FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 11 · November 18, 2007 · 11 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2007 Week 11 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Falcons 31–7 in Week 11

Arian Smith led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 31–7 Week 11 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31 6–4 Winner
Final 31–7
Atlanta Falcons 7 3–7
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
31–7
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14–0 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
B. Leftwich
FantasyHQ MVP
Arian Smith
Game date
November 18, 2007

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Arian Smith
    Arian Smith 3 REC · 51 YDS · 1 TD +6.4 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Galloway 2 REC · 63 YDS · 1 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Graham 17 CAR · 102 YDS · 1 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • M.Jenkins 9 REC · 73 YDS +5.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Layden Robinson
    Layden Robinson 2 REC · 43 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Anfernee Jennings
    Anfernee Jennings 2 REC · 11 YDS · 1 TD +3.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 31–7 in Week 11 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-11-18, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-14.8% win probability) came in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 11 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-11-18, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 31–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Leftwich (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -25.72 total EPA, and -17.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Smith (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (10:54) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich sacked at ATL 36 for -2 yards (91-G.White). FUMBLES (91-G.White), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 41. 20-R.Barber for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers77107031
Atlanta Falcons000707

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Smith · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.42 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.14 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Galloway · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.65 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.82 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Jenkins · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Robinson · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.06 EPA/play
  5. 5 E. Graham · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +3.77 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Jennings · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.56 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Harrington · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +2.66 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.21 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Smith — TB · Receiving

A. Smith posted the highest total EPA (+6.42) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 3 counted snaps, they averaged +2.14 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.02 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (10:54) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich sacked at ATL 36 for -2 yards (91-G.White). FUMBLES (91-G.White), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 41. 20-R.Barber for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Galloway (J. Garcia pass) (Q1 52:50)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Barber (Q2 40:54)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass) (Q3 19:57)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — E. Graham (Q4 15:00)
  • Atlanta Falcons — A. Jennings (J. Harrington pass) (Q4 1:14)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant (Q3 21:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 44 (Q1 52:50) — (7:50) 7-J.Garcia pass deep left to 84-J.Galloway for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 52:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 62 (Q2 40:54); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 40:42) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 5 (Q3 21:39) — (6:39) 3-M.Bryant 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 21 (Q3 19:57) — (4:57) 7-J.Garcia pass deep right to 81-A.Smith for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 19:51) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 26 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 34-E.Graham right end for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 14:53) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 7 (Q4 1:14) — (1:14) (Shotgun) 13-J.Harrington pass short left to 81-A.Jennings for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 1:10) — 5-M.Andersen extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 40:54) — (10:54) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich sacked at ATL 36 for -2 yards (91-G.White). FUMBLES (91-G.White), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 41. 20-R.Barber for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.8% · EPA -8.02]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 52:50) — (7:50) 7-J.Garcia pass deep left to 84-J.Galloway for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +4.38]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:55) — (8:55) 4-B.Leftwich pass short middle intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 51-B.Ruud [71-J.Haye] at TB 23. 51-B.Ruud to TB 28 for 5 yards (12-M.Jenkins). [WPA -13.0% · EPA -4.92]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 54:06) — (9:06) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 32-M.Pittman to TB 30 for 11 yards (23-C.Houston). FUMBLES (23-C.Houston), RECOVERED by ATL-56-K.Brooking at TB 33. 56-K.Brooking to TB 31 for 2 yards (75-D.Josep [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.28]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 53:09) — (8:09) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 81-A.Smith to TB 41 for 7 yards (25-C.Crocker). PENALTY on ATL-55-J.Abraham, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at TB 41. [WPA +5.1% · EPA +1.59]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 40:54) — (10:54) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich sacked at ATL 36 for -2 yards (91-G.White). FUMBLES (91-G.White), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 41. 20-R.Barber for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.8% · EPA -8.02]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 21:27) — (6:27) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich pass short left intended for 83-A.Crumpler INTERCEPTED by 95-C.Hovan at ATL 30. 95-C.Hovan to ATL 27 for 3 yards (4-B.Leftwich). [WPA -4.0% · EPA -5.72]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:55) — (8:55) 4-B.Leftwich pass short middle intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 51-B.Ruud [71-J.Haye] at TB 23. 51-B.Ruud to TB 28 for 5 yards (12-M.Jenkins). [WPA -13.0% · EPA -4.92]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 52:50) — (7:50) 7-J.Garcia pass deep left to 84-J.Galloway for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +4.38]

Quarterback report card

B.Leftwich led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Leftwich (Atlanta Falcons) · 31 dropbacks · 48.4% completion · -17.6% CPOE · -0.83 EPA/play · -25.72 total EPA
  • J.Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 23 dropbacks · 43.5% completion · -4.2% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +1.49 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.046-0.383
Offensive success rate43.1%39.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.068-0.435
Rush EPA/play+0.091-0.463
Defensive EPA/play+0.383+0.046
Defensive success rate60.7%56.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.05 vs -0.38), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 14 drives, -34.12 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 14 drives, -3.33 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • A. Smith (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Leftwich (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Garcia (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 52:50 · ATL 44 · Score 6-0
    (7:50) 7-J.Garcia pass deep left to 84-J.Galloway for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 52:43 · ATL 2 · Score 7-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 40:54 · TB 62 · Score 13-0
    (10:54) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich sacked at ATL 36 for -2 yards (91-G.White). FUMBLES (91-G.White), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 41. 20-R.Barber for 41 yards
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 40:42 · ATL 2 · Score 14-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 21:39 · ATL 5 · Score 17-0
    (6:39) 3-M.Bryant 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 19:57 · ATL 21 · Score 23-0
    (4:57) 7-J.Garcia pass deep right to 81-A.Smith for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 19:51 · ATL 2 · Score 24-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · ATL 26 · Score 30-0
    (15:00) 34-E.Graham right end for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 14:53 · ATL 2 · Score 31-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
  10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 1:14 · TB 7 · Score 31-6
    (1:14) (Shotgun) 13-J.Harrington pass short left to 81-A.Jennings for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 1:10 · TB 2 · Score 31-7
    5-M.Andersen extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 31-7 in Week 11, 2007 on 2007-11-18.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31, Atlanta Falcons 7 (TB 31-7 ATL) in Week 11, 2007 on 2007-11-18.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 7; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31, Atlanta Falcons 7.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Galloway (J. Garcia pass) (Q1 52:50) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Barber (Q2 40:54) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass) (Q3 19:57) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — E. Graham (Q4 15:00) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — A. Jennings (J. Harrington pass) (Q4 1:14) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 21:39, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

B. Leftwich (Atlanta Falcons), 48.4% completion, -17.6% CPOE, -0.83 EPA per dropback, -25.72 total passing EPA. J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 43.5% completion, -4.2% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +1.49 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

A. Smith (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +6.42 on receiving plays. across 3 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.02 EPA): (10:54) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich sacked at ATL 36 for -2 yards (91-G.White). FUMBLES (91-G.White), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 41. 20-R.Barber for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -14.8%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 5-4 Now 6-4 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 3-6 Now 3-7 L