San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2013 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-12-15, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 33–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -8.14 total EPA, and -6.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.19 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (11:43) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon sacked at TB 8 for -12 yards (94-J.Smith).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +11.19 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Crabtree · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Wright · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.04 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
4. 4 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.94 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
5. 5 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.42 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Miller · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.67 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
7. 7 L. James · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +1.51 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Boldin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.50 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — M. Crabtree (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q1 52:14)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q2 31:56)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — V. Jackson (M. Glennon pass) (Q2 30:35)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — T. Wright (M. Glennon pass) (Q4 15:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — K. Hunter (Q4 4:27)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 36:19)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q3 22:56)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q4 4:31)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q4 2:53)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the TB 4 (Q1 52:14) — (7:14) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 52:05) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–7. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the TB 28 (Q2 36:19) — (6:19) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the TB 52 (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 31:47) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the SF 11 (Q2 30:35) — (:35) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short middle to 83-V.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 30:29) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the TB 25 (Q3 22:56) — (7:56) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 13–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the SF 24 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 8-M.Glennon pass deep right to 81-T.Wright for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 14:54) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the TB 3 (Q4 4:31) — (4:31) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SF 35 (Q4 4:27); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 4:21) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the TB 17 (Q4 2:53) — (2:53) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon sacked at TB 8 for -12 yards (94-J.Smith). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -2.69]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 12:09) — (12:09) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree to SF 43 for 14 yards (38-D.Goldson, 59-M.Foster). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +2.34]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 38:21) — (8:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin pushed ob at TB 21 for 25 yards (37-K.Tandy) [94-A.Clayborn]. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +3.32]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 55:10) — (10:10) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick scrambles right end ran ob at TB 16 for 17 yards (38-D.Goldson). [WPA +7.2% · EPA +2.20]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 36:56) — (6:56) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick sacked at TB 28 for -9 yards (93-G.McCoy). [WPA -6.2% · EPA -1.44]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 4:27) — 9-P.Dawson kicks 74 yards from SF 35 to TB -9. 17-E.Page to TB 7 for 16 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by SF-32-K.Hunter at TB 2. 32-K.Hunter for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -6.1% · EPA -7.54]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.6% · EPA +5.05]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 38:21) — (8:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin pushed ob at TB 21 for 25 yards (37-K.Tandy) [94-A.Clayborn]. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +3.32]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:35) — (:35) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short middle to 83-V.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.1% · EPA +2.73]

Quarterback report card

M.Glennon led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 38 dropbacks · 47.4% completion · -6.4% CPOE · -0.21 EPA/play · -8.14 total EPA
• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 38 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +4.4% CPOE · +0.29 EPA/play · +11.19 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, San Francisco 49ers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs -0.22), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, +8.87 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, -15.53 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Glennon (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• C. Kaepernick (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 52:14 · TB 4 · Score 6-0
   (7:14) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 52:05 · TB 2 · Score 7-0
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 36:19 · TB 28 · Score 10-0
   (6:19) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 31:56 · TB 52 · Score 16-0
   (1:56) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 31:47 · TB 2 · Score 17-0
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:35 · SF 11 · Score 17-6
   (:35) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short middle to 83-V.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:29 · SF 2 · Score 17-7
   4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
8. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 22:56 · TB 25 · Score 20-7
   (7:56) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · SF 24 · Score 20-13
   (15:00) 8-M.Glennon pass deep right to 81-T.Wright for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 14:54 · SF 2 · Score 20-14
    4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 4:31 · TB 3 · Score 23-14
    (4:31) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
12. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 4:27 · SF 35 · Score 29-14
    9-P.Dawson kicks 74 yards from SF 35 to TB -9. 17-E.Page to TB 7 for 16 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by SF-32-K.Hunter at TB 2. 32-K.Hunter for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 4:21 · TB 2 · Score 30-14
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
14. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 2:53 · TB 17 · Score 33-14
    (2:53) (Field Goal formation) 9-P.Dawson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.