Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots: 2011 Divisional Recap

Game story

In the Divisional of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-22, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 23–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +7.71 total EPA, and +4.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.71 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-33.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (:15) 7-B.Cundiff 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +7.71 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +7.30 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Gronkowski · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.20 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Boldin · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +5.11 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
5. 5 L. Evans · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
6. 6 W. Welker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.44 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +2.16 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — B. Green-Ellis (Q2 40:40)
• Baltimore Ravens — D. Pitta (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 36:11)
• Baltimore Ravens — T. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q3 18:48)
• New England Patriots — T. Brady (Q4 11:33)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q1 50:52)
• Baltimore Ravens — B. Cundiff (Q2 44:23)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 33:04)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 24:09)
• Baltimore Ravens — B. Cundiff (Q3 15:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BAL 11 (Q1 50:52) — (5:52) 3-S.Gostkowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the NE 3 (Q2 44:23) — (14:23) 7-B.Cundiff 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BAL 7 (Q2 40:40) — (10:40) (Shotgun) 42-B.Green-Ellis right guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 40:35) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the NE 6 (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 36:03) — 7-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. PENALTY on NE, Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards, enforced between downs.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BAL 17 (Q2 33:04) — (3:04) 3-S.Gostkowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 10–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BAL 6 (Q3 24:09) — (9:09) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the NE 29 (Q3 18:48); Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q3 18:38) — 7-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the NE 21 (Q3 15:55) — (:55) 7-B.Cundiff 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q4 11:33) — (11:33) 77-N.Solder reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q4 11:29) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 0:15) — (:15) 7-B.Cundiff 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. [WPA -33.0% · EPA -2.72]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 7:32) — (7:32) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 84-E.Dickson INTERCEPTED by 55-B.Spikes at NE 31. 55-B.Spikes to 50 for 19 yards (44-V.Leach). [WPA -25.2% · EPA -5.22]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 0:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 81-A.Boldin pushed ob at NE 23 for 29 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +19.3% · EPA +2.03]
• New England Patriots (Q3 18:38) — 7-B.Cundiff kicks 69 yards from BAL 35 to NE -4. 39-D.Woodhead to NE 31 for 35 yards (15-L.Williams). FUMBLES (15-L.Williams), RECOVERED by BAL-37-E.Cook at NE 28. [WPA -17.8% · EPA -4.61]
• New England Patriots (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle intended for 18-M.Slater INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Smith (31-B.Pollard) at BAL -1. 22-J.Smith ran ob at BAL 38 for 39 yards. [WPA -17.8% · EPA -4.22]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 7:32) — (7:32) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 84-E.Dickson INTERCEPTED by 55-B.Spikes at NE 31. 55-B.Spikes to 50 for 19 yards (44-V.Leach). [WPA -25.2% · EPA -5.22]
• New England Patriots (Q3 18:38) — 7-B.Cundiff kicks 69 yards from BAL 35 to NE -4. 39-D.Woodhead to NE 31 for 35 yards (15-L.Williams). FUMBLES (15-L.Williams), RECOVERED by BAL-37-E.Cook at NE 28. [WPA -17.8% · EPA -4.61]
• New England Patriots (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle intended for 18-M.Slater INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Smith (31-B.Pollard) at BAL -1. 22-J.Smith ran ob at BAL 38 for 39 yards. [WPA -17.8% · EPA -4.22]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 18:48) — (3:48) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 82-T.Smith for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. [WPA +14.6% · EPA +3.99]

Quarterback report card

J.Flacco led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 43 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · +4.7% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +7.71 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 39 dropbacks · 56.4% completion · -1.4% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.16 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Baltimore Ravens +0.01, New England Patriots +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Baltimore Ravens: 11 drives, +1.35 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 12 drives, +2.01 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Flacco (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 50:52 · BAL 11 · Score 0-3
   (5:52) 3-S.Gostkowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
2. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 44:23 · NE 3 · Score 3-3
   (14:23) 7-B.Cundiff 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
3. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 40:40 · BAL 7 · Score 3-9
   (10:40) (Shotgun) 42-B.Green-Ellis right guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 40:35 · BAL 2 · Score 3-10
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
5. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 36:11 · NE 6 · Score 9-10
   (6:11) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 36:03 · NE 2 · Score 10-10
   7-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. PENALTY on NE, Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 33:04 · BAL 17 · Score 10-13
   (3:04) 3-S.Gostkowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
8. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 24:09 · BAL 6 · Score 10-16
   (9:09) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 18:48 · NE 29 · Score 16-16
   (3:48) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 82-T.Smith for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the pla
10. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 18:38 · NE 2 · Score 17-16
    7-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
11. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 15:55 · NE 21 · Score 20-16
    (:55) 7-B.Cundiff 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
12. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 11:33 · BAL 1 · Score 20-22
    (11:33) 77-N.Solder reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 11:29 · BAL 2 · Score 20-23
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.