San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers: 2010 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-05, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 34–16 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +15.54 total EPA, and +12.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.54 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (7:11) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-G.Jennings for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +15.54 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
2. 2 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +10.31 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
3. 3 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +9.15 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Jackson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.22 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Kuhn · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.48 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.31 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.32 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +1.31 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — G. Jennings (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 37:11)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Kuhn (Q2 31:53)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (T. Smith pass) (Q2 31:36)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Driver (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 27:05)
• Green Bay Packers — G. Jennings (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 18:41)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — J. Reed (Q1 56:54)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Reed (Q2 42:38)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Reed (Q3 21:43)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 13:54)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 3:13)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 26 (Q1 56:54) — (11:54) 3-J.Reed 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–10. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 8 (Q2 42:38) — (12:38) 3-J.Reed 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 57 (Q2 37:11) — (7:11) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-G.Jennings for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 37:02) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) 30-J.Kuhn right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 31:46) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 66 (Q2 31:36) — (1:36) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 85-V.Davis for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 31:26) — 3-J.Reed extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 61 (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 26:52) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 5 (Q3 21:43) — (6:43) 3-J.Reed 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q3 18:41) — (3:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 18:37) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 6–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 25 (Q4 13:54) — (13:54) 2-M.Crosby 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 6 (Q4 3:13) — (3:13) 2-M.Crosby 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 37:11) — (7:11) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-G.Jennings for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +18.0% · EPA +5.08]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.5% · EPA +5.62]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 31:36) — (1:36) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 85-V.Davis for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.3% · EPA +6.27]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:06) — (14:06) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree to GB 27 for 39 yards (26-C.Peprah). [WPA +12.7% · EPA +4.00]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 49:32) — (4:32) 2-M.Crosby 29 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. [WPA -10.9% · EPA -3.32]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 31:36) — (1:36) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 85-V.Davis for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.3% · EPA +6.27]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.5% · EPA +5.62]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 37:11) — (7:11) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-G.Jennings for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +18.0% · EPA +5.08]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 59:06) — (14:06) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree to GB 27 for 39 yards (26-C.Peprah). [WPA +12.7% · EPA +4.00]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 39 dropbacks · 53.8% completion · +12.7% CPOE · +0.40 EPA/play · +15.54 total EPA
• T.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 32 dropbacks · 31.2% completion · -13.2% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +1.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.18 vs -0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +15.86 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 11 drives, -0.54 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• T. Smith (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 56:54 · GB 26 · Score 3-0
   (11:54) 3-J.Reed 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
2. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 42:38 · GB 8 · Score 6-0
   (12:38) 3-J.Reed 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 37:11 · SF 57 · Score 6-6
   (7:11) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-G.Jennings for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 37:02 · SF 2 · Score 6-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 31:53 · SF 1 · Score 6-13
   (1:53) 30-J.Kuhn right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 31:46 · SF 2 · Score 6-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 31:36 · GB 66 · Score 12-14
   (1:36) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 85-V.Davis for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 31:26 · GB 2 · Score 13-14
   3-J.Reed extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 27:05 · SF 61 · Score 13-20
   (12:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 26:52 · SF 2 · Score 13-21
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 21:43 · GB 5 · Score 16-21
    (6:43) 3-J.Reed 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 18:41 · SF 1 · Score 16-27
    (3:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 18:37 · SF 2 · Score 16-28
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
14. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 13:54 · SF 25 · Score 16-31
    (13:54) 2-M.Crosby 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
15. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 3:13 · SF 6 · Score 16-34
    (3:13) 2-M.Crosby 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.