Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-11-15, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 46–23 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +21.56 total EPA, and +13.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.56 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+21.2% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (7:53) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +21.56 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +8.20 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +7.46 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.49 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Jones · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +6.98 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.79 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Gronkowski · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.98 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Brown · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.92 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Thompson · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.34 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — C. Thompson (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q1 53:26)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q1 48:43)
• Carolina Panthers — D. Moore (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q1 46:54)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:35)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Jones (Q3 22:53)
• Carolina Panthers — T. Scott (Q4 11:32)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — T. Brady (Q4 6:25)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q4 4:30)

Field goals

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q2 40:03)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q2 34:01)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q3 26:02)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q3 18:14)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q4 12:47)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 7 (Q1 53:26) — (8:26) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right to 86-C.Thompson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 53:19) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 5 (Q1 48:43) — (3:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 48:37) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 24 (Q1 46:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short left to 12-D.Moore for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 46:45) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 5 (Q2 40:03) — (10:03) 3-R.Succop 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the TB 28 (Q2 34:01) — (4:01) 4-J.Slye 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q2 30:35) — (:35) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 30:27) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 12–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 6 (Q3 26:02) — (11:02) 3-R.Succop 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 98 (Q3 22:53) — (7:53) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 3 (Q3 18:14) — (3:14) 3-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 17–6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 22 (Q4 12:47) — (12:47) 3-R.Succop 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q4 11:32) — (11:32) 73-T.Scott reported in as eligible. 5-T.Bridgewater scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q4 6:25) — (6:25) 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 6:18); Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 7 (Q4 4:30) — (4:30) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 4:24) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 22:53) — (7:53) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.2% · EPA +7.70]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 27:43) — (12:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 14-C.Godwin pushed ob at CAR 23 for 31 yards (33-T.Boston). CAR-42-S.Franklin was injured during the play. His return is Probable. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +2.57]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 57:36) — (12:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 27-R.Jones to TB 32 for 6 yards (54-S.Thompson). FUMBLES (54-S.Thompson), RECOVERED by CAR-33-T.Boston at TB 33. [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.38]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski to CAR 4 for 44 yards (25-T.Pride). [WPA +10.8% · EPA +4.44]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right intended for 12-D.Moore INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Pierre-Paul [58-S.Barrett] at CAR 38. 90-J.Pierre-Paul to CAR 38 for no gain (12-D.Moore). [WPA -9.1% · EPA -4.76]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 22:53) — (7:53) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.2% · EPA +7.70]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right intended for 12-D.Moore INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Pierre-Paul [58-S.Barrett] at CAR 38. 90-J.Pierre-Paul to CAR 38 for no gain (12-D.Moore). [WPA -9.1% · EPA -4.76]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 12:40) — 8-B.Pinion kicks 67 yards from TB 35 to CAR -2. 36-T.Cannon to TB 4 for 98 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting). [WPA +5.5% · EPA +4.53]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski to CAR 4 for 44 yards (25-T.Pride). [WPA +10.8% · EPA +4.44]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 44 dropbacks · 63.6% completion · +13.0% CPOE · +0.49 EPA/play · +21.56 total EPA
• T.Bridgewater (Carolina Panthers) · 30 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +7.6% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -1.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.27 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, -4.91 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +26.38 total EPA, 9 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• T. Bridgewater (CAR) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 53:26 · TB 7 · Score 0-6
   (8:26) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short right to 86-C.Thompson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 53:19 · TB 15 · Score 0-7
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 48:43 · CAR 5 · Score 6-7
   (3:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 48:37 · CAR 15 · Score 7-7
   3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 46:54 · TB 24 · Score 7-13
   (1:54) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short left to 12-D.Moore for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 46:45 · TB 15 · Score 7-14
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 40:03 · CAR 5 · Score 10-14
   (10:03) 3-R.Succop 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 34:01 · TB 28 · Score 10-17
   (4:01) 4-J.Slye 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:35 · CAR 3 · Score 16-17
   (:35) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:27 · CAR 15 · Score 17-17
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 26:02 · CAR 6 · Score 20-17
    (11:02) 3-R.Succop 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 22:53 · CAR 98 · Score 26-17
    (7:53) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 18:14 · CAR 3 · Score 29-17
    (3:14) 3-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 12:47 · CAR 22 · Score 32-17
    (12:47) 3-R.Succop 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
15. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 11:32 · TB 3 · Score 32-23
    (11:32) 73-T.Scott reported in as eligible. 5-T.Bridgewater scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 6:25 · CAR 1 · Score 38-23
    (6:25) 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 6:18 · CAR 15 · Score 39-23
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. PENALTY on CAR-25-T.Pride, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 4:30 · CAR 7 · Score 45-23
    (4:30) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 4:24 · CAR 15 · Score 46-23
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.