FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · December 5, 2021 · 11 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2021 Week 13 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Falcons 30–17 in Week 13

T.Brady led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 30–17 Week 13 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 9–3 Winner
Final 30–17
Atlanta Falcons 17 5–7
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
30–17
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20–17 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Brady
Game date
December 5, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • T.Brady 38/52 · 368 YDS · 5 TD +16.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 15 REC · 143 YDS +8.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 7 REC · 99 YDS +7.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Russell Gage Jr.
    Russell Gage Jr. 11 REC · 131 YDS +7.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Olamide Zaccheaus
    Olamide Zaccheaus 3 REC · 44 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Michael Davis
    Michael Davis 4 CAR · 32 YDS · 1 TD +1.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 30–17 in Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-05, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-17.2% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-05, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 30–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +16.75 total EPA, and +2.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.75 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 7-L.Fournette INTERCEPTED by 90-M.Davidson at TB 3. 90-M.Davidson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers13773030
Atlanta Falcons71000017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +16.75 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +8.74 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +7.04 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
  4. 4 R. Gage · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.00 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Gronkowski · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.63 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  6. 6 O. Zaccheaus · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.34 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Davis · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +1.36 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Pitts · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.30 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Brady — TB · Passing

T. Brady posted the highest total EPA (+16.75) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 52 counted snaps, they averaged +0.32 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.97 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 7-L.Fournette INTERCEPTED by 90-M.Davidson at TB 3. 90-M.Davidson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — L. Fournette (T. Brady pass) (Q1 55:00)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Davis (Q1 51:44)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q1 49:30)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q2 35:01)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Davidson (Q2 30:27)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:34)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q2 38:43)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q4 1:53)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q1 55:00) — (10:00) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 54:53) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 17 (Q1 51:44) — (6:44) 28-M.Davis left tackle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 51:40) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q1 49:30) — (4:30) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–7. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 3 (Q2 38:43) — (8:43) 7-Y.Koo 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 27 (Q2 35:01) — (5:01) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 34:54) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 92 (Q2 30:27); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 30:22) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 11 (Q3 15:34) — (:34) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 15:29) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 13 (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) 3-R.Succop 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 7-L.Fournette INTERCEPTED by 90-M.Davidson at TB 3. 90-M.Davidson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.2% · EPA -6.97]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 35:01) — (5:01) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.8% · EPA +3.45]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:26) — (5:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans ran ob at ATL 11 for 36 yards. [WPA +11.4% · EPA +2.87]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 43:38) — (13:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 8-K.Pitts pushed ob at TB 26 for 29 yards (43-R.Cockrell). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.32]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 22:04) — (7:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at TB 48 for -8 yards (93-N.Suh). [WPA -9.6% · EPA -2.51]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 7-L.Fournette INTERCEPTED by 90-M.Davidson at TB 3. 90-M.Davidson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.2% · EPA -6.97]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 57:08) — (12:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 7-L.Fournette to ATL 32 for 6 yards (45-D.Jones). [WPA +9.2% · EPA +3.62]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 35:01) — (5:01) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.8% · EPA +3.45]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 43:38) — (13:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 8-K.Pitts pushed ob at TB 26 for 29 yards (43-R.Cockrell). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.32]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 52 dropbacks · 73.1% completion · +2.9% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +16.75 total EPA
  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 49 dropbacks · 61.2% completion · +4.8% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -5.11 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.147-0.061
Offensive success rate45.1%42.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.322-0.104
Rush EPA/play-0.191+0.020
Defensive EPA/play+0.061-0.147
Defensive success rate57.8%54.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -5.46 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, +12.02 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 55:00 · ATL 3 · Score 6-0
    (10:00) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 7-L.Fournette for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 54:53 · ATL 15 · Score 7-0
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 51:44 · TB 17 · Score 7-6
    (6:44) 28-M.Davis left tackle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 51:40 · TB 15 · Score 7-7
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 49:30 · ATL 3 · Score 13-7
    (4:30) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 38:43 · TB 3 · Score 13-10
    (8:43) 7-Y.Koo 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 35:01 · ATL 27 · Score 19-10
    (5:01) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 34:54 · ATL 15 · Score 20-10
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 30:27 · ATL 92 · Score 20-16
    (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 7-L.Fournette INTERCEPTED by 90-M.Davidson at TB 3. 90-M.Davidson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 30:22 · TB 15 · Score 20-17
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:34 · ATL 11 · Score 26-17
    (:34) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:29 · ATL 15 · Score 27-17
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 1:53 · ATL 13 · Score 30-17
    (1:53) 3-R.Succop 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 30-17 in Week 13, 2021 on 2021-12-05.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30, Atlanta Falcons 17 (TB 30-17 ATL) in Week 13, 2021 on 2021-12-05.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 10; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Atlanta Falcons 0; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30, Atlanta Falcons 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — L. Fournette (T. Brady pass) (Q1 55:00) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Davis (Q1 51:44) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q1 49:30) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q2 35:01) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Davidson (Q2 30:27) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:34) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q2 38:43, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q4 1:53, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 73.1% completion, +2.9% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +16.75 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 61.2% completion, +4.8% CPOE, -0.10 EPA per dropback, -5.11 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +16.75 on passing plays. across 52 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.97 EPA): (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 7-L.Fournette INTERCEPTED by 90-M.Davidson at TB 3. 90-M.Davidson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.2%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 8-3 Now 9-3 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 5-6 Now 5-7 L