FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Divisional · January 20, 2013 · 11 min read

Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots: 2012 Divisional Recap

Ravens defeat Patriots 28–13 in Divisional

Joe Flacco led Fantasy Impact as Ravens prevailed in a 28–13 Divisional finish.

Baltimore Ravens 28 13–6 Winner
Final 28–13
New England Patriots 13 13–5
Winner
Baltimore Ravens
Final score
28–13
Halftime
Baltimore Ravens 7–13 New England Patriots
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
Joe Flacco
Game date
January 20, 2013

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • Joe Flacco
    Joe Flacco 21/40 · 249 YDS · 3 TD +13.1 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Boldin 5 REC · 60 YDS · 2 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Pitta 5 REC · 55 YDS · 1 TD +5.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • W.Welker 8 REC · 117 YDS · 1 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Hernandez 9 REC · 83 YDS +1.9 Fantasy Impact
  • S.Vereen 2 REC · 22 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Baltimore Ravens defeated the New England Patriots 28–13 in the Divisional of the 2012 NFL season on 2013-01-20, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-11.9% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In the Divisional of the 2012 NFL season on 2013-01-20, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 28–13 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -1.93 total EPA, and -6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.09 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (12:55) (Shotgun) 22-S.Ridley right tackle to NE 47 for 8 yards (31-B.Pollard). FUMBLES (31-B.Pollard), RECOVERED by BAL-97-A.Jones at NE 47. 97-A.Jones to NE 47 for no gain (62-R.Wendell). NE-22-S.Ri

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Baltimore Ravens07714028
New England Patriots31000013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +13.09 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Boldin · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +5.42 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Pitta · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +5.19 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  4. 4 W. Welker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.60 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Pierce · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +2.36 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Hernandez · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.90 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
  8. 8 B. Pierce · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.02 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Flacco — BAL · Passing

J. Flacco posted the highest total EPA (+13.09) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 40 counted snaps, they averaged +0.33 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.55 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (6:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 81-A.Hernandez INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Ellerbe (90-P.McPhee) at BAL 16. 59-D.Ellerbe to BAL 18 for 2 yards. The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Baltimore Ravens — R. Rice (Q2 39:33)
  • New England Patriots — W. Welker (T. Brady pass) (Q2 34:22)
  • Baltimore Ravens — D. Pitta (J. Flacco pass) (Q3 21:14)
  • Baltimore Ravens — A. Boldin (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 15:00)
  • Baltimore Ravens — A. Boldin (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 11:19)

Field goals

  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q1 51:25)
  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 30:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BAL 12 (Q1 51:25) — (6:25) 3-S.Gostkowski 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the NE 2 (Q2 39:33) — (9:33) 27-R.Rice left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-25-P.Chung was injured during the play.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 39:28) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q2 34:22) — (4:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 34:18) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BAL 7 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 3-S.Gostkowski 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the NE 5 (Q3 21:14) — (6:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q3 21:14) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 14–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the NE 3 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 14:56) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the NE 11 (Q4 11:19) — (11:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 81-A.Boldin for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 11:13) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 12:55) — (12:55) (Shotgun) 22-S.Ridley right tackle to NE 47 for 8 yards (31-B.Pollard). FUMBLES (31-B.Pollard), RECOVERED by BAL-97-A.Jones at NE 47. 97-A.Jones to NE 47 for no gain (62-R.Wendell). NE-22-S.Ri [WPA -11.9% · EPA -4.37]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +1.12]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 29:15) — (14:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin to NE 48 for 26 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +3.06]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 19:10) — (4:10) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 82-T.Smith to NE 44 for 23 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +9.0% · EPA +2.35]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 30:34) — (:34) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-A.Hernandez to BAL 10 for 17 yards (22-J.Smith). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +1.50]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 6:57) — (6:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 81-A.Hernandez INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Ellerbe (90-P.McPhee) at BAL 16. 59-D.Ellerbe to BAL 18 for 2 yards. The Replay Assistant chall [WPA -5.6% · EPA -4.55]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 12:55) — (12:55) (Shotgun) 22-S.Ridley right tackle to NE 47 for 8 yards (31-B.Pollard). FUMBLES (31-B.Pollard), RECOVERED by BAL-97-A.Jones at NE 47. 97-A.Jones to NE 47 for no gain (62-R.Wendell). NE-22-S.Ri [WPA -11.9% · EPA -4.37]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 1:13) — (1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 85-B.Lloyd INTERCEPTED by 29-C.Williams at BAL -5. Touchback. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -3.53]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 29:15) — (14:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin to NE 48 for 26 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +3.06]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 55 dropbacks · 52.7% completion · -6.1% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.93 total EPA
  • J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 40 dropbacks · 52.5% completion · +3.1% CPOE · +0.33 EPA/play · +13.09 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBaltimore RavensNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play+0.154-0.050
Offensive success rate47.8%54.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.327-0.035
Rush EPA/play+0.070-0.111
Defensive EPA/play+0.050-0.154
Defensive success rate45.8%52.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Baltimore Ravens generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, +13.84 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • New England Patriots: 12 drives, -4.79 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Flacco (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 51:25 · BAL 12 · Score 0-3
    (6:25) 3-S.Gostkowski 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
  2. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 39:33 · NE 2 · Score 6-3
    (9:33) 27-R.Rice left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-25-P.Chung was injured during the play.
  3. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 39:28 · NE 2 · Score 7-3
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  4. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 34:22 · BAL 1 · Score 7-9
    (4:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 34:18 · BAL 2 · Score 7-10
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
  6. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · BAL 7 · Score 7-13
    (:04) 3-S.Gostkowski 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
  7. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 21:14 · NE 5 · Score 13-13
    (6:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 21:14 · NE 2 · Score 14-13
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · NE 3 · Score 20-13
    (15:00) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 14:56 · NE 2 · Score 21-13
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  11. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 11:19 · NE 11 · Score 27-13
    (11:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 81-A.Boldin for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 11:13 · NE 2 · Score 28-13
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots?

The Baltimore Ravens beat the New England Patriots 28-13 in Divisional, 2012 on 2013-01-20.

What was the final score of Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots?

The final score was Baltimore Ravens 28, New England Patriots 13 (BAL 28-13 NE) in Divisional, 2012 on 2013-01-20.

What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots?

Q1: Baltimore Ravens 0, New England Patriots 3; Q2: Baltimore Ravens 7, New England Patriots 10; Q3: Baltimore Ravens 7, New England Patriots 0; Q4: Baltimore Ravens 14, New England Patriots 0; Final: Baltimore Ravens 28, New England Patriots 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots?

Baltimore Ravens touchdown — R. Rice (Q2 39:33) New England Patriots touchdown — W. Welker (T. Brady pass) (Q2 34:22) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — D. Pitta (J. Flacco pass) (Q3 21:14) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — A. Boldin (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 15:00) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — A. Boldin (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 11:19) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q1 51:25, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 52.7% completion, -6.1% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.93 total passing EPA. J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens), 52.5% completion, +3.1% CPOE, +0.33 EPA per dropback, +13.09 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots?

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +13.09 on passing plays. across 40 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.55 EPA): (6:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 81-A.Hernandez INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Ellerbe (90-P.McPhee) at BAL 16. 59-D.Ellerbe to BAL 18 for 2 yards. The Re. The biggest win-probability swing was -11.9%.

Season records after this game

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 12-6 Now 13-6 W

New England Patriots

Entered 13-4 Now 13-5 L