Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2012 Conf. Championship Recap

Game story

In the Conf. Championship of the 2012 NFL season on 2013-02-03, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 34–31 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +8.37 total EPA, and +1.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.71 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-30.8% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (1:50) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass incomplete short right to 15-M.Crabtree.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +11.71 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Boldin · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +9.00 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +8.37 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
4. 4 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +6.11 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Jones · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +5.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.85 EPA/play
6. 6 E. Dickson · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Crabtree · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.54 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Walker · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.41 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Baltimore Ravens — A. Boldin (J. Flacco pass) (Q1 55:42)
• Baltimore Ravens — D. Pitta (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 37:15)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Jones (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 31:58)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Jones (Q3 30:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Crabtree (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q3 22:28)
• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (Q3 20:05)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Kaepernick (Q4 10:04)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — D. Akers (Q1 49:03)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Akers (Q2 30:03)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Akers (Q3 18:14)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 12:57)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 4:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–3. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 13 (Q1 55:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 55:36) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 18 (Q1 49:03) — (4:03) 2-D.Akers 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 14–3. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 37:15) — (7:15) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 37:10) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 56 (Q2 31:58) — (1:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 12-J.Jones for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 47, YAC 9; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 31:45) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 9 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 2-D.Akers 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 17–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 35 (Q3 30:00) — 2-D.Akers kicks 73 yards from SF 35 to BAL -8. 12-J.Jones for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 29:49) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 31 (Q3 22:28) — (7:28) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep left to 15-M.Crabtree for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 16, YAC 15; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q3 22:20) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 6 (Q3 20:05) — (5:05) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. BAL-92-H.Ngata was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q3 19:59) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 16 (Q3 18:14) — (3:14) 2-D.Akers 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 8–6. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 1 (Q4 12:57) — (12:57) 9-J.Tucker 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 15 (Q4 10:04) — (10:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick scrambles left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 20 (Q4 4:23) — (4:23) 9-J.Tucker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; San Francisco 49ers registered a safety from the SF 92 (Q4 0:12) — (:12) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch right end ran ob in End Zone for -8 yards, SAFETY (29-C.Culliver)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass incomplete short right to 15-M.Crabtree. [WPA -30.8% · EPA -2.51]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore left end pushed ob at BAL 7 for 33 yards (20-E.Reed). [WPA +21.0% · EPA +2.52]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 42:04) — (12:04) (Shotgun) 23-L.James right end to BAL 25 for -1 yards (91-C.Upshaw, 24-C.Graham). FUMBLES (91-C.Upshaw), RECOVERED by BAL-97-A.Jones at BAL 25. 97-A.Jones to BAL 25 for no gain (46-D.Walker). [WPA -17.2% · EPA -5.14]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 10:04) — (10:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick scrambles left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.2% · EPA +2.55]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 19:17) — (4:17) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 27-R.Rice to BAL 24 for 1 yard (25-T.Brown). FUMBLES (25-T.Brown), RECOVERED by SF-25-T.Brown at BAL 24. 25-T.Brown to BAL 24 for no gain (88-D.Pitta). P [WPA -11.8% · EPA -4.38]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 30:00) — 2-D.Akers kicks 73 yards from SF 35 to BAL -8. 12-J.Jones for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.5% · EPA +6.74]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 31:58) — (1:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 12-J.Jones for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 47, YAC 9 [WPA +5.0% · EPA +6.07]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 42:04) — (12:04) (Shotgun) 23-L.James right end to BAL 25 for -1 yards (91-C.Upshaw, 24-C.Graham). FUMBLES (91-C.Upshaw), RECOVERED by BAL-97-A.Jones at BAL 25. 97-A.Jones to BAL 25 for no gain (46-D.Walker). [WPA -17.2% · EPA -5.14]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 19:17) — (4:17) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 27-R.Rice to BAL 24 for 1 yard (25-T.Brown). FUMBLES (25-T.Brown), RECOVERED by SF-25-T.Brown at BAL 24. 25-T.Brown to BAL 24 for no gain (88-D.Pitta). P [WPA -11.8% · EPA -4.38]

Quarterback report card

C.Kaepernick led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 38 dropbacks · 42.1% completion · +1.3% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +8.37 total EPA
• J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 38 dropbacks · 57.9% completion · +11.8% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +11.71 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Baltimore Ravens +0.12, San Francisco 49ers +0.10) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, +11.24 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, +7.94 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Flacco (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q1 55:42 · SF 13 · Score 6-0
   (10:42) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q1 55:36 · SF 2 · Score 7-0
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 49:03 · BAL 18 · Score 7-3
   (4:03) 2-D.Akers 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 37:15 · SF 1 · Score 13-3
   (7:15) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 37:10 · SF 2 · Score 14-3
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
6. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 31:58 · SF 56 · Score 20-3
   (1:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 12-J.Jones for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 47, YAC 9
7. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 31:45 · SF 2 · Score 21-3
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
8. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · BAL 9 · Score 21-6
   (:03) 2-D.Akers 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 30:00 · SF 35 · Score 27-6
   2-D.Akers kicks 73 yards from SF 35 to BAL -8. 12-J.Jones for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 29:49 · SF 2 · Score 28-6
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 22:28 · BAL 31 · Score 28-12
    (7:28) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep left to 15-M.Crabtree for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 16, YAC 15
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 22:20 · BAL 2 · Score 28-13
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
13. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 20:05 · BAL 6 · Score 28-19
    (5:05) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. BAL-92-H.Ngata was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful.
14. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 19:59 · BAL 2 · Score 28-20
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
15. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 18:14 · BAL 16 · Score 28-23
    (3:14) 2-D.Akers 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
16. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 12:57 · SF 1 · Score 31-23
    (12:57) 9-J.Tucker 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
17. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 10:04 · BAL 15 · Score 31-29
    (10:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick scrambles left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 4:23 · SF 20 · Score 34-29
    (4:23) 9-J.Tucker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
19. San Francisco 49ers Safety (+2) — Q4 0:12 · SF 92 · Score 34-31
    (:12) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch right end ran ob in End Zone for -8 yards, SAFETY (29-C.Culliver).