FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Wild Card · January 16, 2010 · 9 min read

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2009 Wild Card Recap

Colts defeat Ravens 20–3 in Wild Card

Paul Manning led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 3–20 Wild Card finish.

Baltimore Ravens 3 10–8
Final 3–20
Indianapolis Colts 20 15–2 Winner
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
3–20
Halftime
Baltimore Ravens 3–17 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
Paul Manning
FantasyHQ MVP
Paul Manning
Game date
January 16, 2010

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • D.Mason 4 REC · 64 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Clayton 1 CAR · 8 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Flacco
    Joe Flacco 1 CAR · 2 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Paul Manning 30/49 · 233 YDS · 2 TD +10.9 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Wayne 8 REC · 63 YDS · 1 TD +5.1 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Collie 4 REC · 52 YDS · 1 TD +3.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Baltimore Ravens 20–3 in the Wild Card of the 2009 NFL season on 2010-01-16, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+10.2% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Baltimore Ravens swung the momentum.

In the Wild Card of the 2009 NFL season on 2010-01-16, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 20–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +10.90 total EPA, and +8.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.90 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+10.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (6:23) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 85-D.Mason to IND 18 for 27 yards (26-K.Hayden).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Baltimore Ravens300003
Indianapolis Colts31430020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +10.90 total EPA · 49 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Collie · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.15 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.59 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Addai · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Mason · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +0.86 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Clayton · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +0.74 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +0.74 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Manning — IND · Passing

P. Manning posted the highest total EPA (+10.90) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 49 counted snaps, they averaged +0.22 EPA per play.

The signature play (+3.71 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Collie (P. Manning pass) (Q2 32:06)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 30:07)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Stover (Q1 55:48)
  • Baltimore Ravens — B. Cundiff (Q1 48:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Stover (Q4 13:30)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 26 (Q1 55:48) — (10:48) 3-M.Stover 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the IND 6 (Q1 48:00) — (3:00) 7-B.Cundiff 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BAL 10 (Q2 32:06) — (2:06) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 32:00) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BAL 3 (Q2 30:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 30:03) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 16 (Q4 13:30) — (13:30) 3-M.Stover 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 51:23) — (6:23) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 85-D.Mason to IND 18 for 27 yards (26-K.Hayden). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +2.70]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:58) — (4:58) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 29-J.Addai pushed ob at BAL 31 for 4 yards (59-D.Ellerbe). [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.17]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 35:36) — (5:36) (Run formation) 29-J.Addai right tackle to BAL 35 for -2 yards (92-H.Ngata, 55-T.Suggs). [WPA -7.0% · EPA -1.74]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 55:54) — (10:54) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short right to 85-P.Garcon [94-J.Bannan]. [WPA -5.8% · EPA -1.76]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 38:06) — (8:06) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 44-D.Clark to BAL 41 for 7 yards (41-F.Walker). [WPA +5.7% · EPA +1.62]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.6% · EPA +3.71]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 11:12) — (11:12) 27-R.Rice up the middle to IND 28 for 20 yards (79-R.Brock). FUMBLES (79-R.Brock), RECOVERED by IND-55-C.Session at IND 20. 55-C.Session to IND 20 for no gain (85-D.Mason). [WPA -1.5% · EPA -3.42]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 29:23) — (14:23) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 27-R.Rice pushed ob at BAL 48 for 26 yards (27-J.Lacey) [93-D.Freeney]. [WPA +3.0% · EPA +3.24]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 51:23) — (6:23) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 85-D.Mason to IND 18 for 27 yards (26-K.Hayden). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +2.70]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 49 dropbacks · 61.2% completion · +8.0% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +10.90 total EPA
  • J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 38 dropbacks · 52.6% completion · -8.7% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -6.17 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBaltimore RavensIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play-0.198+0.030
Offensive success rate39.4%43.8%
Pass EPA/play-0.162+0.222
Rush EPA/play-0.261-0.368
Defensive EPA/play-0.030+0.198
Defensive success rate56.2%60.6%

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.20), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 11 drives, -14.07 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, +2.67 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Flacco (BAL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 55:48 · BAL 26 · Score 0-3
    (10:48) 3-M.Stover 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  2. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q1 48:00 · IND 6 · Score 3-3
    (3:00) 7-B.Cundiff 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 32:06 · BAL 10 · Score 3-9
    (2:06) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 32:00 · BAL 2 · Score 3-10
    3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 30:07 · BAL 3 · Score 3-16
    (:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 30:03 · BAL 2 · Score 3-17
    3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 13:30 · BAL 16 · Score 3-20
    (13:30) 3-M.Stover 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Baltimore Ravens 20-3 in Wild Card, 2009 on 2010-01-16.

What was the final score of Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was Baltimore Ravens 3, Indianapolis Colts 20 (BAL 3-20 IND) in Wild Card, 2009 on 2010-01-16.

What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q1: Baltimore Ravens 3, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q2: Baltimore Ravens 0, Indianapolis Colts 14; Q4: Baltimore Ravens 0, Indianapolis Colts 3; Final: Baltimore Ravens 3, Indianapolis Colts 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Collie (P. Manning pass) (Q2 32:06) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 30:07) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Stover (Q1 55:48, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — B. Cundiff (Q1 48:00, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Stover (Q4 13:30, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts?

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 61.2% completion, +8.0% CPOE, +0.22 EPA per dropback, +10.90 total passing EPA. J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens), 52.6% completion, -8.7% CPOE, -0.16 EPA per dropback, -6.17 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts?

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +10.90 on passing plays. across 49 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+3.71 EPA): (:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +10.2%.

Season records after this game

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 10-7 Now 10-8 L

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 14-2 Now 15-2 W