San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-02, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 43–16 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

N. Mullens (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +6.64 total EPA, and +4.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.87 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+10.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (5:14) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 18-J.Brown pushed ob at SF 25 for 45 yards (29-J.Tartt).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +18.87 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Pettis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +11.38 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Brown · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +9.02 total EPA · 3 snaps · +3.01 EPA/play
4. 4 N. Mullens · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +6.64 total EPA · 51 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Lockett · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.27 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.13 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Kittle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.08 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.51 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Breida · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.35 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Seattle Seahawks — J. Brown (R. Wilson pass) (Q1 46:32)
• Seattle Seahawks — T. Lockett (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 43:49)
• Seattle Seahawks — D. Baldwin (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 31:20)
• Seattle Seahawks — R. Penny (Q3 29:50)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Pettis (N. Mullens pass) (Q3 26:31)
• Seattle Seahawks — J. Brown (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 14:24)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Pettis (N. Mullens pass) (Q4 14:17)
• Seattle Seahawks — B. Wagner (Q4 4:20)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 30:05)
• Seattle Seahawks — S. Janikowski (Q4 7:53)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 6–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q1 46:32) — (1:32) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 18-J.Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-24-K.Williams, Illegal Contact, declined..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–3. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 52 (Q2 43:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-S.Thomas].; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 43:41) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 31:20) — (1:20) (Shotgun) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 89-D.Baldwin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 31:17) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the SEA 27 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 9-R.Gould 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 20 (Q3 29:50) — (14:50) 20-R.Penny left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 29:44) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SEA 17 (Q3 26:31) — (11:31) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short right to 18-D.Pettis for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q3 26:24) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 16–6. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 18 (Q4 14:24) — (14:24) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 18-J.Brown for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 14:17) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SEA 75 (Q4 14:17) — (14:17) 4-N.Mullens pass deep middle to 18-D.Pettis for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the SF 22 (Q4 7:53) — (7:53) 11-S.Janikowski 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SEA 5 (Q4 4:20).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 50:14) — (5:14) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 18-J.Brown pushed ob at SF 25 for 45 yards (29-J.Tartt). [WPA +10.4% · EPA +3.34]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 43:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-S.Thomas]. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +4.80]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 39:47) — (9:47) 41-J.Wilson left guard to SEA 5 for 9 yards (54-B.Wagner; 33-T.Thompson). FUMBLES (54-B.Wagner), RECOVERED by SEA-54-B.Wagner at SEA 3. 54-B.Wagner to SEA 14 for 11 yards (69-M.McGlinchey). The [WPA -7.4% · EPA -5.06]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 52:30) — (7:30) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle to SF 24 for 14 yards (37-T.Flowers; 42-D.Hill) [54-B.Wagner]. [WPA +6.7% · EPA +2.08]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 46:32) — (1:32) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 18-J.Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-24-K.Williams, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +6.1% · EPA +2.37]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 4:20) — (4:20) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short middle intended for 41-J.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 54-B.Wagner at SEA 2. 54-B.Wagner for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.5% · EPA -11.20]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 14:17) — (14:17) 4-N.Mullens pass deep middle to 18-D.Pettis for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.1% · EPA +5.87]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 39:47) — (9:47) 41-J.Wilson left guard to SEA 5 for 9 yards (54-B.Wagner; 33-T.Thompson). FUMBLES (54-B.Wagner), RECOVERED by SEA-54-B.Wagner at SEA 3. 54-B.Wagner to SEA 14 for 11 yards (69-M.McGlinchey). The [WPA -7.4% · EPA -5.06]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 43:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-S.Thomas]. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +4.80]

Quarterback report card

N.Mullens led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• N.Mullens (San Francisco 49ers) · 51 dropbacks · 58.8% completion · +4.9% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +6.64 total EPA
• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 27 dropbacks · 40.7% completion · +2.6% CPOE · +0.70 EPA/play · +18.87 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Seattle Seahawks held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.34 vs -0.06), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Seattle Seahawks: 12 drives, +25.50 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 11 drives, -5.63 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• N. Mullens (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 46:32 · SF 4 · Score 0-6
   (1:32) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 18-J.Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-24-K.Williams, Illegal Contact, declined.
2. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 43:49 · SF 52 · Score 0-12
   (13:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-S.Thomas].
3. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 43:41 · SF 15 · Score 0-13
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
4. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 31:20 · SF 1 · Score 0-19
   (1:20) (Shotgun) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 89-D.Baldwin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 31:17 · SF 15 · Score 0-20
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
6. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · SEA 27 · Score 3-20
   (:05) 9-R.Gould 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
7. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 29:50 · SF 20 · Score 3-26
   (14:50) 20-R.Penny left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 29:44 · SF 15 · Score 3-27
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
9. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 26:31 · SEA 17 · Score 9-27
   (11:31) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short right to 18-D.Pettis for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 26:24 · SEA 15 · Score 10-27
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
11. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 14:24 · SF 18 · Score 10-33
    (14:24) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 18-J.Brown for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 14:17 · SF 15 · Score 10-34
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
13. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 14:17 · SEA 75 · Score 16-34
    (14:17) 4-N.Mullens pass deep middle to 18-D.Pettis for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q4 7:53 · SF 22 · Score 16-37
    (7:53) 11-S.Janikowski 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
15. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 4:20 · SEA 5 · Score 16-43
    (4:20) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short middle intended for 41-J.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 54-B.Wagner at SEA 2. 54-B.Wagner for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.