San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-10-27, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 42–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -1.97 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.69 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (14:24) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 49-B.Miller pushed ob at JAX 30 for 43 yards (26-J.Evans).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +15.69 total EPA · 21 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +5.93 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Boldin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.40 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Miller · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.39 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
5. 5 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.24 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Shorts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Harbor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.28 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
8. 8 C. McCoy · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +1.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.66 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (Q1 56:48)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Kaepernick (Q1 47:44)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q2 41:58)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Kaepernick (Q2 37:56)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Brown (C. Henne pass) (Q3 18:07)
• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (Q3 15:56)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Lewis (C. Henne pass) (Q4 13:43)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:15)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 19 (Q1 56:48) — (11:48) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right guard for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 56:42) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 12 (Q1 47:44) — (2:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick left end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 47:36) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q2 41:58) — (11:58) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 41:52) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 9 (Q2 37:56) — (7:56) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 37:49) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the SF 20 (Q2 30:15) — (:15) 10-J.Scobee 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the SF 29 (Q3 18:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 12-M.Brown for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 18:00) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q3 15:56) — (:56) 21-F.Gore left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 15:52) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SF 61 (Q4 13:43); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 13:24) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:24) — (14:24) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 49-B.Miller pushed ob at JAX 30 for 43 yards (26-J.Evans). [WPA +11.2% · EPA +3.58]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 56:48) — (11:48) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right guard for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +3.03]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 48:53) — (3:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 81-A.Boldin ran ob at JAX 13 for 21 yards (27-D.Gratz). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +2.29]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 50:52) — (5:52) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick scrambles left end ran ob at JAX 39 for 9 yards (20-M.Harris). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +2.07]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 55:21) — (10:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short right to 84-C.Shorts to JAX 37 for 14 yards (35-E.Reid). [WPA +5.2% · EPA +2.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 13:43) — (13:43) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 89-M.Lewis to JAX 45 for 6 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-51-D.Skuta at JAX 47. 51-D.Skuta for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.3% · EPA -7.92]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 12-M.Brown for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.6% · EPA +4.47]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 19:06) — (4:06) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right guard to SF 34 for no gain (58-J.Babin). FUMBLES (58-J.Babin), RECOVERED by JAX-50-R.Allen at SF 28. 50-R.Allen to SF 28 for no gain (74-J.Staley). The Replay Assistan [WPA -0.7% · EPA -4.37]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:24) — (14:24) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 49-B.Miller pushed ob at JAX 30 for 43 yards (26-J.Evans). [WPA +11.2% · EPA +3.58]

Quarterback report card

C.Henne led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 46 dropbacks · 63.0% completion · -1.9% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.97 total EPA
• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 21 dropbacks · 47.6% completion · +3.3% CPOE · +0.75 EPA/play · +15.69 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, San Francisco 49ers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.41 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, -6.21 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, +28.24 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Kaepernick (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 56:48 · JAX 19 · Score 6-0
   (11:48) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right guard for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 56:42 · JAX 2 · Score 7-0
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 47:44 · JAX 12 · Score 13-0
   (2:44) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick left end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 47:36 · JAX 2 · Score 14-0
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
5. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 41:58 · JAX 2 · Score 20-0
   (11:58) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 41:52 · JAX 2 · Score 21-0
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 37:56 · JAX 9 · Score 27-0
   (7:56) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 37:49 · JAX 2 · Score 28-0
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:15 · SF 20 · Score 28-3
   (:15) 10-J.Scobee 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:07 · SF 29 · Score 28-9
    (3:07) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 12-M.Brown for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 18:00 · SF 2 · Score 28-10
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
12. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 15:56 · JAX 2 · Score 34-10
    (:56) 21-F.Gore left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 15:52 · JAX 2 · Score 35-10
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
14. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 13:43 · SF 61 · Score 41-10
    (13:43) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 89-M.Lewis to JAX 45 for 6 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-51-D.Skuta at JAX 47. 51-D.Skuta f
15. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 13:24 · JAX 2 · Score 42-10
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.