Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-25, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 45–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +29.55 total EPA, and +14.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +29.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+10.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +29.55 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +9.27 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Miller · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +7.17 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.94 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.97 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Gronkowski · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.83 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Fournette · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Heath · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +2.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.12 EPA/play
8. 8 H. Ruggs · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — N. Agholor (D. Carr pass) (Q1 55:02)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — T. Brady (Q1 50:41)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q2 34:26)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — S. Miller (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:25)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Waller (D. Carr pass) (Q3 19:18)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Godwin (T. Brady pass) (Q4 7:29)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Jones (Q4 6:44)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — T. Johnson (T. Brady pass) (Q4 3:13)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 44:56)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q3 23:20)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 12:48)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the TB 20 (Q1 55:02) — (10:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-N.Agholor for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 54:55) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q1 50:41) — (5:41) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 50:37) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the TB 24 (Q2 44:56) — (14:56) 2-D.Carlson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 5 (Q2 34:26) — (4:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 34:21) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 33 (Q2 30:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 30:17) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the LV 10 (Q3 23:20) — (8:20) 3-R.Succop 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q3 19:18); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 19:15) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 21–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the TB 17 (Q4 12:48) — (12:48) 2-D.Carlson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q4 7:29) — (7:29) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 7:22) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 6:44) — (6:44) 73-J.Haeg reported in as eligible. 27-R.Jones right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 6:40) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 3:13); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 3:08) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +4.15]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:57) — (11:57) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 28-L.Fournette to TB 43 for 13 yards (50-N.Morrow). [WPA +9.5% · EPA +2.51]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 47:14) — (2:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 11-H.Ruggs to TB 30 for 29 yards (45-D.White). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +2.74]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 35:49) — (5:49) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski to LV 4 for 26 yards (38-J.Heath). [WPA +8.0% · EPA +2.30]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 37:08) — (7:08) 28-L.Fournette right tackle to LV 33 for 24 yards (25-E.Harris). [WPA +7.9% · EPA +1.41]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 15-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Winfield (32-M.Edwards) at LV 40. 31-A.Winfield to LV 24 for 16 yards (71-D.Good; 75-B.Parker). LV-4-D.Carr wa [WPA -4.4% · EPA -5.77]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +4.15]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:35) — (5:35) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 32 for -2 yards (45-D.White). FUMBLES (45-D.White) [45-D.White], ball out of bounds at LV 32. Penalty on LV-76-J.Simpson, Offensive Holding, declined. [WPA -0.2% · EPA -3.60]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 20:46) — (5:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 15-N.Agholor to TB 3 for 44 yards (35-J.Dean). [WPA +6.7% · EPA +2.99]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 45 dropbacks · 73.3% completion · +14.7% CPOE · +0.66 EPA/play · +29.55 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 44 dropbacks · 54.5% completion · -4.6% CPOE · -0.00 EPA/play · -0.11 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.29 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, -4.43 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, +25.17 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• D. Carr (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 55:02 · TB 20 · Score 0-6
   (10:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-N.Agholor for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 54:55 · TB 15 · Score 0-7
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 50:41 · LV 1 · Score 6-7
   (5:41) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 50:37 · LV 15 · Score 7-7
   3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
5. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 44:56 · TB 24 · Score 7-10
   (14:56) 2-D.Carlson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 34:26 · LV 5 · Score 13-10
   (4:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 34:21 · LV 15 · Score 14-10
   3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:25 · LV 33 · Score 20-10
   (:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 10-S.Miller for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:17 · LV 15 · Score 21-10
   3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 23:20 · LV 10 · Score 24-10
    (8:20) 3-R.Succop 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
11. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 19:18 · TB 1 · Score 24-16
    (4:18) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-66-G.Jackson, Disqualification, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
12. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 19:15 · TB 15 · Score 24-17
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
13. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 12:48 · TB 17 · Score 24-20
    (12:48) 2-D.Carlson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 7:29 · LV 4 · Score 30-20
    (7:29) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 7:22 · LV 15 · Score 31-20
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 6:44 · LV 1 · Score 37-20
    (6:44) 73-J.Haeg reported in as eligible. 27-R.Jones right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 6:40 · LV 15 · Score 38-20
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:13 · LV 1 · Score 44-20
    (3:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 18-T.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-42-C.Littleton, Defensive Holding, declined.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:08 · LV 15 · Score 45-20
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.