Game story
In the Wild Card of the 2020 NFL season on 2021-01-16, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 17–3 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with -1.70 total EPA, and -0.0% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, S. Diggs (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.51 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-23.0% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 S. Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +6.51 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
- 2 M. Brown · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.80 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
- 3 J. Dobbins · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.09 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
- 4 D. Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.47 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
- 5 M. Boykin · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +0.92 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
- 6 W. Snead · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +0.65 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
- 7 L. Jackson · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +0.52 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
- 8 D. Singletary · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.44 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
S. Diggs — BUF · Receiving
S. Diggs posted the highest total EPA (+6.51) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 11 counted snaps, they averaged +0.59 EPA per play.
The signature play (-10.80 EPA) came from Baltimore Ravens: (:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Buffalo Bills — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass)
- Buffalo Bills — T. Johnson
Field goals
- Buffalo Bills — T. Bass
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BAL 10 (Q1 48:01) — (3:01) 2-T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..
The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 16 (Q2 30:08) — (:08) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..
The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BAL 3 (Q3 24:33) — (9:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q3 24:29) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 9 (Q3 15:58); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q3 15:41) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q3 15:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q2 42:27) — (12:27) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 27-J.Dobbins pushed ob at BUF 35 for 31 yards (23-M.Hyde).
- Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:40) — (7:40) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q2 40:52) — (10:52) 9-J.Tucker 46 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q1 54:44) — (9:44) 8-L.Jackson up the middle to BUF 31 for no gain (90-Q.Jefferson). PENALTY on BUF-54-A.Klein, Defensive Offside, 6 yards, enforced at BUF 31 - No Play.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q3 15:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:40) — (7:40) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q2 40:52) — (10:52) 9-J.Tucker 46 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q4 3:21) — (3:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-T.Huntley pass deep right to 15-M.Brown pushed ob at BUF 19 for 29 yards (24-T.Johnson).
Quarterback report card
J.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 41 dropbacks · 56.1% completion · -0.0% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.70 total EPA
- L.Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) · 30 dropbacks · 46.7% completion · -1.0% CPOE · -0.33 EPA/play · -9.92 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Baltimore Ravens | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.291 | -0.154 |
| Offensive success rate | 37.4% | 37.1% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.331 | -0.042 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.018 | -0.337 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.154 | +0.291 |
| Defensive success rate | 62.9% | 62.6% |
By the numbers
Buffalo Bills held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.15 vs -0.29), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Baltimore Ravens: 10 drives, -26.48 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, -10.77 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- S. Diggs (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 48:01 · BAL 10 · Score 0-3
(3:01) 2-T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 30:08 · BUF 16 · Score 3-3
(:08) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. - Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 24:33 · BAL 3 · Score 3-9
(9:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 24:29 · BAL 15 · Score 3-10
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez. - Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 15:58 · BUF 9 · Score 3-16
(:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 15:41 · BAL 15 · Score 3-17
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?
The Buffalo Bills beat the Baltimore Ravens 17-3 in Wild Card, 2020 on 2021-01-16.
What was the final score of Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?
The final score was Baltimore Ravens 3, Buffalo Bills 17 (BAL 3-17 BUF) in Wild Card, 2020 on 2021-01-16.
What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?
Q1: Baltimore Ravens 0, Buffalo Bills 3; Q2: Baltimore Ravens 3, Buffalo Bills 0; Q3: Baltimore Ravens 0, Buffalo Bills 14; Final: Baltimore Ravens 3, Buffalo Bills 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?
Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q3 24:33) Buffalo Bills touchdown — T. Johnson (Q3 15:58) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q1 48:01, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 30:08, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?
J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 56.1% completion, -0.0% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.70 total passing EPA. L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens), 46.7% completion, -1.0% CPOE, -0.33 EPA per dropback, -9.92 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?
S. Diggs (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +6.51 on receiving plays. across 11 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.80 EPA): (:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -23.0%.
Season records after this game
Baltimore Ravens
Entered 12-5 Now 12-6 L
Buffalo Bills
Entered 14-3 Now 15-3 W
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