Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2012 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-04, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 42–32 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 36 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Palmer (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +3.89 total EPA, and +2.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Martin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (2:37) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left intended for 80-R.Streater INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Black at TB 44. 43-A.Black to LV 22 for 34 yards (17-D.Moore).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Martin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +17.07 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +13.97 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
3. 3 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +7.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.89 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Reece · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +7.50 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.80 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Palmer · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +3.89 total EPA · 68 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Goodson · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.61 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Heyward-Bey · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — V. Jackson (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 42:59)
• Las Vegas Raiders — R. Streater (C. Palmer pass) (Q2 31:25)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin (Q3 27:18)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass) (Q3 22:18)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin (Q3 17:27)
• Las Vegas Raiders — B. Myers (C. Palmer pass) (Q4 14:16)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin (Q4 14:03)
• Las Vegas Raiders — B. Myers (C. Palmer pass) (Q4 9:51)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Reece (C. Palmer pass) (Q4 3:55)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin (Q4 1:52)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 45:49)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the TB 11 (Q1 45:49) — (:49) 11-S.Janikowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 20 (Q2 42:59) — (12:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 83-V.Jackson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 42:54) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the TB 25 (Q2 31:25) — (1:25) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep right to 80-R.Streater for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 31:20) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 21–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 45 (Q3 27:18) — (12:18) 22-D.Martin up the middle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 27:09) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q3 22:18) — (7:18) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 19-M.Williams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 22:12) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 67 (Q3 17:27) — (2:27) 22-D.Martin left tackle for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-27-M.Giordano was injured during the play. He is Out.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 17:15) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 22–14. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the TB 4 (Q4 14:16) — (14:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 83-B.Myers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 14:11) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 70 (Q4 14:03) — (14:03) 22-D.Martin right guard for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 13:51) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 9:51) — (9:51) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 83-B.Myers for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 9:48) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the TB 13 (Q4 3:55) — (3:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 45-M.Reece for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders registered a safety from the TB 2 (Q4 3:51) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-C.Palmer pass to 84-J.Criner is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 1:52) — (1:52) 22-D.Martin left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 1:49) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:37) — (2:37) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left intended for 80-R.Streater INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Black at TB 44. 43-A.Black to LV 22 for 34 yards (17-D.Moore). [WPA -22.9% · EPA -4.64]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 83-V.Jackson to LV 21 for 64 yards (33-T.Branch). PENALTY on TB-83-V.Jackson, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at LV 21. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +4.94]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 27:18) — (12:18) 22-D.Martin up the middle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.5% · EPA +4.38]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:06) — (5:06) 10-C.Barth 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (99-L.Houston), Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. 99-L.Houston at LV 22 to TB 44 for 34 yards (88-L.Stocker). [WPA -14.6% · EPA -5.72]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 31:25) — (1:25) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep right to 80-R.Streater for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +3.95]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 17:27) — (2:27) 22-D.Martin left tackle for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-27-M.Giordano was injured during the play. He is Out. [WPA +7.9% · EPA +6.71]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 14:03) — (14:03) 22-D.Martin right guard for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +6.31]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:06) — (5:06) 10-C.Barth 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (99-L.Houston), Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. 99-L.Houston at LV 22 to TB 44 for 34 yards (88-L.Stocker). [WPA -14.6% · EPA -5.72]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 7:50) — (7:50) 5-J.Freeman FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 32, RECOVERED by LV-92-R.Seymour at LV 35. 92-R.Seymour to LV 35 for no gain (11-T.Underwood). [WPA -5.2% · EPA -5.48]

Quarterback report card

C.Palmer led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Palmer (Las Vegas Raiders) · 68 dropbacks · 57.4% completion · +2.0% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +3.89 total EPA
• J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 52.9% completion · +2.6% CPOE · +0.41 EPA/play · +13.97 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs +0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 14 drives, +6.02 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 14 drives, +20.83 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Martin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 45:49 · TB 11 · Score 0-3
   (:49) 11-S.Janikowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:59 · LV 20 · Score 6-3
   (12:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 83-V.Jackson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 42:54 · LV 2 · Score 7-3
   10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 31:25 · TB 25 · Score 7-9
   (1:25) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep right to 80-R.Streater for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 31:20 · TB 2 · Score 7-10
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 27:18 · LV 45 · Score 13-10
   (12:18) 22-D.Martin up the middle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 27:09 · LV 2 · Score 14-10
   10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 22:18 · LV 4 · Score 20-10
   (7:18) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 19-M.Williams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 22:12 · LV 2 · Score 21-10
   10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 17:27 · LV 67 · Score 27-10
    (2:27) 22-D.Martin left tackle for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-27-M.Giordano was injured during the play. He is Out.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 17:15 · LV 2 · Score 28-10
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
12. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 14:16 · TB 4 · Score 28-16
    (14:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 83-B.Myers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 14:11 · TB 2 · Score 28-17
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 14:03 · LV 70 · Score 34-17
    (14:03) 22-D.Martin right guard for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 13:51 · LV 2 · Score 35-17
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
16. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 9:51 · TB 1 · Score 35-23
    (9:51) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 83-B.Myers for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 9:48 · TB 2 · Score 35-24
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
18. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 3:55 · TB 13 · Score 35-30
    (3:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 45-M.Reece for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Las Vegas Raiders Safety (+2) — Q4 3:51 · TB 2 · Score 35-32
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-C.Palmer pass to 84-J.Criner is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 1:52 · LV 1 · Score 41-32
    (1:52) 22-D.Martin left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 1:49 · LV 2 · Score 42-32
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.