FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · September 30, 2018 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears: 2018 Week 4 Recap

Bears defeat Buccaneers 48–10 in Week 4

Mitchell Trubisky led Fantasy Impact as Bears prevailed in a 10–48 Week 4 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 2–2
Final 10–48
Chicago Bears 48 3–1 Winner
Winner
Chicago Bears
Final score
10–48
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3–38 Chicago Bears
Top passer
Mitchell Trubisky
FantasyHQ MVP
Mitchell Trubisky
Game date
September 30, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Jameis Winston
    Jameis Winston 16/24 · 141 YDS · 1 TD +5.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 2 REC · 22 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 6 REC · 59 YDS +1.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bears

  • Mitchell Trubisky
    Mitchell Trubisky 19/31 · 370 YDS · 6 TD +28.7 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Gabriel 7 REC · 104 YDS · 2 TD +10.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Tarik Cohen
    Tarik Cohen 7 REC · 121 YDS · 1 TD +7.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Chicago Bears defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48–10 in Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-09-30, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+8.2% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Chicago Bears swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-09-30, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 48–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with +28.72 total EPA, and +12.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +28.72 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+8.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0307010
Chicago Bears142473048

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Trubisky · Chicago Bears · Passing · +28.72 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Gabriel · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +10.52 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Cohen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +7.63 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Burton · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +6.04 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +5.00 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.82 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Bellamy · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.43 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Trubisky · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +2.40 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Trubisky — CHI · Passing

M. Trubisky posted the highest total EPA (+28.72) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Chicago Bears's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.93 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.01 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (11:19) (No Huddle) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Trevathan (52-K.Mack) at CHI 28. 59-D.Trevathan to CHI 40 for 12 yards (76-D.Smith).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Chicago Bears — T. Burton (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 57:27)
  • Chicago Bears — A. Robinson (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 47:18)
  • Chicago Bears — T. Cohen (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 42:26)
  • Chicago Bears — J. Bellamy (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 39:05)
  • Chicago Bears — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 35:00)
  • Chicago Bears — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass) (Q3 25:32)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 13:36)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro (Q2 45:00)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Parkey (Q2 30:03)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Parkey (Q4 6:28)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 14–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 39 (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 57:20) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 14 (Q1 47:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 47:11) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 24–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CHI 12 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 7-C.Catanzaro 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q2 42:26) — (12:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 29-T.Cohen for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 42:21) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 20 (Q2 39:05) — (9:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 15-J.Bellamy for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 38:59) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q2 35:00) — (5:00) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 34:56) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the TB 32 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 1-C.Parkey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The third quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q3 25:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 25:28) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CHI 16 (Q4 13:36) — (13:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 13:30) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the TB 28 (Q4 6:28) — (6:28) 1-C.Parkey 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Chicago Bears (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +3.26]
  • Chicago Bears (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 27 for -10 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul). [WPA -6.4% · EPA -2.28]
  • Chicago Bears (Q1 58:13) — (13:13) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky right end to TB 39 for 23 yards (39-I.Johnson). [WPA +6.1% · EPA +1.89]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:27) — (1:27) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-D.Jackson pushed ob at CHI 17 for 48 yards (23-K.Fuller). [WPA +4.2% · EPA +3.43]
  • Chicago Bears (Q1 54:28) — (9:28) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 51 yards to TB 22, Center-48-P.Scales. 11-D.Jackson to TB 29 for 7 yards (27-S.McManis). PENALTY on TB-22-M.Williams, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 24. [WPA +4.1% · EPA +1.34]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 26:19) — (11:19) (No Huddle) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Trevathan (52-K.Mack) at CHI 28. 59-D.Trevathan to CHI 40 for 12 yards (76-D.Smith). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -5.01]
  • Chicago Bears (Q2 39:56) — (9:56) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 80-T.Burton to TB 20 for 47 yards (39-I.Johnson). [WPA +1.9% · EPA +3.47]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:27) — (1:27) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-D.Jackson pushed ob at CHI 17 for 48 yards (23-K.Fuller). [WPA +4.2% · EPA +3.43]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:32) — (1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 84-C.Brate INTERCEPTED by 99-A.Lynch at CHI 25. 99-A.Lynch to CHI 45 for 20 yards (62-E.Smith). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -3.36]

Quarterback report card

M.Trubisky led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Trubisky (Chicago Bears) · 31 dropbacks · 61.3% completion · +12.7% CPOE · +0.93 EPA/play · +28.72 total EPA
  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 24 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +12.4% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +5.00 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersChicago Bears
Offensive EPA/play-0.094+0.438
Offensive success rate37.0%65.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.046+0.926
Rush EPA/play-0.289+0.007
Defensive EPA/play-0.438+0.094
Defensive success rate34.6%63.0%

By the numbers

Chicago Bears held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.44 vs -0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Chicago Bears: 11 drives, +34.19 total EPA, 8 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -7.58 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Trubisky (CHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 57:27 · TB 39 · Score 0-6
    (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 57:20 · TB 15 · Score 0-7
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  3. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 47:18 · TB 14 · Score 0-13
    (2:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 47:11 · TB 15 · Score 0-14
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · CHI 12 · Score 3-14
    (15:00) 7-C.Catanzaro 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  6. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 42:26 · TB 9 · Score 3-20
    (12:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 29-T.Cohen for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 42:21 · TB 15 · Score 3-21
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  8. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 39:05 · TB 20 · Score 3-27
    (9:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 15-J.Bellamy for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 38:59 · TB 15 · Score 3-28
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  10. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 35:00 · TB 3 · Score 3-34
    (5:00) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 34:56 · TB 15 · Score 3-35
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  12. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · TB 32 · Score 3-38
    (:03) 1-C.Parkey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  13. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 25:32 · TB 3 · Score 3-44
    (10:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 25:28 · TB 15 · Score 3-45
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 13:36 · CHI 16 · Score 9-45
    (13:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 13:30 · CHI 15 · Score 10-45
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  17. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 6:28 · TB 28 · Score 10-48
    (6:28) 1-C.Parkey 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

The Chicago Bears beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-10 in Week 4, 2018 on 2018-09-30.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Chicago Bears 48 (TB 10-48 CHI) in Week 4, 2018 on 2018-09-30.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Chicago Bears 14; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Chicago Bears 24; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Chicago Bears 7; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Chicago Bears 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Chicago Bears 48.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Burton (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 57:27) Chicago Bears touchdown — A. Robinson (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 47:18) Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Cohen (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 42:26) Chicago Bears touchdown — J. Bellamy (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 39:05) Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 35:00) Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass) (Q3 25:32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 13:36) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q2 45:00, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Parkey (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Parkey (Q4 6:28, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears), 61.3% completion, +12.7% CPOE, +0.93 EPA per dropback, +28.72 total passing EPA. J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 66.7% completion, +12.4% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +5.00 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) led the game in total EPA with +28.72 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.01 EPA): (11:19) (No Huddle) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Trevathan (52-K.Mack) at CHI 28. 59-D.Trevathan to CHI 40 for 12 yards (76-D.Smith).. The biggest win-probability swing was +8.2%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L

Chicago Bears

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W