Game story
In Week 16 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-26, the Washington Commanders took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 20–17 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -7.10 total EPA, and -3.5% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Thomas (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.31 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-34.4% win probability) landed in overtime when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (13:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Barnes [95-C.Wilson] at JAX 22. 25-K.Barnes to JAX 14 for 8 yards (89-M.Lewis).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.31 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
- 2 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +4.27 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
- 3 M. Sims-Walker · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.01 EPA/play
- 4 J. Hill · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
- 5 R. Jennings · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.99 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
- 6 S. Moss · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +1.58 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
- 7 T. Austin · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +0.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
- 8 M. Sellers · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +0.42 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Thomas — JAX · Receiving
M. Thomas posted the highest total EPA (+5.31) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +0.59 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.57 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Washington Commanders — F. Davis (R. Grossman pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Thomas (D. Garrard pass)
- Washington Commanders — R. Torain
- Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Garrard
Field goals
- Washington Commanders — G. Gano
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee
- Washington Commanders — G. Gano
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 10–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the JAX 30 (Q1 58:44) — (13:44) 4-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 54:13) — (9:13) 8-R.Grossman pass short left to 86-F.Davis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 54:07) — 4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu..
The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the WAS 19 (Q2 38:23) — (8:23) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 80-M.Thomas for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the WAS 2 (Q2 38:18) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..
The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the WAS 16 (Q3 20:01) — (5:01) 10-J.Scobee 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..
The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) 46-R.Torain up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 12:07) — 4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the WAS 20 (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the WAS 2 (Q4 2:44) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..
Overtime: Washington Commanders won the period 3–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the JAX 13 (OT 12:18) — (12:18) 4-G.Gano 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 13:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Barnes [95-C.Wilson] at JAX 22. 25-K.Barnes to JAX 14 for 8 yards (89-M.Lewis).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Washington Commanders (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) 46-R.Torain up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 21:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 83-J.Hill pushed ob at WAS 22 for 37 yards (23-D.Hall).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:44) — (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:44) — (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard).
- Washington Commanders (Q2 32:32) — (2:32) 8-R.Grossman pass deep left intended for 89-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Cox at JAX -6. Touchback. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 02:25.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 13:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Barnes [95-C.Wilson] at JAX 22. 25-K.Barnes to JAX 14 for 8 yards (89-M.Lewis).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 21:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 83-J.Hill pushed ob at WAS 22 for 37 yards (23-D.Hall).
Quarterback report card
D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 44 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -3.5% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -7.10 total EPA
- R.Grossman (Washington Commanders) · 41 dropbacks · 46.3% completion · -12.9% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -8.07 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Washington Commanders | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.056 | -0.128 |
| Offensive success rate | 38.6% | 36.5% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.197 | -0.161 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.031 | -0.180 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.128 | +0.056 |
| Defensive success rate | 63.5% | 61.4% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Washington Commanders generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.06 vs -0.13), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 16 drives, -10.84 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Washington Commanders: 14 drives, -4.97 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Washington Commanders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- M. Thomas (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- D. Garrard (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- R. Grossman (WAS) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q1 58:44 · JAX 30 · Score 3-0
(13:44) 4-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu. - Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q1 54:13 · JAX 1 · Score 9-0
(9:13) 8-R.Grossman pass short left to 86-F.Davis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q1 54:07 · JAX 2 · Score 10-0
4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 38:23 · WAS 19 · Score 10-6
(8:23) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 80-M.Thomas for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 38:18 · WAS 2 · Score 10-7
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 20:01 · WAS 16 · Score 10-10
(5:01) 10-J.Scobee 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. - Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q4 12:10 · JAX 1 · Score 16-10
(12:10) 46-R.Torain up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q4 12:07 · JAX 2 · Score 17-10
4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:51 · WAS 20 · Score 17-16
(2:51) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 2:44 · WAS 2 · Score 17-17
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. - Washington Commanders FG (+3) — OT 12:18 · JAX 13 · Score 20-17
(12:18) 4-G.Gano 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-1-S.Paulescu.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The Washington Commanders beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-17 in Week 16, 2010 on 2010-12-26.
What was the final score of Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The final score was Washington Commanders 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 17 (WAS 20-17 JAX) in Week 16, 2010 on 2010-12-26.
What was the score by quarter in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Q1: Washington Commanders 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Washington Commanders 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q3: Washington Commanders 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q4: Washington Commanders 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q5: Washington Commanders 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Washington Commanders 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Washington Commanders touchdown — F. Davis (R. Grossman pass) (Q1 54:13) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Thomas (D. Garrard pass) (Q2 38:23) Washington Commanders touchdown — R. Torain (Q4 12:10) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — D. Garrard (Q4 2:51) Washington Commanders field goal — G. Gano (Q1 58:44, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 20:01, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — G. Gano (OT 12:18, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars), 50.0% completion, -3.5% CPOE, -0.16 EPA per dropback, -7.10 total passing EPA. R. Grossman (Washington Commanders), 46.3% completion, -12.9% CPOE, -0.20 EPA per dropback, -8.07 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
M. Thomas (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +5.31 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.57 EPA): (11:44) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at WAS 44. 22-C.Rogers to JAX 18 for 38 yards (9-D.Garrard).. The biggest win-probability swing was -34.4%.
Was Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?
Yes — the margin was 3 points. Washington Commanders won 20-17 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Washington Commanders
Entered 5-9 Now 6-9 W
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 8-6 Now 8-7 L