Game story
In Week 6 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-14, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 34–29 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +15.22 total EPA, and +12.3% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.08 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-34.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:07) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston up the middle to ATL 10 for 11 yards. FUMBLES, touched at ATL 8, recovered by TB-13-M.Evans at ATL 5. 13-M.Evans to ATL 5 for no gain. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at ATL 8.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 29 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 34 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +21.08 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
- 2 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +15.22 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
- 3 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +8.71 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
- 4 O. Howard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.95 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
- 5 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.50 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
- 6 M. Sanu · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
- 7 A. Hooper · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.09 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
- 8 C. Ridley · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.50 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Ryan — ATL · Passing
M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+21.08) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 45 counted snaps, they averaged +0.47 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.21 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Sanu (M. Ryan pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — I. Smith
- Atlanta Falcons — A. Hooper (M. Ryan pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — O. Howard (J. Winston pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Godwin (J. Winston pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — T. Coleman (M. Ryan pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Barber (J. Winston pass)
Field goals
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 15 (Q1 56:43); Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 35 (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 53:22) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..
The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 17–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 14 (Q2 42:27) — (12:27) 25-I.Smith left guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 42:19) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q2 37:38) — (7:38) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 81-A.Hooper for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:30) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 10 (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 80-O.Howard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 30:26) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 27 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 3-M.Bryant 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 17 (Q3 17:43) — (2:43) 7-C.Catanzaro 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 9 (Q4 11:40) — (11:40) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 12-C.Godwin for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q4 6:34) — (6:34) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 26-T.Coleman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 6:28) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 5 (Q4 3:52) — (3:52) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 25-P.Barber for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q4 3:47) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 39 (Q4 1:16) — (1:16) 3-M.Bryant 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. ATL-3-M.Bryant was injured during the play..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston up the middle to ATL 10 for 11 yards. FUMBLES, touched at ATL 8, recovered by TB-13-M.Evans at ATL 5. 13-M.Evans to ATL 5 for no gain. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at ATL 8.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:16) — (1:16) 3-M.Bryant 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. ATL-3-M.Bryant was injured during the play.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 25:45) — (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 25:45) — (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 27:29) — (12:29) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 10-A.Humphries to ATL 2 for 51 yards (27-D.Kazee).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +12.3% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +15.22 total EPA
- M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 45 dropbacks · 68.9% completion · +8.8% CPOE · +0.47 EPA/play · +21.08 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.154 | +0.190 |
| Offensive success rate | 46.9% | 47.7% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.317 | +0.469 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.030 | -0.223 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.190 | -0.154 |
| Defensive success rate | 52.3% | 53.1% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.15, Atlanta Falcons +0.19) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +16.33 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +12.49 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 56:43 · ATL 15 · Score 6-0
(11:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:29 · TB 35 · Score 6-6
(8:29) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Sanu for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:22 · TB 15 · Score 6-7
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 42:27 · TB 14 · Score 6-13
(12:27) 25-I.Smith left guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 42:19 · TB 15 · Score 6-14
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 37:38 · TB 9 · Score 6-20
(7:38) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 81-A.Hooper for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 37:30 · TB 15 · Score 6-21
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:32 · ATL 10 · Score 12-21
(:32) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 80-O.Howard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:26 · ATL 15 · Score 13-21
7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · TB 27 · Score 13-24
(:06) 3-M.Bryant 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 17:43 · ATL 17 · Score 16-24
(2:43) 7-C.Catanzaro 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:40 · ATL 9 · Score 22-24
(11:40) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 12-C.Godwin for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 6:34 · TB 6 · Score 22-30
(6:34) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 26-T.Coleman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 6:28 · TB 15 · Score 22-31
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:52 · ATL 5 · Score 28-31
(3:52) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 25-P.Barber for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:47 · ATL 15 · Score 29-31
7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 1:16 · TB 39 · Score 29-34
(1:16) 3-M.Bryant 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. ATL-3-M.Bryant was injured during the play.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-29 in Week 6, 2018 on 2018-10-14.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29, Atlanta Falcons 34 (TB 29-34 ATL) in Week 6, 2018 on 2018-10-14.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 17; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13, Atlanta Falcons 10; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29, Atlanta Falcons 34.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q1 56:43) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Sanu (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 53:29) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — I. Smith (Q2 42:27) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — A. Hooper (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 37:38) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — O. Howard (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Godwin (J. Winston pass) (Q4 11:40) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Coleman (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 6:34) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — P. Barber (J. Winston pass) (Q4 3:52) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 30:06, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q3 17:43, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 1:16, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.5% completion, +12.3% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +15.22 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 68.9% completion, +8.8% CPOE, +0.47 EPA per dropback, +21.08 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +21.08 on passing plays. across 45 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.21 EPA): (10:45) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 34-B.Poole (42-D.Riley) at ATL -8. Touchback (74-A.Marpet).. The biggest win-probability swing was -34.5%.
Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?
Yes — the margin was 5 points. Atlanta Falcons won 34-29 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 2-2 Now 2-3 L
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 1-4 Now 2-4 W