San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears: 2017 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-03, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 15–14 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +11.54 total EPA, and +4.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.54 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: 9-R.Gould kicks 40 yards from SF 35 to CHI 25. 15-J.Bellamy (didn't try to advance) to CHI 22 for -3 yards. Lateral to 29-T.Cohen to CHI 24 for 2 yards. 29-T.Cohen pass incomplete short right to 39-E.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Garoppolo · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +11.54 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Taylor · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +10.88 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.81 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Goodwin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +9.14 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Inman · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.43 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Wright · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.33 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.67 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Brown · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.67 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.67 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Cohen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.56 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Juszczyk · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +0.90 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — D. Inman (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 45:16)
• Chicago Bears — T. Cohen (Q2 36:12)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q1 53:16)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 42:01)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 30:29)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q3 17:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q4 0:08)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CHI 15 (Q1 53:16) — (8:16) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the SF 8 (Q1 45:16) — (:16) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 17-D.Inman for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 45:10) — 2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–6. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CHI 9 (Q2 42:01) — (12:01) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the CHI 83 (Q2 36:12) — (6:12) (Punt formation) 5-B.Pinion punts 44 yards to CHI 39, Center-86-K.Nelson. 29-T.Cohen for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 35:49) — 2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CHI 17 (Q2 30:29) — (:29) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CHI 16 (Q3 17:00) — (2:00) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CHI 6 (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Chicago Bears (Q4 0:04) — 9-R.Gould kicks 40 yards from SF 35 to CHI 25. 15-J.Bellamy (didn't try to advance) to CHI 22 for -3 yards. Lateral to 29-T.Cohen to CHI 24 for 2 yards. 29-T.Cohen pass incomplete short right to 39-E. [WPA -26.5% · EPA -0.00]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep middle to 81-T.Taylor to CHI 18 for 33 yards (39-E.Jackson). [WPA +26.1% · EPA +3.20]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 18:36) — (3:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 81-T.Taylor to CHI 20 for 15 yards (43-C.Prosinski) [93-S.Acho]. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +2.07]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +0.06]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 36:12) — (6:12) (Punt formation) 5-B.Pinion punts 44 yards to CHI 39, Center-86-K.Nelson. 29-T.Cohen for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.2% · EPA -5.08]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 36:12) — (6:12) (Punt formation) 5-B.Pinion punts 44 yards to CHI 39, Center-86-K.Nelson. 29-T.Cohen for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.2% · EPA -5.08]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 49:50) — (4:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle intended for 18-L.Murphy INTERCEPTED by 23-K.Fuller at CHI 41. 23-K.Fuller to CHI 41 for no gain (18-L.Murphy). The Replay Official reviewed the pass [WPA -7.4% · EPA -3.21]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep middle to 81-T.Taylor to CHI 18 for 33 yards (39-E.Jackson). [WPA +26.1% · EPA +3.20]
• Chicago Bears (Q3 15:40) — (:40) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 20 for -9 yards (54-C.Marsh). FUMBLES (54-C.Marsh), and recovers at CHI 15. 10-M.Trubisky to CHI 15 for no gain (58-E.Dumervil). [WPA -8.9% · EPA -2.74]

Quarterback report card

J.Garoppolo led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 40 dropbacks · 65.0% completion · +4.8% CPOE · +0.29 EPA/play · +11.54 total EPA
• M.Trubisky (Chicago Bears) · 21 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · +7.6% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.15 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, San Francisco 49ers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.11), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Chicago Bears: 9 drives, -5.57 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 8 drives, -1.13 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Garoppolo (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• M. Trubisky (CHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 53:16 · CHI 15 · Score 3-0
   (8:16) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
2. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 45:16 · SF 8 · Score 3-6
   (:16) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 17-D.Inman for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 45:10 · SF 15 · Score 3-7
   2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
4. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 42:01 · CHI 9 · Score 6-7
   (12:01) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
5. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 36:12 · CHI 83 · Score 6-13
   (6:12) (Punt formation) 5-B.Pinion punts 44 yards to CHI 39, Center-86-K.Nelson. 29-T.Cohen for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 35:49 · SF 15 · Score 6-14
   2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:29 · CHI 17 · Score 9-14
   (:29) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
8. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 17:00 · CHI 16 · Score 12-14
   (2:00) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
9. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 0:08 · CHI 6 · Score 15-14
   (:08) (Field Goal formation) 9-R.Gould 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.