Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers: 2019 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-15, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 30–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Allen (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -0.74 total EPA, and -4.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.52 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (12:38) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 10-J.Gordon to CAR 25 for 58 yards (25-E.Reid).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +18.52 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Lockett · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +7.72 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Gordon · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.73 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.73 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Samuel · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.22 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Moore · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.88 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Hollister · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +2.46 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
7. 7 DK. Metcalf · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +2.03 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Samuel · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.73 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Seattle Seahawks — C. Carson (Q1 55:34)
• Seattle Seahawks — R. Wilson (Q1 50:27)
• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (Q2 43:46)
• Seattle Seahawks — T. Lockett (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 40:15)
• Seattle Seahawks — C. Carson (Q4 7:23)
• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (Q4 4:58)
• Carolina Panthers — C. Samuel (K. Allen pass) (Q4 3:19)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q3 26:40)
• Seattle Seahawks — J. Myers (Q3 15:32)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 13–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the CAR 16 (Q1 55:34) — (10:34) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right end for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the CAR 19 (Q1 50:27) — (5:27) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-DK.Metcalf for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 50:22) — 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SEA 1 (Q2 43:46) — (13:46) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q2 43:43) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the CAR 19 (Q2 40:15) — (10:15) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 40:09) — 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the SEA 34 (Q3 26:40) — (11:40) 4-J.Slye 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the CAR 12 (Q3 15:32) — (:32) 5-J.Myers 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–7. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the CAR 6 (Q4 7:23) — (7:23) (Shotgun) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 7:18) — 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SEA 15 (Q4 4:58) — (4:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q4 4:53) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SEA 5 (Q4 3:19) — (3:19) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short right to 10-C.Samuel for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q4 3:14) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 42:38) — (12:38) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 10-J.Gordon to CAR 25 for 58 yards (25-E.Reid). [WPA +11.8% · EPA +4.73]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 19:32) — (4:32) 7-K.Allen pass short middle intended for 22-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Wright (97-P.Ford) at SEA 39. 50-K.Wright to 50 for 11 yards (72-T.Moton). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -5.59]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 30:30) — (:30) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short middle intended for 15-C.Hogan INTERCEPTED by 54-B.Wagner at SEA 20. 54-B.Wagner to SEA 26 for 6 yards (12-D.Moore). [WPA -7.2% · EPA -2.75]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 52:37) — (7:37) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett to CAR 26 for 44 yards (26-D.Jackson). [WPA +7.1% · EPA +3.06]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 43:46) — (13:46) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.6% · EPA +1.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q3 19:32) — (4:32) 7-K.Allen pass short middle intended for 22-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Wright (97-P.Ford) at SEA 39. 50-K.Wright to 50 for 11 yards (72-T.Moton). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -5.59]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 18:04) — (3:04) 7-K.Allen pass short right intended for 13-J.Wright INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Wright [91-J.Reed] at CAR 20. 50-K.Wright to CAR 21 for -1 yards (65-D.Daley). [WPA -5.1% · EPA -4.92]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 42:38) — (12:38) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 10-J.Gordon to CAR 25 for 58 yards (25-E.Reid). [WPA +11.8% · EPA +4.73]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 7:23) — (7:23) (Shotgun) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.1% · EPA +3.56]

Quarterback report card

K.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Allen (Carolina Panthers) · 45 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -4.3% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.74 total EPA
• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 30 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +23.6% CPOE · +0.62 EPA/play · +18.52 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Seattle Seahawks generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs +0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, +3.71 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Seattle Seahawks: 12 drives, +13.92 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Allen (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• R. Wilson (SEA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 55:34 · CAR 16 · Score 6-0
   (10:34) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right end for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q1 50:27 · CAR 19 · Score 12-0
   (5:27) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-DK.Metcalf for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q1 50:22 · CAR 15 · Score 13-0
   5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
4. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 43:46 · SEA 1 · Score 13-6
   (13:46) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 43:43 · SEA 15 · Score 13-7
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
6. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 40:15 · CAR 19 · Score 19-7
   (10:15) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 40:09 · CAR 15 · Score 20-7
   5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 26:40 · SEA 34 · Score 20-10
   (11:40) 4-J.Slye 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
9. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q3 15:32 · CAR 12 · Score 23-10
   (:32) 5-J.Myers 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
10. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 7:23 · CAR 6 · Score 29-10
    (7:23) (Shotgun) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 7:18 · CAR 15 · Score 30-10
    5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
12. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 4:58 · SEA 15 · Score 30-16
    (4:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 4:53 · SEA 15 · Score 30-17
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
14. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 3:19 · SEA 5 · Score 30-23
    (3:19) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short right to 10-C.Samuel for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 3:14 · SEA 15 · Score 30-24
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.