FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 4, 2020 · 10 min read

Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots: 2019 Week 18 Recap

Titans defeat Patriots 20–13 in Week 18

Blake Watson led Fantasy Impact as Titans prevailed in a 20–13 Week 18 finish.

Tennessee Titans 20 10–7 Winner
Final 20–13
New England Patriots 13 12–5
Winner
Tennessee Titans
Final score
20–13
Halftime
Tennessee Titans 14–13 New England Patriots
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
Blake Watson
Game date
January 4, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Titans

  • Derrick Henry
    Derrick Henry 35 CAR · 182 YDS · 1 TD +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Anthony Firkser
    Anthony Firkser 2 REC · 23 YDS · 1 TD +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Damien Lewis
    Damien Lewis 1 REC · 8 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • Blake Watson
    Blake Watson 3 REC · 38 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Burkhead 3 REC · 32 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Edelman 2 CAR · 12 YDS · 1 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tennessee Titans defeated the New England Patriots 20–13 in Week 18 of the 2019 NFL season on 2020-01-04, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-19.8% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2019 NFL season on 2020-01-04, the Tennessee Titans took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 20–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -2.92 total EPA, and -9.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Watson (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.8% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Tennessee Titans7760020
New England Patriots31000013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Watson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.07 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Henry · Tennessee Titans · Rushing · +3.34 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Burkhead · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.17 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Firkser · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Henry · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.58 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.58 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Edelman · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.42 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Lewis · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.50 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. White · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.47 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Watson — NE · Receiving

B. Watson posted the highest total EPA (+4.07) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +1.02 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.88 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tennessee Titans — A. Firkser (R. Tannehill pass) (Q1 50:44)
  • New England Patriots — J. Edelman (Q2 45:00)
  • Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q2 30:38)
  • Tennessee Titans — L. Ryan (Q4 0:15)

Field goals

  • New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q1 57:41)
  • New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q2 32:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 7–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the TEN 18 (Q1 57:41) — (12:41) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the NE 12 (Q1 50:44) — (5:44) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 86-A.Firkser for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 50:39) — 7-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the TEN 5 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 11-J.Edelman right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 44:57) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the TEN 3 (Q2 32:18) — (2:18) 2-N.Folk 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q2 30:38) — (:38) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 30:35) — 7-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The fourth quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 6–0. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the TEN 99 (Q4 0:15).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 0:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -19.8% · EPA -6.88]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 2:54) — (2:54) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 86-A.Firkser to TEN 26 for 11 yards (25-T.Brooks). [WPA +13.4% · EPA +1.22]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Harmon at NE 41. 21-D.Harmon ran ob at NE 41 for no gain. NE 21-Harmon 4th career postseason Int, ties Law [WPA -11.8% · EPA -3.01]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 4:51) — (4:51) 6-B.Kern punts 30 yards to NE 11, Center-48-B.Brinkley, out of bounds. [WPA -10.6% · EPA -0.49]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 50:44) — (5:44) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 86-A.Firkser for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.23]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 0:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -19.8% · EPA -6.88]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 50:44) — (5:44) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 86-A.Firkser for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.23]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Harmon at NE 41. 21-D.Harmon ran ob at NE 41 for no gain. NE 21-Harmon 4th career postseason Int, ties Law [WPA -11.8% · EPA -3.01]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 59:51) — (14:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 84-B.Watson to NE 46 for 21 yards (55-J.Brown). TEN-55-J.Brown was injured during the play. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +2.83]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 39 dropbacks · 51.3% completion · -9.7% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -2.92 total EPA
  • R.Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) · 20 dropbacks · 40.0% completion · -1.7% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTennessee TitansNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play+0.001-0.097
Offensive success rate44.9%37.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.005-0.075
Rush EPA/play+0.048-0.122
Defensive EPA/play+0.097-0.001
Defensive success rate62.2%55.1%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tennessee Titans generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.00 vs -0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • New England Patriots: 12 drives, -7.17 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tennessee Titans: 10 drives, +0.04 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tennessee Titans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Watson (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 57:41 · TEN 18 · Score 0-3
    (12:41) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
  2. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q1 50:44 · NE 12 · Score 6-3
    (5:44) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 86-A.Firkser for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q1 50:39 · NE 15 · Score 7-3
    7-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  4. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · TEN 5 · Score 7-9
    (15:00) 11-J.Edelman right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 44:57 · TEN 15 · Score 7-10
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
  6. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 32:18 · TEN 3 · Score 7-13
    (2:18) 2-N.Folk 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
  7. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 30:38 · NE 1 · Score 13-13
    (:38) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 30:35 · NE 15 · Score 14-13
    7-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  9. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 0:15 · TEN 99 · Score 20-13
    (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots?

The Tennessee Titans beat the New England Patriots 20-13 in Week 18, 2019 on 2020-01-04.

What was the final score of Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots?

The final score was Tennessee Titans 20, New England Patriots 13 (TEN 20-13 NE) in Week 18, 2019 on 2020-01-04.

What was the score by quarter in Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots?

Q1: Tennessee Titans 7, New England Patriots 3; Q2: Tennessee Titans 7, New England Patriots 10; Q4: Tennessee Titans 6, New England Patriots 0; Final: Tennessee Titans 20, New England Patriots 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots?

Tennessee Titans touchdown — A. Firkser (R. Tannehill pass) (Q1 50:44) New England Patriots touchdown — J. Edelman (Q2 45:00) Tennessee Titans touchdown — D. Henry (Q2 30:38) Tennessee Titans touchdown — L. Ryan (Q4 0:15) New England Patriots field goal — N. Folk (Q1 57:41, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — N. Folk (Q2 32:18, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 51.3% completion, -9.7% CPOE, -0.07 EPA per dropback, -2.92 total passing EPA. R. Tannehill (Tennessee Titans), 40.0% completion, -1.7% CPOE, +0.02 EPA per dropback, +0.31 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots?

B. Watson (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +4.07 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.88 EPA): (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 14-M.Sanu Sr. INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan (35-T.Brock) at NE 9. 26-L.Ryan for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -19.8%.

Was Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Tennessee Titans won 20-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Tennessee Titans

Entered 9-7 Now 10-7 W

New England Patriots

Entered 12-4 Now 12-5 L