3: Dallas Cowboys 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6; Q4: Dallas Cowboys 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8; Final: Dallas Cowboys 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Dallas Cowboys touchdown — D. Schultz (D. Prescott pass) (Q1 51:34) Dallas Cowboys touchdown — D. Prescott (Q2 36:18) Dallas Cowboys touchdown — D. Schultz (D. Prescott pass) (Q2 30:34) Dallas Cowboys touchdown — M. Gallup (D. Prescott pass) (Q3 25:11) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Jones (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:05) Dallas Cowboys touchdown — C. Lamb (D. Prescott pass) (Q4 10:18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q4 2:09) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 50.0% completion, -13.0% CPOE, -0.05 EPA per dropback, -3.58 total passing EPA. D. Prescott (Dallas Cowboys), 67.6% completion, +13.4% CPOE, +0.68 EPA per dropback, +25.25 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

D. Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) led the game in total EPA with +25.25 on passing plays. across 37 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.65 EPA): (14:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 17-R.Gage INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Kearse at DAL -9. Touchback.. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.8%.

Season records after this game

Dallas Cowboys

Entered 12-5 Now 13-5 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 8-9 Now 8-10 L