San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks: 2012 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-23, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 42–13 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with -1.13 total EPA, and -0.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.63 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-6.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (14:19) 2-D.Akers 21 yard field goal is BLOCKED (79-R.Bryant), Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee, RECOVERED by SEA-25-R.Sherman at SEA 10. 25-R.Sherman for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +18.63 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +8.06 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Walker · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.35 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Lynch · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.74 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.87 EPA/play
5. 5 A. McCoy · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.22 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.22 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Tate · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +2.90 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
7. 7 G. Celek · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.62 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
8. 8 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.14 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.14 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Seattle Seahawks — M. Lynch (Q1 58:53)
• Seattle Seahawks — M. Lynch (R. Wilson pass) (Q1 49:32)
• Seattle Seahawks — R. Sherman (Q2 44:19)
• Seattle Seahawks — A. McCoy (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 32:03)
• Seattle Seahawks — D. Baldwin (R. Wilson pass) (Q3 18:27)
• Seattle Seahawks — D. Baldwin (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 7:07)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Walker (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q4 1:47)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — D. Akers (Q2 40:23)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Akers (Q2 30:35)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 24 (Q1 58:53) — (13:53) (Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 58:48) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 9 (Q1 49:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 24-M.Lynch for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 49:26) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–6. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SEA 3 (Q2 44:19); Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 44:05) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the SEA 15 (Q2 40:23) — (10:23) 2-D.Akers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 6 (Q2 32:03) — (2:03) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 85-A.McCoy for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 31:58) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the SEA 36 (Q2 30:35) — (:35) 2-D.Akers 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 7–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q3 18:27) — (3:27) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 89-D.Baldwin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 18:22) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the SF 6 (Q4 7:07) — (7:07) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 89-D.Baldwin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 7:02) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SEA 18 (Q4 1:47) — (1:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 46-D.Walker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q4 1:40) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 2-D.Akers 21 yard field goal is BLOCKED (79-R.Bryant), Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee, RECOVERED by SEA-25-R.Sherman at SEA 10. 25-R.Sherman for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -6.1% · EPA -9.94]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:41) — (14:41) 4-A.Lee punts 48 yards to SEA 35, Center-86-B.Jennings. 33-L.Washington to 50 for 15 yards (27-C.Spillman). PENALTY on SF-26-T.Brock, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50. [WPA -5.3% · EPA -1.15]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 46:28) — (1:28) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left to 15-M.Crabtree pushed ob at SEA 24 for 11 yards (50-K.Wright). [WPA +4.0% · EPA +2.08]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 58:53) — (13:53) (Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.9% · EPA +2.49]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 54:02) — (9:02) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin to SF 36 for 43 yards (22-C.Rogers). [WPA +3.8% · EPA +2.82]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 2-D.Akers 21 yard field goal is BLOCKED (79-R.Bryant), Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee, RECOVERED by SEA-25-R.Sherman at SEA 10. 25-R.Sherman for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -6.1% · EPA -9.94]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle intended for 84-R.Moss INTERCEPTED by 25-R.Sherman at SEA 0. Touchback. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -5.21]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 41:58) — (11:58) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 22-R.Turbin INTERCEPTED by 52-P.Willis at SEA 18. 52-P.Willis to SEA 16 for 2 yards (67-P.McQuistan). [WPA -3.5% · EPA -4.94]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 25:16) — (10:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left to 82-M.Manningham to SEA 32 for no gain (56-L.Hill). FUMBLES (56-L.Hill), RECOVERED by SEA-31-K.Chancellor at SEA 32. 31-K.Chancellor to SEA 32 for no [WPA -1.5% · EPA -4.94]

Quarterback report card

C.Kaepernick led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 43 dropbacks · 44.2% completion · -0.9% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -1.13 total EPA
• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 29 dropbacks · 51.7% completion · +19.3% CPOE · +0.64 EPA/play · +18.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Seattle Seahawks held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.27 vs -0.11), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Seattle Seahawks: 10 drives, +20.24 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 9 drives, -8.26 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• R. Wilson (SEA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 58:53 · SF 24 · Score 0-6
   (13:53) (Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q1 58:48 · SF 2 · Score 0-7
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
3. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 49:32 · SF 9 · Score 0-13
   (4:32) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 24-M.Lynch for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q1 49:26 · SF 2 · Score 0-14
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
5. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · SEA 3 · Score 0-20
   (14:19) 2-D.Akers 21 yard field goal is BLOCKED (79-R.Bryant), Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee, RECOVERED by SEA-25-R.Sherman at SEA 10. 25-R.Sherman for 9
6. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 44:05 · SF 2 · Score 0-21
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 40:23 · SEA 15 · Score 3-21
   (10:23) 2-D.Akers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
8. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 32:03 · SF 6 · Score 3-27
   (2:03) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 85-A.McCoy for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 31:58 · SF 2 · Score 3-28
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
10. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:35 · SEA 36 · Score 6-28
    (:35) 2-D.Akers 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
11. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 18:27 · SF 4 · Score 6-34
    (3:27) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 89-D.Baldwin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 18:22 · SF 2 · Score 6-35
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
13. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 7:07 · SF 6 · Score 6-41
    (7:07) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 89-D.Baldwin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 7:02 · SF 2 · Score 6-42
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
15. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 1:47 · SEA 18 · Score 12-42
    (1:47) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 46-D.Walker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 1:40 · SEA 2 · Score 13-42
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.