FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 26, 2010 · 10 min read

Washington Commanders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2010 Week 16 Recap

Commanders defeat Jaguars 20–17 in Week 16

Michael Thomas led Fantasy Impact as Commanders prevailed in a 20–17 Week 16 finish.

Washington Commanders 20 6–9 Winner
Final 20–17
Jacksonville Jaguars 17 8–7
Winner
Washington Commanders
Final score
20–17
Halftime
Washington Commanders 10–7 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
D. Garrard
FantasyHQ MVP
Michael Thomas
Game date
December 26, 2010

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • S.Moss 5 REC · 85 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Austin 1 REC · 6 YDS +0.5 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Sellers 1 CAR · 1 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Michael Thomas
    Michael Thomas 6 REC · 96 YDS · 1 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Garrard 5 CAR · 37 YDS · 1 TD +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Sims-Walker 1 REC · 31 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Washington Commanders defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 20–17 in Week 16 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-26, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-34.4% win probability) came in overtime when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-26, the Washington Commanders took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 20–17 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -7.10 total EPA, and -3.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Thomas (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.31 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-34.4% win probability) landed in overtime when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (13:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Barnes [95-C.Wilson] at JAX 22. 25-K.Barnes to JAX 14 for 8 yards (89-M.Lewis).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Washington Commanders10007320
Jacksonville Jaguars0737017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.31 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +4.27 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Sims-Walker · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.01 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Hill · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Jennings · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.99 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  6. 6 S. Moss · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +1.58 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Austin · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +0.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Sellers · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +0.42 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Thomas — JAX · Receiving

M. Thomas posted the highest total EPA (+5.31) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +0.59 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.57 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Washington Commanders — F. Davis (R. Grossman pass) (Q1 54:13)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Thomas (D. Garrard pass) (Q2 38:23)
  • Washington Commanders — R. Torain (Q4 12:10)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Garrard (Q4 2:51)

Field goals

  • Washington Commanders — G. Gano (Q1 58:44)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q3 20:01)
  • Washington Commanders — G. Gano (OT 12:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 10–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the JAX 30 (Q1 58:44) — (13:44) 4-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 54:13) — (9:13) 8-R.Grossman pass short left to 86-F.Davis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 54:07) — 4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the WAS 19 (Q2 38:23) — (8:23) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 80-M.Thomas for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the WAS 2 (Q2 38:18) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the WAS 16 (Q3 20:01) — (5:01) 10-J.Scobee 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) 46-R.Torain up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 12:07) — 4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the WAS 20 (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the WAS 2 (Q4 2:44) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

Overtime: Washington Commanders won the period 3–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the JAX 13 (OT 12:18) — (12:18) 4-G.Gano 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 13:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Barnes [95-C.Wilson] at JAX 22. 25-K.Barnes to JAX 14 for 8 yards (89-M.Lewis). [WPA -34.4% · EPA -4.28]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +23.0% · EPA +3.30]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) 46-R.Torain up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.3% · EPA +3.08]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 21:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 83-J.Hill pushed ob at WAS 22 for 37 yards (23-D.Hall). [WPA +19.8% · EPA +3.93]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:44) — (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard). [WPA -17.7% · EPA -6.57]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:44) — (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard). [WPA -17.7% · EPA -6.57]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 32:32) — (2:32) 8-R.Grossman pass deep left intended for 89-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Cox at JAX -6. Touchback. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 02:25. [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.97]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 13:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Barnes [95-C.Wilson] at JAX 22. 25-K.Barnes to JAX 14 for 8 yards (89-M.Lewis). [WPA -34.4% · EPA -4.28]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 21:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 83-J.Hill pushed ob at WAS 22 for 37 yards (23-D.Hall). [WPA +19.8% · EPA +3.93]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 44 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -3.5% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -7.10 total EPA
  • R.Grossman (Washington Commanders) · 41 dropbacks · 46.3% completion · -12.9% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -8.07 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatWashington CommandersJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play-0.056-0.128
Offensive success rate38.6%36.5%
Pass EPA/play-0.197-0.161
Rush EPA/play+0.031-0.180
Defensive EPA/play+0.128+0.056
Defensive success rate63.5%61.4%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Washington Commanders generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.06 vs -0.13), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 16 drives, -10.84 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 14 drives, -4.97 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Washington Commanders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Thomas (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Garrard (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • R. Grossman (WAS) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q1 58:44 · JAX 30 · Score 3-0
    (13:44) 4-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.
  2. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q1 54:13 · JAX 1 · Score 9-0
    (9:13) 8-R.Grossman pass short left to 86-F.Davis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q1 54:07 · JAX 2 · Score 10-0
    4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 38:23 · WAS 19 · Score 10-6
    (8:23) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 80-M.Thomas for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 38:18 · WAS 2 · Score 10-7
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 20:01 · WAS 16 · Score 10-10
    (5:01) 10-J.Scobee 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
  7. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q4 12:10 · JAX 1 · Score 16-10
    (12:10) 46-R.Torain up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q4 12:07 · JAX 2 · Score 17-10
    4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:51 · WAS 20 · Score 17-16
    (2:51) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 2:44 · WAS 2 · Score 17-17
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
  11. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — OT 12:18 · JAX 13 · Score 20-17
    (12:18) 4-G.Gano 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Washington Commanders beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-17 in Week 16, 2010 on 2010-12-26.

What was the final score of Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Washington Commanders 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 17 (WAS 20-17 JAX) in Week 16, 2010 on 2010-12-26.

What was the score by quarter in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Washington Commanders 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Washington Commanders 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q3: Washington Commanders 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q4: Washington Commanders 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q5: Washington Commanders 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Washington Commanders 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Washington Commanders touchdown — F. Davis (R. Grossman pass) (Q1 54:13) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Thomas (D. Garrard pass) (Q2 38:23) Washington Commanders touchdown — R. Torain (Q4 12:10) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — D. Garrard (Q4 2:51) Washington Commanders field goal — G. Gano (Q1 58:44, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 20:01, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — G. Gano (OT 12:18, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars), 50.0% completion, -3.5% CPOE, -0.16 EPA per dropback, -7.10 total passing EPA. R. Grossman (Washington Commanders), 46.3% completion, -12.9% CPOE, -0.20 EPA per dropback, -8.07 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

M. Thomas (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +5.31 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.57 EPA): (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard).. The biggest win-probability swing was -34.4%.

Was Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Washington Commanders won 20-17 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Washington Commanders

Entered 5-9 Now 6-9 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 8-6 Now 8-7 L