FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 12 · November 29, 2015 · 10 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2015 Week 12 Recap

Colts defeat Buccaneers 25–12 in Week 12

M.Hasselbeck led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 12–25 Week 12 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12 5–6
Final 12–25
Indianapolis Colts 25 6–5 Winner
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
12–25
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12–6 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
M. Hasselbeck
FantasyHQ MVP
M.Hasselbeck
Game date
November 29, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • C.Brate 5 REC · 53 YDS · 1 TD +3.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 5 REC · 64 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Jameis Winston
    Jameis Winston 20/47 · 239 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • M.Hasselbeck 26/48 · 309 YDS · 2 TD +11.3 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Moncrief 8 REC · 114 YDS +10.9 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Hilton 6 REC · 95 YDS · 2 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25–12 in Week 12 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-29, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (+13.8% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 12 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-29, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 25–12 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Hasselbeck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +11.30 total EPA, and +4.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Hasselbeck (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (4:29) 22-D.Martin right tackle to IND 30 for 56 yards (20-D.Butler).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3900012
Indianapolis Colts33136025

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Hasselbeck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +11.30 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Moncrief · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +10.91 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.64 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.57 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.54 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +3.16 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  7. 7 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.18 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Johnson · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.39 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Hasselbeck — IND · Passing

M. Hasselbeck posted the highest total EPA (+11.30) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 48 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.80 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (4:02) 10-C.Barth 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. PENALTY on TB-70-L.Mankins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 44.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 32:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (M. Hasselbeck pass) (Q3 22:29)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (M. Hasselbeck pass) (Q4 5:58)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 53:18)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q1 47:55)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 42:48)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q2 35:43)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 25:05)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 16:07)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 31 (Q1 53:18) — (8:18) 4-A.Vinatieri 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the IND 20 (Q1 47:55) — (2:55) 10-C.Barth 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 9–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 9 (Q2 42:48) — (12:48) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the IND 12 (Q2 35:43) — (5:43) 10-C.Barth 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 20 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Run formation) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 13–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 8 (Q3 25:05) — (10:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 19 (Q3 22:29) — (7:29) (No Huddle) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 22:22) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 26 (Q3 16:07) — (1:07) 4-A.Vinatieri 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q4 5:58) — (5:58) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:29) — (4:29) 22-D.Martin right tackle to IND 30 for 56 yards (20-D.Butler). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +3.64]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:48) — (7:48) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass deep right to 10-D.Moncrief to TB 19 for 31 yards (30-B.McDougald). [WPA +13.1% · EPA +2.62]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:06) — (5:06) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 83-V.Jackson ran ob at IND 36 for 15 yards [90-K.Langford]. [WPA +11.6% · EPA +2.78]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 19:02) — (4:02) 10-C.Barth 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. PENALTY on TB-70-L.Mankins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 44. [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.80]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:04) — (10:04) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 13-M.Evans to IND 34 for 17 yards (20-D.Butler). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.07]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 19:02) — (4:02) 10-C.Barth 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. PENALTY on TB-70-L.Mankins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 44. [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.80]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:29) — (4:29) 22-D.Martin right tackle to IND 30 for 56 yards (20-D.Butler). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +3.64]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:52) — (3:52) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass incomplete short middle to 84-C.Brate (55-N.Irving). [WPA -2.7% · EPA -3.47]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Run formation) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +3.01]

Quarterback report card

M.Hasselbeck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Hasselbeck (Indianapolis Colts) · 48 dropbacks · 54.2% completion · +4.0% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +11.30 total EPA
  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 47 dropbacks · 42.6% completion · +0.8% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +3.16 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play-0.072+0.076
Offensive success rate38.1%42.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.067+0.236
Rush EPA/play-0.163-0.344
Defensive EPA/play-0.076+0.072
Defensive success rate57.4%61.9%

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs -0.07), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +7.14 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -6.08 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Hasselbeck (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Hasselbeck (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 53:18 · TB 31 · Score 0-3
    (8:18) 4-A.Vinatieri 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 47:55 · IND 20 · Score 3-3
    (2:55) 10-C.Barth 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  3. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 42:48 · TB 9 · Score 3-6
    (12:48) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 35:43 · IND 12 · Score 6-6
    (5:43) 10-C.Barth 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · IND 20 · Score 12-6
    (2:00) (Run formation) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 25:05 · TB 8 · Score 12-9
    (10:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 22:29 · TB 19 · Score 12-15
    (7:29) (No Huddle) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 22:22 · TB 15 · Score 12-16
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 16:07 · TB 26 · Score 12-19
    (1:07) 4-A.Vinatieri 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 5:58 · TB 3 · Score 12-25
    (5:58) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-12 in Week 12, 2015 on 2015-11-29.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12, Indianapolis Colts 25 (TB 12-25 IND) in Week 12, 2015 on 2015-11-29.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Indianapolis Colts 13; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Indianapolis Colts 6; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12, Indianapolis Colts 25.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 32:00) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Hilton (M. Hasselbeck pass) (Q3 22:29) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Hilton (M. Hasselbeck pass) (Q4 5:58) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 53:18, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q1 47:55, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 42:48, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q2 35:43, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 25:05, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 16:07, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?

M. Hasselbeck (Indianapolis Colts), 54.2% completion, +4.0% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +11.30 total passing EPA. J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 42.6% completion, +0.8% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +3.16 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?

M. Hasselbeck (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +11.30 on passing plays. across 48 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.80 EPA): (4:02) 10-C.Barth 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. PENALTY on TB-70-L.Mankins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 44.. The biggest win-probability swing was +13.8%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 5-5 Now 5-6 L

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 5-5 Now 6-5 W