Game story
In Week 16 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-23, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 21–19 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
L. McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -4.90 total EPA, and +0.4% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Stevens (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.56 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-32.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (14:36) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass intended for 81-A.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at SF 15. 22-N.Clements pushed ob at TB 23 for 62 yards (75-D.Joseph).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 19 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Stevens · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +9.56 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.39 EPA/play
- 2 J. Garcia · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +8.01 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
- 3 I. Hilliard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.16 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.05 EPA/play
- 4 A. Smith · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.80 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
- 5 M. Pittman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.43 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
- 6 D. Jackson · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.59 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.79 EPA/play
- 7 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
- 8 M. Clayton · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.06 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Stevens — TB · Receiving
J. Stevens posted the highest total EPA (+9.56) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +2.39 EPA per play.
The signature play (-7.79 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (14:36) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass intended for 81-A.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at SF 15. 22-N.Clements pushed ob at TB 23 for 62 yards (75-D.Joseph).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- San Francisco 49ers — D. Jackson (S. Hill pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Stevens (J. Garcia pass)
- San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (S. Hill pass)
- San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (S. Hill pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Stevens (L. McCown pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 6–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the SF 16 (Q1 53:54) — (8:54) 3-M.Bryant 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the SF 4 (Q1 47:39) — (2:39) 3-M.Bryant 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the TB 21 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 13-S.Hill pass deep middle to 82-D.Jackson for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 44:56) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the SF 24 (Q2 33:55) — (3:55) 7-J.Garcia pass deep right to 86-J.Stevens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 1.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 33:49) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q3 24:43) — (9:43) Hill in at QB (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short middle to 85-V.Davis for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the TB 12 (Q3 24:30) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..
The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–6. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the TB 23 (Q4 14:17) — (14:17) 13-S.Hill pass short middle to 21-F.Gore for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at TB 20.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 14:11) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the SF 24 (Q4 1:31) — (1:31) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass to 86-J.Stevens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 3..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 14:36) — (14:36) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass intended for 81-A.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at SF 15. 22-N.Clements pushed ob at TB 23 for 62 yards (75-D.Joseph).
- San Francisco 49ers (Q2 35:44) — (5:44) (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short middle to 85-V.Davis to SF 39 for 15 yards (23-J.Phillips). FUMBLES (23-J.Phillips), RECOVERED by TB-51-B.Ruud at SF 39. 51-B.Ruud to SF 36 for 3 yards (68-A.Snyd
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 26:08) — (11:08) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown sacked at TB 9 for -1 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-26-M.Roman at TB 14. 26-M.Roman to TB 14 for no gain (32-M.Pittman). L.McCown charged wi
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:20) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-L.McCown pass to 80-M.Clayton is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. M.Clayton caught pass outside back of end zone.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass short left to 32-M.Pittman to SF 32 for 16 yards (52-P.Willis). Caught at SF 45.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 14:36) — (14:36) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass intended for 81-A.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at SF 15. 22-N.Clements pushed ob at TB 23 for 62 yards (75-D.Joseph).
- San Francisco 49ers (Q2 35:44) — (5:44) (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short middle to 85-V.Davis to SF 39 for 15 yards (23-J.Phillips). FUMBLES (23-J.Phillips), RECOVERED by TB-51-B.Ruud at SF 39. 51-B.Ruud to SF 36 for 3 yards (68-A.Snyd
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:31) — (1:31) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass to 86-J.Stevens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 3.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 26:08) — (11:08) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown sacked at TB 9 for -1 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-26-M.Roman at TB 14. 26-M.Roman to TB 14 for no gain (32-M.Pittman). L.McCown charged wi
Quarterback report card
L.McCown led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- L.McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 37 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · +0.4% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -4.90 total EPA
- S.Hill (San Francisco 49ers) · 29 dropbacks · 37.9% completion · -5.9% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -7.22 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.056 | -0.079 |
| Offensive success rate | 37.0% | 40.5% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.051 | -0.249 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.340 | -0.035 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.079 | +0.056 |
| Defensive success rate | 59.5% | 63.0% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.06, San Francisco 49ers -0.08) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- San Francisco 49ers: 16 drives, -6.20 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 15 drives, -5.58 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Stevens (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- S. Hill (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 53:54 · SF 16 · Score 3-0
(8:54) 3-M.Bryant 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 47:39 · SF 4 · Score 6-0
(2:39) 3-M.Bryant 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · TB 21 · Score 6-6
(15:00) 13-S.Hill pass deep middle to 82-D.Jackson for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 44:56 · TB 2 · Score 6-7
6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 33:55 · SF 24 · Score 12-7
(3:55) 7-J.Garcia pass deep right to 86-J.Stevens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 1. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 33:49 · SF 2 · Score 13-7
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 24:43 · TB 5 · Score 13-13
(9:43) Hill in at QB (Shotgun) 13-S.Hill pass short middle to 85-V.Davis for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 24:30 · TB 12 · Score 13-14
6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. - San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 14:17 · TB 23 · Score 13-20
(14:17) 13-S.Hill pass short middle to 21-F.Gore for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at TB 20. - San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 14:11 · TB 2 · Score 13-21
6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 1:31 · SF 24 · Score 19-21
(1:31) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass to 86-J.Stevens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 3.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers?
The San Francisco 49ers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21-19 in Week 16, 2007 on 2007-12-23.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19, San Francisco 49ers 21 (TB 19-21 SF) in Week 16, 2007 on 2007-12-23.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, San Francisco 49ers 0; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, San Francisco 49ers 7; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, San Francisco 49ers 7; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, San Francisco 49ers 7; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19, San Francisco 49ers 21.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers?
San Francisco 49ers touchdown — D. Jackson (S. Hill pass) (Q2 45:00) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Stevens (J. Garcia pass) (Q2 33:55) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — V. Davis (S. Hill pass) (Q3 24:43) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — F. Gore (S. Hill pass) (Q4 14:17) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Stevens (L. McCown pass) (Q4 1:31) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q1 53:54, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q1 47:39, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers?
L. McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 48.6% completion, +0.4% CPOE, -0.13 EPA per dropback, -4.90 total passing EPA. S. Hill (San Francisco 49ers), 37.9% completion, -5.9% CPOE, -0.25 EPA per dropback, -7.22 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers?
J. Stevens (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +9.56 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.79 EPA): (14:36) (Shotgun) 12-L.McCown pass intended for 81-A.Smith INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at SF 15. 22-N.Clements pushed ob at TB 23 for 62 yards (75-D.Joseph).. The biggest win-probability swing was -32.1%.
Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 2 points. San Francisco 49ers won 21-19 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 9-5 Now 9-6 L
San Francisco 49ers
Entered 4-10 Now 5-10 W
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