FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 27, 2015 · 10 min read

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 16 Recap

Ravens defeat Steelers 20–17 in Week 16

R.Mallett led Fantasy Impact as Ravens prevailed in a 17–20 Week 16 finish.

Pittsburgh Steelers 17 9–6
Final 17–20
Baltimore Ravens 20 5–10 Winner
Winner
Baltimore Ravens
Final score
17–20
Halftime
Pittsburgh Steelers 3–13 Baltimore Ravens
Top passer
R. Mallett
FantasyHQ MVP
R.Mallett
Game date
December 27, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Steelers

  • Herb Miller
    Herb Miller 5 REC · 39 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Dorian Williams
    Dorian Williams 6 REC · 53 YDS +1.9 Fantasy Impact
  • De.Williams 17 CAR · 100 YDS · 2 TD +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • R.Mallett 28/43 · 265 YDS · 1 TD +7.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Josh Butler
    Josh Butler 3 REC · 38 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Aiken 8 REC · 66 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Baltimore Ravens defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 20–17 in Week 16 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-27, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-13.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-27, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Pittsburgh Steelers, pulling away with a 20–17 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Mallett (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +7.24 total EPA, and +2.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Mallett (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.24 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers changed the game: (1:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete deep right to 11-M.Wheaton (35-S.Wright) [91-C.Upshaw].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Pittsburgh Steelers0377017
Baltimore Ravens7607020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Mallett · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +7.24 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Butler · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.58 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  3. 3 K. Aiken · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.55 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Matthews · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.42 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  5. 5 H. Miller · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +2.00 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Williams · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +1.87 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Givens · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.61 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Allen · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.47 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Mallett — BAL · Passing

R. Mallett posted the highest total EPA (+7.24) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 43 counted snaps, they averaged +0.17 EPA per play.

The signature play (-3.99 EPA) came from Pittsburgh Steelers: (11:04) 34-D.Williams right guard to BAL 25 for no gain (91-C.Upshaw; 51-D.Smith).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Baltimore Ravens — C. Matthews (R. Mallett pass) (Q1 48:58)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — D. Williams (Q3 26:26)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Allen (Q4 10:40)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — D. Williams (Q4 6:39)

Field goals

  • Pittsburgh Steelers — C. Boswell (Q2 44:51)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 40:05)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 31:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the PIT 8 (Q1 48:58) — (3:58) (Shotgun) 7-R.Mallett pass short middle to 84-C.Matthews for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q1 48:53) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 6–3. Pittsburgh Steelers connected on a field goal from the BAL 16 (Q2 44:51) — (14:51) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the PIT 19 (Q2 40:05) — (10:05) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the PIT 32 (Q2 31:22) — (1:22) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The third quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 7–0. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q3 26:26); Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q3 26:18) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the PIT 3 (Q4 10:40) — (10:40) 37-J.Allen up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q4 10:35) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the BAL 2 (Q4 6:39) — (6:39) (No Huddle) 34-D.Williams right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q4 6:33) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete deep right to 11-M.Wheaton (35-S.Wright) [91-C.Upshaw]. [WPA -13.6% · EPA -2.23]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 13:01) — (13:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Smith at BAL 42. 22-J.Smith to BAL 42 for no gain (84-A.Brown). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -3.72]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 12:15) — (12:15) (Shotgun) 7-R.Mallett pass deep left to 13-C.Givens to PIT 32 for 39 yards (23-M.Mitchell). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +2.91]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 56:04) — (11:04) 34-D.Williams right guard to BAL 25 for no gain (91-C.Upshaw; 51-D.Smith). [WPA -9.6% · EPA -3.99]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 53:28) — (8:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-R.Mallett pass short right to 17-J.Butler to PIT 33 for 16 yards (23-M.Mitchell). [WPA +9.2% · EPA +2.21]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 56:04) — (11:04) 34-D.Williams right guard to BAL 25 for no gain (91-C.Upshaw; 51-D.Smith). [WPA -9.6% · EPA -3.99]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q2 34:45) — (4:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 51-D.Smith [97-T.Jernigan] at BAL 45. 51-D.Smith to BAL 44 for -1 yards (84-A.Brown). [WPA -8.4% · EPA -3.91]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 13:01) — (13:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Smith at BAL 42. 22-J.Smith to BAL 42 for no gain (84-A.Brown). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -3.72]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 47:42) — (2:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown to PIT 49 for 27 yards (22-J.Smith). [WPA +5.5% · EPA +3.27]

Quarterback report card

R.Mallett led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • R.Mallett (Baltimore Ravens) · 43 dropbacks · 65.1% completion · +2.7% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +7.24 total EPA
  • B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 41 dropbacks · 58.5% completion · +4.7% CPOE · +0.00 EPA/play · +0.01 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatPittsburgh SteelersBaltimore Ravens
Offensive EPA/play+0.018+0.027
Offensive success rate46.8%43.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.000+0.168
Rush EPA/play+0.042-0.144
Defensive EPA/play-0.027-0.018
Defensive success rate57.0%53.2%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Pittsburgh Steelers +0.02, Baltimore Ravens +0.03) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, +2.55 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 11 drives, +1.37 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • R. Mallett (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Roethlisberger (PIT) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q1 48:58 · PIT 8 · Score 0-6
    (3:58) (Shotgun) 7-R.Mallett pass short middle to 84-C.Matthews for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q1 48:53 · PIT 15 · Score 0-7
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers FG (+3) — Q2 44:51 · BAL 16 · Score 3-7
    (14:51) (Field Goal formation) 9-C.Boswell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  4. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 40:05 · PIT 19 · Score 3-10
    (10:05) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  5. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 31:22 · PIT 32 · Score 3-13
    (1:22) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  6. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q3 26:26 · BAL 1 · Score 9-13
    (11:26) No. 74 - Hubbard - reports as eligible. 34-D.Williams left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PIT-89-M.Spaeth, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enf
  7. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q3 26:18 · BAL 15 · Score 10-13
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  8. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 10:40 · PIT 3 · Score 10-19
    (10:40) 37-J.Allen up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 10:35 · PIT 15 · Score 10-20
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q4 6:39 · BAL 2 · Score 16-20
    (6:39) (No Huddle) 34-D.Williams right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q4 6:33 · BAL 15 · Score 17-20
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens?

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-17 in Week 16, 2015 on 2015-12-27.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens?

The final score was Pittsburgh Steelers 17, Baltimore Ravens 20 (PIT 17-20 BAL) in Week 16, 2015 on 2015-12-27.

What was the score by quarter in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens?

Q1: Pittsburgh Steelers 0, Baltimore Ravens 7; Q2: Pittsburgh Steelers 3, Baltimore Ravens 6; Q3: Pittsburgh Steelers 7, Baltimore Ravens 0; Q4: Pittsburgh Steelers 7, Baltimore Ravens 7; Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 17, Baltimore Ravens 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens?

Baltimore Ravens touchdown — C. Matthews (R. Mallett pass) (Q1 48:58) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — D. Williams (Q3 26:26) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 10:40) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — D. Williams (Q4 6:39) Pittsburgh Steelers field goal — C. Boswell (Q2 44:51, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 40:05, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 31:22, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens?

R. Mallett (Baltimore Ravens), 65.1% completion, +2.7% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +7.24 total passing EPA. B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers), 58.5% completion, +4.7% CPOE, +0.00 EPA per dropback, +0.01 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens?

R. Mallett (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +7.24 on passing plays. across 43 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-3.99 EPA): (11:04) 34-D.Williams right guard to BAL 25 for no gain (91-C.Upshaw; 51-D.Smith).. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.6%.

Was Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Baltimore Ravens won 20-17 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Pittsburgh Steelers

Entered 9-5 Now 9-6 L

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 4-10 Now 5-10 W