San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-25, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 37–18 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with -8.47 total EPA, and -9.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.72 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (14:24) 32-C.Michael left tackle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +14.72 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.47 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +11.25 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Hyde · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +3.92 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Graham · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +2.34 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Streater · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.71 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.71 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Boykin · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +1.61 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Collins · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +1.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Seattle Seahawks — C. Michael (Q1 59:24)
• Seattle Seahawks — C. Michael (Q1 49:11)
• Seattle Seahawks — J. Graham (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 38:00)
• Seattle Seahawks — D. Baldwin (T. Boykin pass) (Q4 12:59)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Hyde (Q4 7:53)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Hyde (Q4 1:01)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 39:44)
• Seattle Seahawks — S. Hauschka (Q2 31:16)
• Seattle Seahawks — S. Hauschka (Q3 21:56)
• Seattle Seahawks — S. Hauschka (Q3 17:32)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 41 (Q1 59:24) — (14:24) 32-C.Michael left tackle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 59:17) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q1 49:11) — (4:11) (Shotgun) 32-C.Michael up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 49:08) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 10–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the SEA 4 (Q2 39:44) — (9:44) 4-P.Dawson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 18 (Q2 38:00) — (8:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 88-J.Graham for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 37:53) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q2 31:16) — (1:16) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The third quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 6–0. Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q3 21:56) — (6:56) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the SF 4 (Q3 17:32) — (2:32) 4-S.Hauschka 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 15–7. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 16 (Q4 12:59) — (12:59) (Shotgun) 2-T.Boykin pass short left to 89-D.Baldwin for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 12:53) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SEA 8 (Q4 7:53) — (7:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q4 7:50) — 4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SEA 8 (Q4 1:01) — (1:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde right guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers registered a safety from the SEA 2 (Q4 0:56) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 28-C.Hyde rushes right guard. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 59:24) — (14:24) 32-C.Michael left tackle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.3% · EPA +3.48]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 41:46) — (11:46) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 88-J.Graham to SEA 29 for 9 yards (53-N.Bowman; 41-A.Bethea). San Francisco challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. [WPA -8.4% · EPA -4.71]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 38:48) — (8:48) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin to SF 18 for 59 yards (35-E.Reid). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +5.24]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 59:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin pushed ob at SF 41 for 34 yards (41-A.Bethea). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.66]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 55:38) — (10:38) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 89-D.Baldwin ran ob at 50 for 12 yards. Penalty on SF-26-T.Brock, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +2.01]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 38:48) — (8:48) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin to SF 18 for 59 yards (35-E.Reid). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +5.24]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 41:46) — (11:46) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 88-J.Graham to SEA 29 for 9 yards (53-N.Bowman; 41-A.Bethea). San Francisco challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. [WPA -8.4% · EPA -4.71]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 21:12) — (6:12) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short middle intended for 11-Q.Patton INTERCEPTED by 54-B.Wagner at SF 29. 54-B.Wagner to SF 20 for 9 yards (84-B.Bell; 13-A.Burbridge). [WPA -0.5% · EPA -4.27]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 3:45) — (3:45) 2-T.Boykin pass short right intended for 19-T.McEvoy INTERCEPTED by 50-N.Bellore at SF 49. 50-N.Bellore to SEA 47 for 4 yards (19-T.McEvoy). [WPA +0.0% · EPA -4.24]

Quarterback report card

B.Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers) · 27 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · -9.3% CPOE · -0.31 EPA/play · -8.47 total EPA
• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 26 dropbacks · 57.7% completion · +9.9% CPOE · +0.43 EPA/play · +11.25 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Seattle Seahawks held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.20), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Seattle Seahawks: 13 drives, +6.04 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 12 drives, -15.35 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Gabbert (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• R. Wilson (SEA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 59:24 · SF 41 · Score 0-6
   (14:24) 32-C.Michael left tackle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q1 59:17 · SF 15 · Score 0-7
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
3. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 49:11 · SF 4 · Score 0-13
   (4:11) (Shotgun) 32-C.Michael up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q1 49:08 · SF 15 · Score 0-14
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
5. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 39:44 · SEA 4 · Score 3-14
   (9:44) 4-P.Dawson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
6. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 38:00 · SF 18 · Score 3-20
   (8:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 88-J.Graham for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 37:53 · SF 15 · Score 3-21
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
8. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q2 31:16 · SF 15 · Score 3-24
   (1:16) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
9. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q3 21:56 · SF 14 · Score 3-27
   (6:56) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
10. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q3 17:32 · SF 4 · Score 3-30
    (2:32) 4-S.Hauschka 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
11. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 12:59 · SF 16 · Score 3-36
    (12:59) (Shotgun) 2-T.Boykin pass short left to 89-D.Baldwin for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 12:53 · SF 15 · Score 3-37
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
13. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 7:53 · SEA 8 · Score 9-37
    (7:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 7:50 · SEA 15 · Score 10-37
    4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
15. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 1:01 · SEA 8 · Score 16-37
    (1:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde right guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. San Francisco 49ers Safety (+2) — Q4 0:56 · SEA 2 · Score 18-37
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 28-C.Hyde rushes right guard. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.