Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins: 2023 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-11, the Tennessee Titans took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 28–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 32 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

W. Levis (Tennessee Titans) paced the passing game, with +11.62 total EPA, and +3.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, W. Levis (Tennessee Titans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.62 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+29.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (6:16) 16-J.Bailey punts 47 yards to TEN 11, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 33-E.Garror MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIA-22-E.Campbell at TEN 7.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 W. Levis · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +11.62 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Hopkins · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +4.40 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Mostert · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +4.07 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Waddle · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Spears · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +3.73 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Hill · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.53 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Okonkwo · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.22 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
8. 8 N. Westbrook-Ikhine · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.65 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Miami Dolphins — Z. Sieler (Q1 53:31)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q2 36:57)
• Miami Dolphins — R. Mostert (Q4 5:38)
• Miami Dolphins — R. Mostert (Q4 4:39)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Hopkins (W. Levis pass) (Q4 2:46)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q4 1:53)

Field goals

• Tennessee Titans — N. Folk (Q2 30:05)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q3 24:38)
• Tennessee Titans — N. Folk (Q3 15:12)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q4 12:41)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 7–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the MIA 94 (Q1 53:31); Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q1 53:25) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey..

The second quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 10–0. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the MIA 1 (Q2 36:57) — (6:57) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 36:53) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the MIA 10 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 6-N.Folk 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the TEN 2 (Q3 24:38) — (9:38) 7-J.Sanders 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the MIA 5 (Q3 15:12) — (:12) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 17–15. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the TEN 13 (Q4 12:41); Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the TEN 3 (Q4 5:38) — (5:38) (No Huddle) 31-R.Mostert up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q4 5:34) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the TEN 5 (Q4 4:39) — (4:39) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q4 4:34) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the MIA 3 (Q4 2:46) — (2:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-E.Ogbah].; Tennessee Titans registered a safety from the MIA 2 (Q4 2:40) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-W.Levis pass to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the MIA 3 (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q4 1:49) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Miami Dolphins (Q4 6:16) — (6:16) 16-J.Bailey punts 47 yards to TEN 11, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 33-E.Garror MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIA-22-E.Campbell at TEN 7. [WPA +29.4% · EPA +5.73]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 0:26) — (:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at MIA 42 for -3 yards (58-H.Landry). [WPA -23.3% · EPA -1.41]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 30:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep right to 10-D.Hopkins to MIA 10 for 45 yards (25-X.Howard). [WPA +14.2% · EPA +2.33]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 13:27) — (13:27) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at TEN 13 for -10 yards (58-H.Landry). [WPA -13.6% · EPA -1.92]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 54:19) — (9:19) 1-T.Tagovailoa to TEN 3 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at TEN 4. 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at TEN 6 for -4 yards (94-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (94-J.Johnson) [94-J.Johnson], RECOVERED by TEN-69-T.Mc [WPA -13.5% · EPA -5.70]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tennessee Titans (Q4 5:34) — (5:34) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 18, touched at TEN 14, RECOVERED by MIA-2-B.Chubb at TEN 12. [WPA -10.5% · EPA -5.79]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 6:16) — (6:16) 16-J.Bailey punts 47 yards to TEN 11, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 33-E.Garror MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIA-22-E.Campbell at TEN 7. [WPA +29.4% · EPA +5.73]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 54:19) — (9:19) 1-T.Tagovailoa to TEN 3 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at TEN 4. 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at TEN 6 for -4 yards (94-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (94-J.Johnson) [94-J.Johnson], RECOVERED by TEN-69-T.Mc [WPA -13.5% · EPA -5.70]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 53:31) — (8:31) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short middle intended for 32-T.Spears INTERCEPTED by 92-Z.Sieler at TEN 5. 92-Z.Sieler for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -10.8% · EPA -5.13]

Quarterback report card

W.Levis led all passers in efficiency for Tennessee Titans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• W.Levis (Tennessee Titans) · 43 dropbacks · 53.5% completion · +3.0% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +11.62 total EPA
• T.Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) · 42 dropbacks · 54.8% completion · +2.1% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -5.50 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tennessee Titans +0.03, Miami Dolphins +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Miami Dolphins: 13 drives, +1.80 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Tennessee Titans: 13 drives, +2.53 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tennessee Titans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• W. Levis (Tennessee Titans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 53:31 · MIA 94 · Score 0-6
   (8:31) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short middle intended for 32-T.Spears INTERCEPTED by 92-Z.Sieler at TEN 5. 92-Z.Sieler for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q1 53:25 · TEN 15 · Score 0-7
   7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
3. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 36:57 · MIA 1 · Score 6-7
   (6:57) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 36:53 · MIA 15 · Score 7-7
   6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner.
5. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · MIA 10 · Score 10-7
   (:05) 6-N.Folk 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner.
6. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q3 24:38 · TEN 2 · Score 10-10
   (9:38) 7-J.Sanders 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
7. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q3 15:12 · MIA 5 · Score 13-10
   (:12) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner.
8. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q4 12:41 · TEN 13 · Score 13-13
   (12:41) 7-J.Sanders 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey. PENALTY on MIA-44-B.Ferguson, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enfor
9. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 5:38 · TEN 3 · Score 13-19
   (5:38) (No Huddle) 31-R.Mostert up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 5:34 · TEN 15 · Score 13-20
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
11. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 4:39 · TEN 5 · Score 13-26
    (4:39) (Shotgun) 31-R.Mostert left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 4:34 · TEN 15 · Score 13-27
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
13. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 2:46 · MIA 3 · Score 19-27
    (2:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-E.Ogbah].
14. Tennessee Titans Safety (+2) — Q4 2:40 · MIA 2 · Score 21-27
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-W.Levis pass to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
15. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 1:53 · MIA 3 · Score 27-27
    (1:53) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 1:49 · MIA 15 · Score 28-27
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-13-T.Zentner.