FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 2, 2011 · 11 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints: 2010 Week 17 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Saints 23–13 in Week 17

J.Freeman led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 23–13 Week 17 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 10–6 Winner
Final 23–13
New Orleans Saints 13 11–5
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
23–13
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10–7 New Orleans Saints
Top passer
D. Brees
FantasyHQ MVP
J.Freeman
Game date
January 2, 2011

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • J.Freeman 21/31 · 245 YDS · 2 TD +7.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Mykel Williams
    Mykel Williams 4 REC · 40 YDS · 1 TD +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Briscoe 4 REC · 65 YDS · 1 TD +3.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Saints

  • A.Arrington 7 REC · 79 YDS +4.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Jimmy Graham
    Jimmy Graham 2 REC · 15 YDS · 1 TD +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Brees 22/44 · 183 YDS · 1 TD +3.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the New Orleans Saints 23–13 in Week 17 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-02, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-14.5% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-02, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the New Orleans Saints, pulling away with a 23–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) paced the passing game, with +3.91 total EPA, and -4.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.86 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (9:26) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 27-L.Blount to TB 35 for no gain (96-A.Brown). FUMBLES (96-A.Brown), RECOVERED by NO-56-J.Dunbar at TB 37. No yardage on the pass completion.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers37103023
New Orleans Saints7033013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +7.86 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Arrington · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +4.87 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Graham · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +4.13 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.07 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.07 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Brees · New Orleans Saints · Passing · +3.91 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Briscoe · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.54 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. Bush · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +3.21 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Stovall · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.68 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Freeman — TB · Passing

J. Freeman posted the highest total EPA (+7.86) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.25 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.97 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (9:26) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 27-L.Blount to TB 35 for no gain (96-A.Brown). FUMBLES (96-A.Brown), RECOVERED by NO-56-J.Dunbar at TB 37. No yardage on the pass completion.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New Orleans Saints — J. Graham (D. Brees pass) (Q1 49:45)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 36:45)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass) (Q3 17:15)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q1 55:02)
  • New Orleans Saints — G. Hartley (Q3 25:35)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q3 23:05)
  • New Orleans Saints — G. Hartley (Q4 11:21)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q4 4:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 26 (Q1 55:02) — (10:02) 10-C.Barth 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the TB 4 (Q1 49:45) — (4:45) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 80-J.Graham for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 4, YAC 0; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 49:41) — 5-G.Hartley extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 2 (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 89-D.Briscoe for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 2, YAC 0; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q2 36:40) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–3. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 27 (Q3 25:35) — (10:35) 5-G.Hartley 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 15 (Q3 23:05) — (8:05) 10-C.Barth 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 18 (Q3 17:15) — (2:15) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 19-M.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 18, YAC 0; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q3 17:09) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 19 (Q4 11:21) — (11:21) 5-G.Hartley 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 30 (Q4 4:06) — (4:06) 10-C.Barth 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 9:26) — (9:26) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 27-L.Blount to TB 35 for no gain (96-A.Brown). FUMBLES (96-A.Brown), RECOVERED by NO-56-J.Dunbar at TB 37. No yardage on the pass completion. [WPA -14.5% · EPA -4.97]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 17:15) — (2:15) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 19-M.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 18, YAC 0 [WPA +13.2% · EPA +3.85]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q4 8:09) — (8:09) 10-C.Daniel FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 39, recovered by NO-25-R.Bush at TB 39. 25-R.Bush to TB 39 for no gain (26-S.Jones). [WPA -13.0% · EPA -3.35]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman sacked at NO 48 for -10 yards (97-J.Charleston). FUMBLES (97-J.Charleston) [97-J.Charleston], RECOVERED by NO-97-J.Charleston at NO 48. 97-J.Charleston to NO 48 for no gai [WPA -12.3% · EPA -2.82]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 25:30) — 6-T.Morstead kicks 72 yards from NO 30 to TB -2. 81-M.Spurlock pushed ob at NO 33 for 69 yards (6-T.Morstead). [WPA +11.9% · EPA +3.24]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 9:26) — (9:26) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 27-L.Blount to TB 35 for no gain (96-A.Brown). FUMBLES (96-A.Brown), RECOVERED by NO-56-J.Dunbar at TB 37. No yardage on the pass completion. [WPA -14.5% · EPA -4.97]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q2 42:27) — (12:27) 21-J.Jones left guard to TB 4 for -1 yards (51-B.Ruud). FUMBLES (51-B.Ruud), RECOVERED by TB-98-F.Okam at TB 4. 98-F.Okam to TB 4 for no gain (71-C.Brown). [WPA -7.9% · EPA -4.88]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q3 20:18) — (5:18) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees sacked at NO 38 for -4 yards (97-A.Magee). FUMBLES (97-A.Magee), RECOVERED by TB-96-T.Crowder at NO 38. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -4.38]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 5:43) — (5:43) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 89-D.Briscoe to NO 32 for 54 yards (22-T.Porter). Pass 39, YAC 15 [WPA +7.5% · EPA +4.03]

Quarterback report card

D.Brees led all passers in efficiency for New Orleans Saints, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Brees (New Orleans Saints) · 44 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -4.0% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +3.91 total EPA
  • J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 31 dropbacks · 67.7% completion · +16.1% CPOE · +0.25 EPA/play · +7.86 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersNew Orleans Saints
Offensive EPA/play+0.148-0.058
Offensive success rate50.0%43.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.229+0.073
Rush EPA/play-0.165-0.450
Defensive EPA/play+0.058-0.148
Defensive success rate57.0%50.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • New Orleans Saints: 9 drives, -5.01 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, +9.76 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Brees (NO) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Freeman (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 55:02 · NO 26 · Score 3-0
    (10:02) 10-C.Barth 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.
  2. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q1 49:45 · TB 4 · Score 3-6
    (4:45) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 80-J.Graham for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 4, YAC 0
  3. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q1 49:41 · TB 2 · Score 3-7
    5-G.Hartley extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 36:45 · NO 2 · Score 9-7
    (6:45) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 89-D.Briscoe for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 2, YAC 0
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 36:40 · NO 2 · Score 10-7
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.
  6. New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q3 25:35 · TB 27 · Score 10-10
    (10:35) 5-G.Hartley 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 23:05 · NO 15 · Score 13-10
    (8:05) 10-C.Barth 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 17:15 · NO 18 · Score 19-10
    (2:15) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 19-M.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 18, YAC 0
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 17:09 · NO 2 · Score 20-10
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.
  10. New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q4 11:21 · TB 19 · Score 20-13
    (11:21) 5-G.Hartley 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 4:06 · NO 30 · Score 23-13
    (4:06) 10-C.Barth 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the New Orleans Saints 23-13 in Week 17, 2010 on 2011-01-02.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, New Orleans Saints 13 (TB 23-13 NO) in Week 17, 2010 on 2011-01-02.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, New Orleans Saints 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, New Orleans Saints 0; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, New Orleans Saints 3; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, New Orleans Saints 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, New Orleans Saints 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints?

New Orleans Saints touchdown — J. Graham (D. Brees pass) (Q1 49:45) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 36:45) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass) (Q3 17:15) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q1 55:02, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — G. Hartley (Q3 25:35, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 23:05, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — G. Hartley (Q4 11:21, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q4 4:06, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints?

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints), 50.0% completion, -4.0% CPOE, +0.09 EPA per dropback, +3.91 total passing EPA. J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 67.7% completion, +16.1% CPOE, +0.25 EPA per dropback, +7.86 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints?

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +7.86 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.97 EPA): (9:26) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 27-L.Blount to TB 35 for no gain (96-A.Brown). FUMBLES (96-A.Brown), RECOVERED by NO-56-J.Dunbar at TB 37. No yardage on the pass completion. The biggest win-probability swing was -14.5%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 9-6 Now 10-6 W

New Orleans Saints

Entered 11-4 Now 11-5 L