FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 10 · November 15, 2009 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Miami Dolphins: 2009 Week 10 Recap

Dolphins defeat Buccaneers 25–23 in Week 10

C.Henne led Fantasy Impact as Dolphins prevailed in a 23–25 Week 10 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 1–8
Final 23–25
Miami Dolphins 25 4–5 Winner
Winner
Miami Dolphins
Final score
23–25
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6–19 Miami Dolphins
Top passer
J. Freeman
FantasyHQ MVP
C.Henne
Game date
November 15, 2009

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • K.Winslow 7 REC · 105 YDS +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Freeman 16/37 · 216 YDS · 1 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Stovall 4 REC · 44 YDS · 1 TD +1.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Dolphins

  • C.Henne 17/31 · 175 YDS · 1 TD +5.6 Fantasy Impact
  • G.Camarillo 2 REC · 17 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Sperry 3 REC · 31 YDS · 1 TD +3.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Miami Dolphins defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25–23 in Week 10 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-11-15, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-26.9% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins swung the momentum.

In Week 10 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-11-15, the Miami Dolphins took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 25–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +2.37 total EPA, and -1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Henne (Miami Dolphins) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.58 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (1:52) 7-C.Henne pass short right intended for 82-B.Hartline INTERCEPTED by 58-Q.Black at MIA 29. 58-Q.Black to MIA 26 for 3 yards (36-L.Polite).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers33314023
Miami Dolphins613106025

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Henne · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +5.58 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  2. 2 G. Camarillo · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.89 EPA/play
  3. 3 K. Sperry · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.57 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
  4. 4 K. Winslow · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.74 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +2.37 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Stovall · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.92 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. Brown · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.59 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Bess · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.57 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Henne — MIA · Passing

C. Henne posted the highest total EPA (+5.58) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Miami Dolphins's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.18 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.28 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (3:09) 5-J.Freeman FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 32, RECOVERED by MIA-51-A.Ayodele at MIA 32. 51-A.Ayodele to MIA 34 for 2 yards (80-M.Clayton). FUMBLES (80-M.Clayton), and recovers at MIA 34.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Miami Dolphins — R. Brown (Q1 51:40)
  • Miami Dolphins — K. Sperry (C. Henne pass) (Q2 31:33)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Stovall (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 15:00)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Williams (Q4 1:19)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q1 56:30)
  • Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q2 37:25)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q2 32:42)
  • Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q2 30:10)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q3 19:10)
  • Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q4 6:09)
  • Miami Dolphins — D. Carpenter (Q4 0:14)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 6–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the MIA 33 (Q1 56:30) — (11:30) 10-C.Barth 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q1 51:40) — (6:40) 67-J.Berger reported in as eligible. 23-R.Brown right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

The second quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 13–3. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the TB 31 (Q2 37:25) — (7:25) 5-D.Carpenter 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the MIA 32 (Q2 32:42) — (2:42) 10-C.Barth 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q2 31:33) — (1:33) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 85-K.Sperry for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 31:25) — 5-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the TB 12 (Q2 30:10) — (:10) 5-D.Carpenter 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields..

The third quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 10–3. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the MIA 66 (Q3 27:22) — (12:22) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 85-M.Stovall to TB 34 for no gain (52-C.Crowder).; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the MIA 36 (Q3 19:10) — (4:10) 10-C.Barth 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the MIA 33 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep left to 85-M.Stovall for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 14:53) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the TB 27 (Q4 6:09) — (6:09) 5-D.Carpenter 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the MIA 1 (Q4 1:19); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 1:14) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the TB 7 (Q4 0:14) — (:14) 5-D.Carpenter 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Miami Dolphins (Q4 1:52) — (1:52) 7-C.Henne pass short right intended for 82-B.Hartline INTERCEPTED by 58-Q.Black at MIA 29. 58-Q.Black to MIA 26 for 3 yards (36-L.Polite). [WPA -26.9% · EPA -3.36]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:10) — (2:10) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass incomplete short left to 82-K.Winslow. [WPA -19.7% · EPA -3.01]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 48:09) — (3:09) 5-J.Freeman FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 32, RECOVERED by MIA-51-A.Ayodele at MIA 32. 51-A.Ayodele to MIA 34 for 2 yards (80-M.Clayton). FUMBLES (80-M.Clayton), and recovers at MIA 34. [WPA -18.5% · EPA -5.28]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 85-M.Stovall to TB 35 for 5 yards. Lateral to 82-K.Winslow to TB 32 for -3 yards. Lateral to 18-S.Stroughter to TB 32 for no gain (37-Y.Bell). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -0.00]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q4 0:41) — (:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 15-D.Bess to TB 34 for 16 yards (29-D.Roberson). [WPA +13.9% · EPA +0.81]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 48:09) — (3:09) 5-J.Freeman FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 32, RECOVERED by MIA-51-A.Ayodele at MIA 32. 51-A.Ayodele to MIA 34 for 2 yards (80-M.Clayton). FUMBLES (80-M.Clayton), and recovers at MIA 34. [WPA -18.5% · EPA -5.28]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 16:57) — (1:57) 23-R.Brown right tackle to TB 37 for 9 yards (21-S.Piscitelli). FUMBLES (21-S.Piscitelli), RECOVERED by TB-36-T.Jackson at TB 32. 36-T.Jackson to TB 37 for 5 yards (19-T.Ginn). MIA-23-R.Brown w [WPA -6.3% · EPA -4.26]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:43) — (1:43) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass incomplete short right to 80-M.Clayton (21-V.Davis). The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass [WPA -7.8% · EPA -4.20]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 21:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 82-K.Winslow pushed ob at MIA 35 for 37 yards (21-V.Davis). [WPA +3.3% · EPA +3.81]

Quarterback report card

J.Freeman led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 37 dropbacks · 43.2% completion · -1.6% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.37 total EPA
  • C.Henne (Miami Dolphins) · 31 dropbacks · 54.8% completion · +0.6% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +5.58 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersMiami Dolphins
Offensive EPA/play+0.002-0.007
Offensive success rate41.7%42.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.064+0.160
Rush EPA/play-0.373-0.241
Defensive EPA/play+0.007-0.002
Defensive success rate57.3%58.3%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.00, Miami Dolphins -0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Miami Dolphins: 14 drives, -0.66 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 15 drives, +0.15 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Miami Dolphins leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • C. Henne (Miami Dolphins) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 56:30 · MIA 33 · Score 3-0
    (11:30) 10-C.Barth 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  2. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 51:40 · TB 1 · Score 3-6
    (6:40) 67-J.Berger reported in as eligible. 23-R.Brown right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 37:25 · TB 31 · Score 3-9
    (7:25) 5-D.Carpenter 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 32:42 · MIA 32 · Score 6-9
    (2:42) 10-C.Barth 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  5. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 31:33 · TB 5 · Score 6-15
    (1:33) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 85-K.Sperry for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 31:25 · TB 2 · Score 6-16
    5-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
  7. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 30:10 · TB 12 · Score 6-19
    (:10) 5-D.Carpenter 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
  8. Miami Dolphins TD (+10) — Q3 27:22 · MIA 66 · Score 6-19
    (12:22) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 85-M.Stovall to TB 34 for no gain (52-C.Crowder).
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 19:10 · MIA 36 · Score 9-19
    (4:10) 10-C.Barth 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · MIA 33 · Score 15-19
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep left to 85-M.Stovall for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 14:53 · MIA 2 · Score 16-19
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  12. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q4 6:09 · TB 27 · Score 16-22
    (6:09) 5-D.Carpenter 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 1:19 · MIA 1 · Score 22-22
    (1:19) 93-R.Miller reported in as eligible. 24-C.Williams right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TB-82-K.Winslow, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enfo
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 1:14 · MIA 2 · Score 23-22
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  15. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q4 0:14 · TB 7 · Score 23-25
    (:14) 5-D.Carpenter 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins?

The Miami Dolphins beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-23 in Week 10, 2009 on 2009-11-15.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, Miami Dolphins 25 (TB 23-25 MIA) in Week 10, 2009 on 2009-11-15.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Miami Dolphins 6; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Miami Dolphins 13; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Miami Dolphins 10; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Miami Dolphins 6; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, Miami Dolphins 25.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins?

Miami Dolphins touchdown — R. Brown (Q1 51:40) Miami Dolphins touchdown — K. Sperry (C. Henne pass) (Q2 31:33) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Stovall (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 15:00) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Williams (Q4 1:19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q1 56:30, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — D. Carpenter (Q2 37:25, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q2 32:42, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — D. Carpenter (Q2 30:10, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 19:10, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — D. Carpenter (Q4 6:09, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — D. Carpenter (Q4 0:14, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins?

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 43.2% completion, -1.6% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.37 total passing EPA. C. Henne (Miami Dolphins), 54.8% completion, +0.6% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +5.58 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins?

C. Henne (Miami Dolphins) led the game in total EPA with +5.58 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.28 EPA): (3:09) 5-J.Freeman FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 32, RECOVERED by MIA-51-A.Ayodele at MIA 32. 51-A.Ayodele to MIA 34 for 2 yards (80-M.Clayton). FUMBLES (80-M.Clayton), and recovers at . The biggest win-probability swing was -26.9%.

Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins a close game?

Yes — the margin was 2 points. Miami Dolphins won 25-23 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 1-7 Now 1-8 L

Miami Dolphins

Entered 3-5 Now 4-5 W