Game story
In Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-09-30, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 48–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with +28.72 total EPA, and +12.7% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +28.72 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+8.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| Chicago Bears | 14 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 48 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Trubisky · Chicago Bears · Passing · +28.72 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
- 2 T. Gabriel · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +10.52 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
- 3 T. Cohen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +7.63 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
- 4 T. Burton · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +6.04 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
- 5 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +5.00 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
- 6 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.82 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
- 7 J. Bellamy · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.43 EPA/play
- 8 M. Trubisky · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +2.40 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Trubisky — CHI · Passing
M. Trubisky posted the highest total EPA (+28.72) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Chicago Bears's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.93 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.01 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (11:19) (No Huddle) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Trevathan (52-K.Mack) at CHI 28. 59-D.Trevathan to CHI 40 for 12 yards (76-D.Smith).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Chicago Bears — T. Burton (M. Trubisky pass)
- Chicago Bears — A. Robinson (M. Trubisky pass)
- Chicago Bears — T. Cohen (M. Trubisky pass)
- Chicago Bears — J. Bellamy (M. Trubisky pass)
- Chicago Bears — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass)
- Chicago Bears — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro
- Chicago Bears — C. Parkey
- Chicago Bears — C. Parkey
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 14–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 39 (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 57:20) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 14 (Q1 47:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 47:11) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..
The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 24–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CHI 12 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 7-C.Catanzaro 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q2 42:26) — (12:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 29-T.Cohen for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 42:21) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 20 (Q2 39:05) — (9:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 15-J.Bellamy for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 38:59) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q2 35:00) — (5:00) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 34:56) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the TB 32 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 1-C.Parkey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..
The third quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q3 25:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 25:28) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CHI 16 (Q4 13:36) — (13:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 13:30) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the TB 28 (Q4 6:28) — (6:28) 1-C.Parkey 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Chicago Bears (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Chicago Bears (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 27 for -10 yards (90-J.Pierre-Paul).
- Chicago Bears (Q1 58:13) — (13:13) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky right end to TB 39 for 23 yards (39-I.Johnson).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:27) — (1:27) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-D.Jackson pushed ob at CHI 17 for 48 yards (23-K.Fuller).
- Chicago Bears (Q1 54:28) — (9:28) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 51 yards to TB 22, Center-48-P.Scales. 11-D.Jackson to TB 29 for 7 yards (27-S.McManis). PENALTY on TB-22-M.Williams, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 24.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 26:19) — (11:19) (No Huddle) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Trevathan (52-K.Mack) at CHI 28. 59-D.Trevathan to CHI 40 for 12 yards (76-D.Smith).
- Chicago Bears (Q2 39:56) — (9:56) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 80-T.Burton to TB 20 for 47 yards (39-I.Johnson).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:27) — (1:27) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-D.Jackson pushed ob at CHI 17 for 48 yards (23-K.Fuller).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:32) — (1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 84-C.Brate INTERCEPTED by 99-A.Lynch at CHI 25. 99-A.Lynch to CHI 45 for 20 yards (62-E.Smith).
Quarterback report card
M.Trubisky led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- M.Trubisky (Chicago Bears) · 31 dropbacks · 61.3% completion · +12.7% CPOE · +0.93 EPA/play · +28.72 total EPA
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 24 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +12.4% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +5.00 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.094 | +0.438 |
| Offensive success rate | 37.0% | 65.4% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.046 | +0.926 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.289 | +0.007 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.438 | +0.094 |
| Defensive success rate | 34.6% | 63.0% |
By the numbers
Chicago Bears held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.44 vs -0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Chicago Bears: 11 drives, +34.19 total EPA, 8 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -7.58 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- M. Trubisky (CHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 57:27 · TB 39 · Score 0-6
(12:27) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 80-T.Burton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 57:20 · TB 15 · Score 0-7
1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 47:18 · TB 14 · Score 0-13
(2:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 47:11 · TB 15 · Score 0-14
1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · CHI 12 · Score 3-14
(15:00) 7-C.Catanzaro 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 42:26 · TB 9 · Score 3-20
(12:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 29-T.Cohen for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 42:21 · TB 15 · Score 3-21
1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 39:05 · TB 20 · Score 3-27
(9:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 15-J.Bellamy for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 38:59 · TB 15 · Score 3-28
1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 35:00 · TB 3 · Score 3-34
(5:00) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 34:56 · TB 15 · Score 3-35
1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · TB 32 · Score 3-38
(:03) 1-C.Parkey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 25:32 · TB 3 · Score 3-44
(10:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 18-T.Gabriel for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 25:28 · TB 15 · Score 3-45
1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 13:36 · CHI 16 · Score 9-45
(13:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 13:30 · CHI 15 · Score 10-45
7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 6:28 · TB 28 · Score 10-48
(6:28) 1-C.Parkey 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?
The Chicago Bears beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-10 in Week 4, 2018 on 2018-09-30.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Chicago Bears 48 (TB 10-48 CHI) in Week 4, 2018 on 2018-09-30.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Chicago Bears 14; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Chicago Bears 24; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Chicago Bears 7; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Chicago Bears 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Chicago Bears 48.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?
Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Burton (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 57:27) Chicago Bears touchdown — A. Robinson (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 47:18) Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Cohen (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 42:26) Chicago Bears touchdown — J. Bellamy (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 39:05) Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass) (Q2 35:00) Chicago Bears touchdown — T. Gabriel (M. Trubisky pass) (Q3 25:32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 13:36) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q2 45:00, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Parkey (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Parkey (Q4 6:28, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?
M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears), 61.3% completion, +12.7% CPOE, +0.93 EPA per dropback, +28.72 total passing EPA. J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 66.7% completion, +12.4% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +5.00 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?
M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) led the game in total EPA with +28.72 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.01 EPA): (11:19) (No Huddle) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Trevathan (52-K.Mack) at CHI 28. 59-D.Trevathan to CHI 40 for 12 yards (76-D.Smith).. The biggest win-probability swing was +8.2%.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L
Chicago Bears
Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W