San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles: 2011 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-10-02, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Philadelphia Eagles, pulling away with a 24–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Vick (Philadelphia Eagles) paced the passing game, with +13.46 total EPA, and +4.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Vick (Philadelphia Eagles) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.46 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Philadelphia Eagles changed the game: (2:15) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass short left to 18-J.Maclin to SF 32 for 17 yards (94-J.Smith). FUMBLES (94-J.Smith), RECOVERED by SF-38-D.Goldson at SF 31. 38-D.Goldson to SF 31 for no gain (68-K.DeVan)

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Vick · Philadelphia Eagles · Passing · +13.46 total EPA · 58 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Morgan · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +7.43 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.48 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Jackson · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +7.41 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +6.07 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
5. 5 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +5.22 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Avant · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +4.79 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Harbor · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +4.79 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.60 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Hunter · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Philadelphia Eagles — C. Harbor (M. Vick pass) (Q1 49:17)
• Philadelphia Eagles — L. McCoy (M. Vick pass) (Q2 30:42)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Morgan (Q3 22:26)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (Q3 18:03)
• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (Q4 3:05)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — D. Akers (Q2 44:26)
• Philadelphia Eagles — A. Henery (Q2 42:12)
• Philadelphia Eagles — A. Henery (Q2 31:55)
• Philadelphia Eagles — A. Henery (Q3 24:34)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Philadelphia Eagles won the period 7–0. Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the SF 16 (Q1 49:17) — (4:17) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass deep right to 82-C.Harbor for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 49:08) — 6-A.Henery extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry..

The second quarter: Philadelphia Eagles won the period 13–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the PHI 19 (Q2 44:26) — (14:26) 2-D.Akers 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q2 42:12) — (12:12) 6-A.Henery 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.; Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q2 31:55) — (1:55) 6-A.Henery 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.; Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q2 30:42) — (:42) 7-M.Vick pass short middle to 25-L.McCoy for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 30:38) — 6-A.Henery extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–3. Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q3 24:34) — (9:34) 6-A.Henery 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the PHI 30 (Q3 22:26) — (7:26) 11-Alex Smith pass short right to 84-J.Morgan for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the PHI 2 (Q3 22:20) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the PHI 9 (Q3 18:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 11-Alex Smith pass short right to 85-V.Davis for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the PHI 2 (Q3 17:58) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the PHI 12 (Q4 3:05); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the PHI 2 (Q4 3:00) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Philadelphia Eagles (Q4 2:15) — (2:15) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass short left to 18-J.Maclin to SF 32 for 17 yards (94-J.Smith). FUMBLES (94-J.Smith), RECOVERED by SF-38-D.Goldson at SF 31. 38-D.Goldson to SF 31 for no gain (68-K.DeVan) [WPA -29.1% · EPA -3.19]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q3 16:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass deep middle to 10-D.Jackson to SF 25 for 61 yards (25-T.Brown). [WPA +12.8% · EPA +5.60]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 3:52) — (3:52) 32-K.Hunter left end to PHI 12 for 14 yards (41-J.Page). [WPA +11.5% · EPA +1.83]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 56:26) — (11:26) 2-D.Akers 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. [WPA -11.4% · EPA -3.85]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q2 37:13) — (7:13) 34-R.Brown up the middle to SF 4 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by SF-53-N.Bowman at SF 4. 53-N.Bowman to SF 4 for no gain (68-K.DeVan). Philadelphia challenged the fumble ruling, and the pla [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.93]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Philadelphia Eagles (Q3 16:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass deep middle to 10-D.Jackson to SF 25 for 61 yards (25-T.Brown). [WPA +12.8% · EPA +5.60]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 26:53) — (11:53) 2-D.Akers 45 yard field goal is BLOCKED (65-K.Dunlap), Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee, RECOVERED by PHI-30-C.Anderson at 50. 30-C.Anderson to SF 40 for 10 yards (99-Ald.Smith). [WPA -4.0% · EPA -5.31]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q2 37:13) — (7:13) 34-R.Brown up the middle to SF 4 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by SF-53-N.Bowman at SF 4. 53-N.Bowman to SF 4 for no gain (68-K.DeVan). Philadelphia challenged the fumble ruling, and the pla [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.93]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 31:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 11-Alex Smith sacked at SF 22 for -6 yards (93-J.Babin). FUMBLES (93-J.Babin), RECOVERED by PHI-97-C.Jenkins at SF 26. 97-C.Jenkins to SF 23 for 3 yards (77-M.Iupati). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -4.39]

Quarterback report card

M.Vick led all passers in efficiency for Philadelphia Eagles, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Vick (Philadelphia Eagles) · 58 dropbacks · 51.7% completion · +4.7% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +13.46 total EPA
• A.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 38 dropbacks · 55.3% completion · +3.1% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +6.07 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (San Francisco 49ers +0.06, Philadelphia Eagles +0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Philadelphia Eagles: 12 drives, +0.88 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, +4.48 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Vick (Philadelphia Eagles) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Vick (PHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Smith (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q1 49:17 · SF 16 · Score 0-6
   (4:17) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass deep right to 82-C.Harbor for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q1 49:08 · SF 2 · Score 0-7
   6-A.Henery extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 44:26 · PHI 19 · Score 3-7
   (14:26) 2-D.Akers 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q2 42:12 · SF 14 · Score 3-10
   (12:12) 6-A.Henery 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.
5. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q2 31:55 · SF 14 · Score 3-13
   (1:55) 6-A.Henery 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.
6. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q2 30:42 · SF 5 · Score 3-19
   (:42) 7-M.Vick pass short middle to 25-L.McCoy for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q2 30:38 · SF 2 · Score 3-20
   6-A.Henery extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.
8. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q3 24:34 · SF 15 · Score 3-23
   (9:34) 6-A.Henery 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-C.Henry.
9. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 22:26 · PHI 30 · Score 9-23
   (7:26) 11-Alex Smith pass short right to 84-J.Morgan for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 22:20 · PHI 2 · Score 10-23
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 18:03 · PHI 9 · Score 16-23
    (3:03) (Shotgun) 11-Alex Smith pass short right to 85-V.Davis for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 17:58 · PHI 2 · Score 17-23
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
13. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 3:05 · PHI 12 · Score 23-23
    (3:05) 21-F.Gore right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
14. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 3:00 · PHI 2 · Score 24-23
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.