Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2024 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-11-04, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 30–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +13.39 total EPA, and +12.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.39 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+17.2% win probability) landed in overtime when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (7:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins pushed ob at TB 28 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +13.39 total EPA · 51 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Hopkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +9.45 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Mayfield · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +8.34 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
4. 4 Ju. Watson · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.14 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.29 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Otton · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.92 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Shepard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.94 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Hunt · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +3.03 total EPA · 28 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Perine · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.09 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. White (Q2 40:28)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Hopkins (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 34:09)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Otton (B. Mayfield pass) (Q3 26:40)
• Kansas City Chiefs — S. Perine (P. Mahomes pass) (Q4 14:21)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Hopkins (P. Mahomes pass) (Q4 4:20)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Miller (B. Mayfield pass) (Q4 0:30)
• Kansas City Chiefs — K. Hunt (OT 4:15)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q1 47:20)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. McLaughlin (Q3 20:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the TB 22 (Q1 47:20) — (2:20) 7-H.Butker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 7 (Q2 40:28) — (10:28) 1-R.White left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 40:23) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 34:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 8-D.Hopkins for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 34:05) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza. ** Injury Update: TB-0-Y.Diaby has returned to the game..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 11 (Q3 26:40) — (11:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 88-C.Otton for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 26:36) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the KC 29 (Q3 20:55) — (5:55) 4-C.McLaughlin 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 7 (Q4 14:21) — (14:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. KC-15-P.Mahomes was injured during the play.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 14:14) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q4 4:20) — (4:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 4:17) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q4 0:30) — (:30) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 81-R.Miller for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 0:27) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill..

Overtime: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 6–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 2 (OT 4:15) — (4:15) 64-W.Morris reported in as eligible. 29-K.Hunt right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (OT 7:30) — (7:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins pushed ob at TB 28 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield). [WPA +17.2% · EPA +1.33]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 14:21) — (14:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. KC-15-P.Mahomes was injured during the play. [WPA +16.9% · EPA +2.81]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 36:17) — (6:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 8-D.Hopkins to TB 3 for 35 yards (32-J.Hayes) [94-C.Kancey]. [WPA +14.9% · EPA +3.86]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 31:03) — (1:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to TB 46 for 6 yards (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-32-J.Hayes at TB 45. [WPA -12.1% · EPA -3.38]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 4:20) — (4:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.0% · EPA +2.73]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 36:17) — (6:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 8-D.Hopkins to TB 3 for 35 yards (32-J.Hayes) [94-C.Kancey]. [WPA +14.9% · EPA +3.86]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 31:03) — (1:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to TB 46 for 6 yards (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-32-J.Hayes at TB 45. [WPA -12.1% · EPA -3.38]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 23:15) — (8:15) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 88-C.Otton to KC 28 for 15 yards (30-C.Roland-Wallace). KC-98-T.Wharton was injured during the play. KC-56-G.Karlaftis was injured during the play. [WPA +7.9% · EPA +2.95]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 14:21) — (14:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. KC-15-P.Mahomes was injured during the play. [WPA +16.9% · EPA +2.81]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 51 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +12.4% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +13.39 total EPA
• B.Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 37 dropbacks · 62.2% completion · +3.2% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +8.34 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.13, Kansas City Chiefs +0.14) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, +14.12 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9 drives, +9.60 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Mahomes (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• B. Mayfield (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 47:20 · TB 22 · Score 0-3
   (2:20) 7-H.Butker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 40:28 · KC 7 · Score 6-3
   (10:28) 1-R.White left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 40:23 · KC 15 · Score 7-3
   4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 34:09 · TB 1 · Score 7-9
   (4:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 8-D.Hopkins for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 34:05 · TB 15 · Score 7-10
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza. ** Injury Update: TB-0-Y.Diaby has returned to the game.
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 26:40 · KC 11 · Score 13-10
   (11:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 88-C.Otton for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 26:36 · KC 15 · Score 14-10
   4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 20:55 · KC 29 · Score 17-10
   (5:55) 4-C.McLaughlin 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill.
9. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 14:21 · TB 7 · Score 17-16
   (14:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. KC-15-P.Mahomes was injured during the play.
10. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 14:14 · TB 15 · Score 17-17
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
11. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 4:20 · TB 5 · Score 17-23
    (4:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 4:17 · TB 15 · Score 17-24
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 0:30 · KC 1 · Score 23-24
    (:30) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 81-R.Miller for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 0:27 · KC 15 · Score 24-24
    4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-45-Z.Triner, Holder-16-T.Gill.
15. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — OT 4:15 · TB 2 · Score 24-30
    (4:15) 64-W.Morris reported in as eligible. 29-K.Hunt right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.