FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 6 · October 14, 2018 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2018 Week 6 Recap

Falcons defeat Buccaneers 34–29 in Week 6

Matt Ryan led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 29–34 Week 6 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29 2–3
Final 29–34
Atlanta Falcons 34 2–4 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
29–34
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13–24 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Jameis Winston
FantasyHQ MVP
Matt Ryan
Game date
October 14, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Jameis Winston
    Jameis Winston 30/48 · 403 YDS · 4 TD +15.2 Fantasy Impact
  • O.Howard 4 REC · 62 YDS · 1 TD +6.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Adam Humphries
    Adam Humphries 3 REC · 82 YDS +5.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 31/45 · 360 YDS · 3 TD +21.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 10 REC · 144 YDS +8.7 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Sanu 2 REC · 46 YDS · 1 TD +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34–29 in Week 6 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-14, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-34.5% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 6 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-14, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 34–29 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +15.22 total EPA, and +12.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.08 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-34.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:07) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston up the middle to ATL 10 for 11 yards. FUMBLES, touched at ATL 8, recovered by TB-13-M.Evans at ATL 5. 13-M.Evans to ATL 5 for no gain. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at ATL 8.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers67313029
Atlanta Falcons717010034

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +21.08 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +15.22 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +8.71 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
  4. 4 O. Howard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.95 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.50 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Sanu · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Hooper · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.09 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
  8. 8 C. Ridley · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.50 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Ryan — ATL · Passing

M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+21.08) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 45 counted snaps, they averaged +0.47 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.21 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q1 56:43)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Sanu (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 53:29)
  • Atlanta Falcons — I. Smith (Q2 42:27)
  • Atlanta Falcons — A. Hooper (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 37:38)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — O. Howard (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:32)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Godwin (J. Winston pass) (Q4 11:40)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Coleman (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 6:34)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Barber (J. Winston pass) (Q4 3:52)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 30:06)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro (Q3 17:43)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 1:16)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 15 (Q1 56:43); Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 35 (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 53:22) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 17–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 14 (Q2 42:27) — (12:27) 25-I.Smith left guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 42:19) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q2 37:38) — (7:38) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 81-A.Hooper for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:30) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 10 (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 80-O.Howard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 30:26) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 27 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 3-M.Bryant 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 17 (Q3 17:43) — (2:43) 7-C.Catanzaro 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 9 (Q4 11:40) — (11:40) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 12-C.Godwin for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q4 6:34) — (6:34) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 26-T.Coleman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 6:28) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 5 (Q4 3:52) — (3:52) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 25-P.Barber for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q4 3:47) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 39 (Q4 1:16) — (1:16) 3-M.Bryant 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. ATL-3-M.Bryant was injured during the play..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston up the middle to ATL 10 for 11 yards. FUMBLES, touched at ATL 8, recovered by TB-13-M.Evans at ATL 5. 13-M.Evans to ATL 5 for no gain. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at ATL 8. [WPA -34.5% · EPA -2.25]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:16) — (1:16) 3-M.Bryant 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. ATL-3-M.Bryant was injured during the play. [WPA -12.9% · EPA +1.72]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +3.03]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 25:45) — (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -6.21]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.17]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 25:45) — (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -6.21]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 27:29) — (12:29) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 10-A.Humphries to ATL 2 for 51 yards (27-D.Kazee). [WPA +5.4% · EPA +3.95]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.17]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +3.03]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +12.3% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +15.22 total EPA
  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 45 dropbacks · 68.9% completion · +8.8% CPOE · +0.47 EPA/play · +21.08 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.154+0.190
Offensive success rate46.9%47.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.317+0.469
Rush EPA/play+0.030-0.223
Defensive EPA/play-0.190-0.154
Defensive success rate52.3%53.1%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.15, Atlanta Falcons +0.19) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +16.33 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +12.49 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 56:43 · ATL 15 · Score 6-0
    (11:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined.
  2. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:29 · TB 35 · Score 6-6
    (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:22 · TB 15 · Score 6-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  4. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 42:27 · TB 14 · Score 6-13
    (12:27) 25-I.Smith left guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 42:19 · TB 15 · Score 6-14
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  6. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 37:38 · TB 9 · Score 6-20
    (7:38) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 81-A.Hooper for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 37:30 · TB 15 · Score 6-21
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:32 · ATL 10 · Score 12-21
    (:32) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 80-O.Howard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:26 · ATL 15 · Score 13-21
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  10. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · TB 27 · Score 13-24
    (:06) 3-M.Bryant 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 17:43 · ATL 17 · Score 16-24
    (2:43) 7-C.Catanzaro 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:40 · ATL 9 · Score 22-24
    (11:40) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 12-C.Godwin for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 6:34 · TB 6 · Score 22-30
    (6:34) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 26-T.Coleman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 6:28 · TB 15 · Score 22-31
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:52 · ATL 5 · Score 28-31
    (3:52) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 25-P.Barber for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:47 · ATL 15 · Score 29-31
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  17. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 1:16 · TB 39 · Score 29-34
    (1:16) 3-M.Bryant 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. ATL-3-M.Bryant was injured during the play.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-29 in Week 6, 2018 on 2018-10-14.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29, Atlanta Falcons 34 (TB 29-34 ATL) in Week 6, 2018 on 2018-10-14.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 17; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13, Atlanta Falcons 10; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29, Atlanta Falcons 34.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q1 56:43) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Sanu (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 53:29) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — I. Smith (Q2 42:27) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — A. Hooper (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 37:38) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — O. Howard (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Godwin (J. Winston pass) (Q4 11:40) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Coleman (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 6:34) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — P. Barber (J. Winston pass) (Q4 3:52) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 30:06, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q3 17:43, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 1:16, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.5% completion, +12.3% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +15.22 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 68.9% completion, +8.8% CPOE, +0.47 EPA per dropback, +21.08 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +21.08 on passing plays. across 45 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.21 EPA): (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet).. The biggest win-probability swing was -34.5%.

Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 5 points. Atlanta Falcons won 34-29 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-2 Now 2-3 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 1-4 Now 2-4 W