Game story
In Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-10, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 17–14 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +5.36 total EPA, and +2.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.36 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+22.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:03) 19-R.Aguayo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +5.36 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
- 2 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.24 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
- 3 G. Olsen · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.39 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
- 4 C. Artis-Payne · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.84 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
- 5 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.73 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
- 6 F. Whittaker · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.67 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
- 7 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
- 8 B. Myers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.07 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Winston — TB · Passing
J. Winston posted the highest total EPA (+5.36) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 37 counted snaps, they averaged +0.14 EPA per play.
The signature play (-7.08 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (8:45) 3-D.Anderson pass short right intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes at TB -5. Touchback.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Carolina Panthers — C. Artis-Payne
- Carolina Panthers — C. Artis-Payne
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 17 (Q1 51:32) — (6:32) 19-R.Aguayo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 17 (Q2 30:48) — (:48) 19-R.Aguayo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–8. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q3 24:12) — (9:12) 34-C.Artis-Payne up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 24:12) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-A.Lee.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 12 (Q3 21:11) — (6:11) 34-C.Artis-Payne left tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 21:03) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 26 (Q3 19:34) — (4:34) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the CAR 2 (Q3 19:27) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Winston pass to 11-A.Humphries is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 20 (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 19-R.Aguayo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 19-R.Aguayo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
- Carolina Panthers (Q4 8:45) — (8:45) 3-D.Anderson pass short right intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes at TB -5. Touchback.
- Carolina Panthers (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 9-G.Gano 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-A.Lee.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 39:03) — (9:03) 9-B.Anger punts 48 yards to CAR 29, Center-48-A.DePaola. 19-T.Ginn MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by TB-89-R.Shepard at CAR 30. 89-R.Shepard to CAR 30 for no gain (19-T.Ginn).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:49) — (:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 83-V.Jackson to CAR 44 for 14 yards.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Carolina Panthers (Q4 8:45) — (8:45) 3-D.Anderson pass short right intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes at TB -5. Touchback.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 39:03) — (9:03) 9-B.Anger punts 48 yards to CAR 29, Center-48-A.DePaola. 19-T.Ginn MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by TB-89-R.Shepard at CAR 30. 89-R.Shepard to CAR 30 for no gain (19-T.Ginn).
- Carolina Panthers (Q4 14:23) — (14:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-D.Anderson scrambles right guard to TB 40 for 4 yards (75-D.Lambert). FUMBLES (75-D.Lambert), RECOVERED by TB-92-W.Gholston at TB 40. 92-W.Gholston to TB 40 for no gain
- Carolina Panthers (Q2 34:15) — (4:15) (Shotgun) 3-D.Anderson pass short left intended for 13-K.Benjamin INTERCEPTED by 51-Da.Smith (28-V.Hargreaves) at TB 47. 51-Da.Smith to TB 42 for -5 yards (34-C.Artis-Payne).
Quarterback report card
J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 37 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · +2.9% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +5.36 total EPA
- D.Anderson (Carolina Panthers) · 29 dropbacks · 62.1% completion · +2.2% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -4.45 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Carolina Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.015 | -0.060 |
| Offensive success rate | 42.2% | 50.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.145 | -0.153 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.039 | +0.142 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.060 | -0.015 |
| Defensive success rate | 50.0% | 57.8% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.01 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, -4.20 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, +1.38 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 51:32 · CAR 17 · Score 3-0
(6:32) 19-R.Aguayo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:48 · CAR 17 · Score 6-0
(:48) 19-R.Aguayo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 24:12 · TB 1 · Score 6-6
(9:12) 34-C.Artis-Payne up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 24:12 · TB 15 · Score 6-7
9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-A.Lee. - Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 21:11 · TB 12 · Score 6-13
(6:11) 34-C.Artis-Payne left tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 21:03 · TB 15 · Score 6-14
9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-A.Lee. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 19:34 · CAR 26 · Score 12-14
(4:34) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q3 19:27 · CAR 2 · Score 14-14
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Winston pass to 11-A.Humphries is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 0:03 · CAR 20 · Score 17-14
(:03) 19-R.Aguayo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 17-14 in Week 5, 2016 on 2016-10-10.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17, Carolina Panthers 14 (TB 17-14 CAR) in Week 5, 2016 on 2016-10-10.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Carolina Panthers 0; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Carolina Panthers 0; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8, Carolina Panthers 14; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Carolina Panthers 0; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17, Carolina Panthers 14.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
Carolina Panthers touchdown — C. Artis-Payne (Q3 24:12) Carolina Panthers touchdown — C. Artis-Payne (Q3 21:11) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q3 19:34) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q1 51:32, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q2 30:48, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q4 0:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 48.6% completion, +2.9% CPOE, +0.14 EPA per dropback, +5.36 total passing EPA. D. Anderson (Carolina Panthers), 62.1% completion, +2.2% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -4.45 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +5.36 on passing plays. across 37 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.08 EPA): (8:45) 3-D.Anderson pass short right intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Grimes at TB -5. Touchback.. The biggest win-probability swing was +22.0%.
Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 17-14 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 1-3 Now 2-3 W
Carolina Panthers
Entered 1-3 Now 1-4 L
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