FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 11 · November 18, 2018 · 11 min read

Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2018 Week 11 Recap

Colts defeat Titans 38–10 in Week 11

A.Luck led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 10–38 Week 11 finish.

Tennessee Titans 10 5–5
Final 10–38
Indianapolis Colts 38 5–5 Winner
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
10–38
Halftime
Tennessee Titans 3–24 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
A. Luck
FantasyHQ MVP
A.Luck
Game date
November 18, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Titans

  • Anthony Firkser
    Anthony Firkser 3 REC · 44 YDS +5.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Carlton Davis III
    Carlton Davis III 2 REC · 30 YDS +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • MyCole Pruitt
    MyCole Pruitt 1 REC · 19 YDS +1.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • A.Luck 23/31 · 297 YDS · 3 TD +23.2 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Hilton 9 REC · 155 YDS · 2 TD +13.0 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Doyle 4 REC · 43 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Tennessee Titans 38–10 in Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-18, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-10.1% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Tennessee Titans swung the momentum.

In Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-18, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Tennessee Titans, pulling away with a 38–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +23.18 total EPA, and +10.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +23.18 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Tennessee Titans changed the game: (10:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at IND 42 for -8 yards (sack split by 93-J.Sheard and 23-K.Moore II).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tennessee Titans0307010
Indianapolis Colts71777038

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +23.18 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +12.96 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.44 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Firkser · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.69 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Doyle · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.95 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Wilkins · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +3.53 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Davis · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.88 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Inman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.14 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Pruitt · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.92 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.92 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Luck — IND · Passing

A. Luck posted the highest total EPA (+23.18) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.75 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.38 EPA) came from Tennessee Titans: (8:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert pass short middle intended for 19-T.Sharpe INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard at TEN 46. 53-D.Leonard to TEN 36 for 10 yards (84-C.Davis). FUMBLES (84-C.Davis), ball out of bounds at TEN 36. PENALTY

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Mack (Q1 46:20)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q2 37:37)
  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Wilkins (Q2 32:37)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q3 22:31)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Inman (A. Luck pass) (Q4 12:20)
  • Tennessee Titans — T. Sharpe (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 1:53)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 41:04)
  • Tennessee Titans — R. Succop (Q2 30:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TEN 1 (Q1 46:20) — (1:20) 25-M.Mack left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q1 46:15) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TEN 4 (Q2 41:04) — (11:04) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TEN 68 (Q2 37:37) — (7:37) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 37:26) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TEN 18 (Q2 32:37) — (2:37) 20-J.Wilkins left end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 32:29) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the IND 24 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 4-R.Succop 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TEN 14 (Q3 22:31); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q3 22:24) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TEN 7 (Q4 12:20); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q4 12:12) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) 7-B.Gabbert pass short left to 19-T.Sharpe for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 1:49) — 4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at IND 42 for -8 yards (sack split by 93-J.Sheard and 23-K.Moore II). [WPA -10.1% · EPA -2.84]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 56:42) — (11:42) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 84-C.Davis to IND 36 for 7 yards (23-K.Moore II). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +1.91]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q2 44:01) — (14:01) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left intended for 81-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 31-Q.Wilson at IND 42. 31-Q.Wilson to IND 42 for no gain (81-J.Smith). [WPA -7.2% · EPA -3.95]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 50:09) — (5:09) 6-B.Kern punts 58 yards to IND 26, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 80-C.Rogers for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on IND-32-A.Maulet, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 23. [WPA -5.5% · EPA -1.83]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 49:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 84-J.Doyle to TEN 23 for 7 yards (21-M.Butler). [WPA +5.3% · EPA +1.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tennessee Titans (Q3 23:28) — (8:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert pass short middle intended for 19-T.Sharpe INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard at TEN 46. 53-D.Leonard to TEN 36 for 10 yards (84-C.Davis). FUMBLES (84-C.Davis), ball out of bound [WPA -3.1% · EPA -6.38]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 37:37) — (7:37) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.2% · EPA +5.15]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q2 44:01) — (14:01) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left intended for 81-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 31-Q.Wilson at IND 42. 31-Q.Wilson to IND 42 for no gain (81-J.Smith). [WPA -7.2% · EPA -3.95]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 3:12) — (3:12) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert pass deep right to 86-A.Firkser to IND 30 for 28 yards (35-P.Desir). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.02]

Quarterback report card

A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 31 dropbacks · 74.2% completion · +10.6% CPOE · +0.75 EPA/play · +23.18 total EPA
  • M.Mariota (Tennessee Titans) · 21 dropbacks · 47.6% completion · +4.5% CPOE · -0.22 EPA/play · -4.71 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTennessee TitansIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play-0.162+0.274
Offensive success rate40.0%64.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.136+0.557
Rush EPA/play-0.327+0.098
Defensive EPA/play-0.274+0.162
Defensive success rate36.0%60.0%

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.27 vs -0.16), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +20.52 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tennessee Titans: 10 drives, -12.95 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Luck (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Mariota (TEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 46:20 · TEN 1 · Score 0-6
    (1:20) 25-M.Mack left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 46:15 · TEN 15 · Score 0-7
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 41:04 · TEN 4 · Score 0-10
    (11:04) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 37:37 · TEN 68 · Score 0-16
    (7:37) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 37:26 · TEN 15 · Score 0-17
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 32:37 · TEN 18 · Score 0-23
    (2:37) 20-J.Wilkins left end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 32:29 · TEN 15 · Score 0-24
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  8. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · IND 24 · Score 3-24
    (:03) 4-R.Succop 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  9. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 22:31 · TEN 14 · Score 3-30
    (7:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 13-T.Hilton pushed ob at TEN 2 for 12 yards (25-A.Jackson). Penalty on TEN-26-L.Ryan, Defensive Holding, declined
  10. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 22:24 · TEN 15 · Score 3-31
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 12:20 · TEN 7 · Score 3-37
    (12:20) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 15-D.Inman for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TEN-21-M.Butler, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between
  12. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 12:12 · TEN 15 · Score 3-38
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.
  13. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 1:53 · IND 1 · Score 9-38
    (1:53) 7-B.Gabbert pass short left to 19-T.Sharpe for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 1:49 · IND 15 · Score 10-38
    4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tennessee Titans 38-10 in Week 11, 2018 on 2018-11-18.

What was the final score of Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was Tennessee Titans 10, Indianapolis Colts 38 (TEN 10-38 IND) in Week 11, 2018 on 2018-11-18.

What was the score by quarter in Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q1: Tennessee Titans 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q2: Tennessee Titans 3, Indianapolis Colts 17; Q3: Tennessee Titans 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q4: Tennessee Titans 7, Indianapolis Colts 7; Final: Tennessee Titans 10, Indianapolis Colts 38.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Mack (Q1 46:20) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q2 37:37) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Wilkins (Q2 32:37) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q3 22:31) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Inman (A. Luck pass) (Q4 12:20) Tennessee Titans touchdown — T. Sharpe (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 1:53) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 41:04, 3 pts) Tennessee Titans field goal — R. Succop (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts), 74.2% completion, +10.6% CPOE, +0.75 EPA per dropback, +23.18 total passing EPA. M. Mariota (Tennessee Titans), 47.6% completion, +4.5% CPOE, -0.22 EPA per dropback, -4.71 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +23.18 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.38 EPA): (8:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert pass short middle intended for 19-T.Sharpe INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Leonard at TEN 46. 53-D.Leonard to TEN 36 for 10 yards (84-C.Davis). FUMBLES (84-C.Davis. The biggest win-probability swing was -10.1%.

Season records after this game

Tennessee Titans

Entered 5-4 Now 5-5 L

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 4-5 Now 5-5 W