Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers: 2009 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-27, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Seattle Seahawks, pulling away with a 48–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Hasselbeck (Seattle Seahawks) paced the passing game, with -15.68 total EPA, and -11.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (9:02) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short right INTERCEPTED by 50-A.Hawk at GB 36. 50-A.Hawk to SEA 35 for 29 yards (86-J.Owens; 33-J.Griffith).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +11.97 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
2. 2 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.59 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Finley · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.61 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Carlson · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.56 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Flynn · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +2.91 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Grant · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.69 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.47 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Jackson · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.09 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — B. Jackson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 51:41)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Grant (Q1 45:33)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Grant (Q2 35:46)
• Green Bay Packers — B. Jackson (Q3 25:19)
• Green Bay Packers — B. Jackson (Q3 20:32)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Green (Q4 6:45)
• Seattle Seahawks — J. Carlson (M. Hasselbeck pass) (Q4 4:21)

Field goals

• Seattle Seahawks — O. Mare (Q2 37:16)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 30:03)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 10:52)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 13 (Q1 51:41); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q1 51:34) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 3 (Q1 45:33) — (:33) 25-R.Grant right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q1 45:23) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–3. Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the GB 9 (Q2 37:16) — (7:16) 10-O.Mare 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Robinson, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 56 (Q2 35:46) — (5:46) 25-R.Grant left tackle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q2 35:36) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 11 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 2-M.Crosby 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 6 (Q3 25:19) — (10:19) 32-B.Jackson right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q3 25:13) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 4 (Q3 20:32) — (5:32) 32-B.Jackson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q3 20:27) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–7. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 34 (Q4 10:52) — (10:52) 2-M.Crosby 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 6 (Q4 6:45) — (6:45) 34-A.Green left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q4 6:39) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 16 (Q4 4:21) — (4:21) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short right to 89-J.Carlson for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 4:15) — 10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Robinson, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 54:02) — (9:02) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short right INTERCEPTED by 50-A.Hawk at GB 36. 50-A.Hawk to SEA 35 for 29 yards (86-J.Owens; 33-J.Griffith). [WPA -19.9% · EPA -6.48]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 58:55) — (13:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 30 for -9 yards (sack split by 95-L.Jackson and 55-D.Tapp). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -2.30]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 42:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short middle intended for 84-T.Houshmandzadeh INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Bigby (97-J.Jolly) at GB -1. Touchback. [WPA -6.1% · EPA -4.76]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:37) — (1:37) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-G.Jennings ran ob at SEA 27 for 40 yards (21-K.Jennings). [WPA +5.8% · EPA +3.33]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 85-G.Jennings to SEA 3 for 24 yards (57-D.Hawthorne). [WPA +5.2% · EPA +1.86]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 54:02) — (9:02) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short right INTERCEPTED by 50-A.Hawk at GB 36. 50-A.Hawk to SEA 35 for 29 yards (86-J.Owens; 33-J.Griffith). [WPA -19.9% · EPA -6.48]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 35:46) — (5:46) 25-R.Grant left tackle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.5% · EPA +5.05]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 42:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short middle intended for 84-T.Houshmandzadeh INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Bigby (97-J.Jolly) at GB -1. Touchback. [WPA -6.1% · EPA -4.76]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q3 15:32) — (:32) 8-M.Hasselbeck sacked at GB 29 for -7 yards (54-B.Chillar). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -3.84]

Quarterback report card

M.Hasselbeck led all passers in efficiency for Seattle Seahawks, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Hasselbeck (Seattle Seahawks) · 40 dropbacks · 47.5% completion · -11.3% CPOE · -0.39 EPA/play · -15.68 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 27 dropbacks · 44.4% completion · -5.7% CPOE · +0.44 EPA/play · +11.97 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.29 vs -0.15), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, +24.55 total EPA, 8 scoring drives
• Seattle Seahawks: 12 drives, -13.23 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Hasselbeck (SEA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 51:41 · SEA 13 · Score 0-6
   (6:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 32-B.Jackson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-P.Kerney]. PENALTY on SEA-97-P.Kerney, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 51:34 · SEA 2 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 45:33 · SEA 3 · Score 0-13
   (:33) 25-R.Grant right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:23 · SEA 2 · Score 0-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
5. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q2 37:16 · GB 9 · Score 3-14
   (7:16) 10-O.Mare 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Robinson, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 35:46 · SEA 56 · Score 3-20
   (5:46) 25-R.Grant left tackle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 35:36 · SEA 2 · Score 3-21
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
8. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · SEA 11 · Score 3-24
   (:03) 2-M.Crosby 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 25:19 · SEA 6 · Score 3-30
   (10:19) 32-B.Jackson right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 25:13 · SEA 2 · Score 3-31
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:32 · SEA 4 · Score 3-37
    (5:32) 32-B.Jackson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 20:27 · SEA 2 · Score 3-38
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 10:52 · SEA 34 · Score 3-41
    (10:52) 2-M.Crosby 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 6:45 · SEA 6 · Score 3-47
    (6:45) 34-A.Green left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 6:39 · SEA 2 · Score 3-48
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-7-J.Kapinos.
16. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 4:21 · GB 16 · Score 9-48
    (4:21) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short right to 89-J.Carlson for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 4:15 · GB 2 · Score 10-48
    10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Robinson, Holder-9-J.Ryan.