FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Conf. Championship · February 7, 2016 · 10 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos: 2015 Conf. Championship Recap

Broncos defeat Panthers 24–10 in Conf. Championship

Charles Brown led Fantasy Impact as Broncos prevailed in a 10–24 Conf. Championship finish.

Carolina Panthers 10 17–2
Final 10–24
Denver Broncos 24 15–4 Winner
Winner
Denver Broncos
Final score
10–24
Halftime
Carolina Panthers 7–13 Denver Broncos
Top passer
C. Newton
FantasyHQ MVP
Charles Brown
Game date
February 7, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • Charles Brown
    Charles Brown 4 REC · 80 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Newton 3 CAR · 19 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Ginn 4 REC · 74 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • A.Caldwell 1 REC · 22 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Eli Sanders 6 REC · 83 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Fowler +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Denver Broncos defeated the Carolina Panthers 24–10 in the Conf. Championship of the 2015 NFL season on 2016-02-07, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-14.0% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Carolina Panthers swung the momentum.

In the Conf. Championship of the 2015 NFL season on 2016-02-07, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 24–10 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 11 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Newton (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -12.56 total EPA, and -16.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Brown (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.09 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (6:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 4 for -11 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller) [58-V.Miller], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at CAR -1. TOUCHDOWN. V.Miller credited with 15-yd sack.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Carolina Panthers0703010
Denver Broncos10338024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Brown · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.09 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Caldwell · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.64 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.64 EPA/play
  3. 3 E. Sanders · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.52 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Fowler · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.05 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Ginn · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.96 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Funchess · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.94 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  8. 8 O. Daniels · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +0.36 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Brown — CAR · Receiving

C. Brown posted the highest total EPA (+4.09) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Carolina Panthers's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +0.58 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.63 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (6:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 4 for -11 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller) [58-V.Miller], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at CAR -1. TOUCHDOWN. V.Miller credited with 15-yd sack.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Denver Broncos — C. Newton (Q1 51:34)
  • Carolina Panthers — J. Stewart (Q2 41:28)
  • Denver Broncos — C. Anderson (Q4 3:13)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q1 55:47)
  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q2 37:01)
  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q3 23:22)
  • Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 10:26)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CAR 16 (Q1 55:47) — (10:47) 8-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the DEN 85 (Q1 51:34); Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 51:27) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–3. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q2 41:28) — (11:28) 28-J.Stewart left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 41:25); Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CAR 15 (Q2 37:01) — (7:01) 8-B.McManus 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CAR 12 (Q3 23:22) — (8:22) 8-B.McManus 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 8–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the DEN 21 (Q4 10:26) — (10:26) 9-G.Gano 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CAR 2 (Q4 3:13); Denver Broncos registered a safety from the CAR 2 (Q4 3:08) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 16-B.Fowler is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Play was from Shotgun Formation..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 51:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 4 for -11 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller) [58-V.Miller], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at CAR -1. TOUCHDOWN. V.Miller credited with 15-yd sack. [WPA -14.0% · EPA -5.63]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 34:35) — (4:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 10-E.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 94-K.Ealy at CAR 20. 94-K.Ealy to CAR 39 for 19 yards (10-E.Sanders). [WPA -12.8% · EPA -4.79]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 36:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 35-M.Tolbert right tackle to DEN 40 for 11 yards (26-D.Stewart). FUMBLES (26-D.Stewart), RECOVERED by DEN-59-D.Trevathan at DEN 40. [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.33]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 29:22) — (14:22) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 19-T.Ginn to DEN 35 for 45 yards (21-A.Talib). Caught at CAR 38. 27-yds YAC [WPA +9.5% · EPA +3.84]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 4:16) — (4:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 16 for -9 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller), touched at CAR 18, RECOVERED by DEN-43-T.Ward at CAR 9. 43-T.Ward to CAR 4 for 5 yards (74-M.Remmers). V [WPA -9.4% · EPA -5.56]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 51:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 4 for -11 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller) [58-V.Miller], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at CAR -1. TOUCHDOWN. V.Miller credited with 15-yd sack. [WPA -14.0% · EPA -5.63]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 4:16) — (4:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 16 for -9 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller), touched at CAR 18, RECOVERED by DEN-43-T.Ward at CAR 9. 43-T.Ward to CAR 4 for 5 yards (74-M.Remmers). V [WPA -9.4% · EPA -5.56]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 34:35) — (4:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 10-E.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 94-K.Ealy at CAR 20. 94-K.Ealy to CAR 39 for 19 yards (10-E.Sanders). [WPA -12.8% · EPA -4.79]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 36:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 35-M.Tolbert right tackle to DEN 40 for 11 yards (26-D.Stewart). FUMBLES (26-D.Stewart), RECOVERED by DEN-59-D.Trevathan at DEN 40. [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.33]

Quarterback report card

C.Newton led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 50 dropbacks · 36.0% completion · -16.8% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -12.56 total EPA
  • P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 30 dropbacks · 43.3% completion · -9.1% CPOE · -0.36 EPA/play · -10.73 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play-0.286-0.162
Offensive success rate30.9%40.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.272-0.358
Rush EPA/play-0.248-0.309
Defensive EPA/play+0.162+0.286
Defensive success rate59.7%69.1%

By the numbers

Denver Broncos held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.16 vs -0.29), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Carolina Panthers: 16 drives, -27.73 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Denver Broncos: 15 drives, -12.46 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • C. Brown (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • P. Manning (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 55:47 · CAR 16 · Score 0-3
    (10:47) 8-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  2. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 51:34 · DEN 85 · Score 0-9
    (6:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 4 for -11 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller) [58-V.Miller], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at CAR -1. TOUCHDOWN
  3. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 51:27 · CAR 15 · Score 0-10
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  4. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 41:28 · DEN 1 · Score 6-10
    (11:28) 28-J.Stewart left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 41:25 · DEN 15 · Score 7-10
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman. PENALTY on DEN-21-A.Talib, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
  6. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 37:01 · CAR 15 · Score 7-13
    (7:01) 8-B.McManus 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 23:22 · CAR 12 · Score 7-16
    (8:22) 8-B.McManus 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 10:26 · DEN 21 · Score 10-16
    (10:26) 9-G.Gano 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  9. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 3:13 · CAR 2 · Score 10-22
    (3:13) 22-C.Anderson up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling o
  10. Denver Broncos Safety (+2) — Q4 3:08 · CAR 2 · Score 10-24
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 16-B.Fowler is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Play was from Shotgun Formation.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos?

The Denver Broncos beat the Carolina Panthers 24-10 in Conf. Championship, 2015 on 2016-02-07.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 10, Denver Broncos 24 (CAR 10-24 DEN) in Conf. Championship, 2015 on 2016-02-07.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 0, Denver Broncos 10; Q2: Carolina Panthers 7, Denver Broncos 3; Q3: Carolina Panthers 0, Denver Broncos 3; Q4: Carolina Panthers 3, Denver Broncos 8; Final: Carolina Panthers 10, Denver Broncos 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos?

Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Newton (Q1 51:34) Carolina Panthers touchdown — J. Stewart (Q2 41:28) Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Anderson (Q4 3:13) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q1 55:47, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q2 37:01, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q3 23:22, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — G. Gano (Q4 10:26, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos?

C. Newton (Carolina Panthers), 36.0% completion, -16.8% CPOE, -0.25 EPA per dropback, -12.56 total passing EPA. P. Manning (Denver Broncos), 43.3% completion, -9.1% CPOE, -0.36 EPA per dropback, -10.73 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos?

C. Brown (Carolina Panthers) led the game in total EPA with +4.09 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.63 EPA): (6:34) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 4 for -11 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller) [58-V.Miller], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at CAR -1. TOUCHDOWN. V.Miller credited . The biggest win-probability swing was -14.0%.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 17-1 Now 17-2 L

Denver Broncos

Entered 14-4 Now 15-4 W