New York Jets vs. New England Patriots: 2015 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-10-25, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 30–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with +8.66 total EPA, and -2.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Fitzpatrick (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.25 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 11-J.Edelman to NYJ 46 for 27 yards (34-D.Bailey).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Fitzpatrick · New York Jets · Passing · +15.25 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +8.66 total EPA · 60 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Amendola · New England Patriots · Receiving · +7.40 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
4. 4 E. Decker · New York Jets · Receiving · +6.24 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Kerley · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.62 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Gronkowski · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.40 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Marshall · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.31 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Chandler · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.92 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — J. Kerley (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 42:33)
• New England Patriots — T. Brady (Q2 36:26)
• New York Jets — C. Ivory (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q3 19:12)
• New England Patriots — D. Amendola (T. Brady pass) (Q4 7:22)
• New England Patriots — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q4 1:18)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q1 57:52)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q1 52:32)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 32:05)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 26:14)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 12:54)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 0:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 20 (Q1 57:52); New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 2 (Q1 52:32) — (7:32) 2-N.Folk 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 5 (Q2 42:33) — (12:33) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 11-J.Kerley for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 42:30) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q2 36:26) — (6:26) 62-R.Wendell reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 36:24) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 28 (Q2 32:05) — (2:05) 3-S.Gostkowski 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 6 (Q3 26:14) — (11:14) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 9 (Q3 19:12) — (4:12) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 33-C.Ivory for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q3 19:07) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 14–6. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 12 (Q4 12:54) — (12:54) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 8 (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 7:16) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 15 (Q4 1:18); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 1:13) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 37 (Q4 0:23) — (:23) 2-N.Folk 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q4 10:46) — (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 11-J.Edelman to NYJ 46 for 27 yards (34-D.Bailey). [WPA +14.3% · EPA +3.25]
• New England Patriots (Q2 36:26) — (6:26) 62-R.Wendell reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +2.72]
• New England Patriots (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +2.85]
• New York Jets (Q1 59:17) — (14:17) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at NYJ 14 for -2 yards (95-C.Jones). FUMBLES (95-C.Jones) [95-C.Jones], RECOVERED by NE-54-D.Hightower at NYJ 19. 54-D.Hightower to NYJ 19 for no gain (87-E.D [WPA -11.4% · EPA -3.74]
• New York Jets (Q2 30:30) — (:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at NYJ 14 for -12 yards (91-J.Collins). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -0.42]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q1 59:17) — (14:17) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at NYJ 14 for -2 yards (95-C.Jones). FUMBLES (95-C.Jones) [95-C.Jones], RECOVERED by NE-54-D.Hightower at NYJ 19. 54-D.Hightower to NYJ 19 for no gain (87-E.D [WPA -11.4% · EPA -3.74]
• New England Patriots (Q4 10:46) — (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 11-J.Edelman to NYJ 46 for 27 yards (34-D.Bailey). [WPA +14.3% · EPA +3.25]
• New York Jets (Q1 56:30) — (11:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 87-E.Decker to NE 40 for 24 yards (37-J.Richards, 21-M.Butler). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.04]
• New England Patriots (Q4 7:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +2.85]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 60 dropbacks · 56.7% completion · -2.4% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +8.66 total EPA
• R.Fitzpatrick (New York Jets) · 47 dropbacks · 46.8% completion · -4.8% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +15.25 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.16 vs +0.08), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• New England Patriots: 11 drives, +12.87 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, +7.19 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Fitzpatrick (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• R. Fitzpatrick (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 57:52 · NYJ 20 · Score 0-3
   (12:52) 3-S.Gostkowski 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen. NE 3-Gostkowski 22nd consecutive FG, new personal best
2. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q1 52:32 · NE 2 · Score 3-3
   (7:32) 2-N.Folk 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.
3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 42:33 · NE 5 · Score 9-3
   (12:33) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 11-J.Kerley for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 42:30 · NE 15 · Score 10-3
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.
5. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 36:26 · NYJ 1 · Score 10-9
   (6:26) 62-R.Wendell reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 36:24 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-10
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 32:05 · NYJ 28 · Score 10-13
   (2:05) 3-S.Gostkowski 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
8. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 26:14 · NYJ 6 · Score 10-16
   (11:14) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
9. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 19:12 · NE 9 · Score 16-16
   (4:12) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 33-C.Ivory for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 19:07 · NE 15 · Score 17-16
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.
11. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 12:54 · NE 12 · Score 20-16
    (12:54) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.
12. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 7:22 · NYJ 8 · Score 20-22
    (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 7:16 · NYJ 15 · Score 20-23
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
14. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 1:18 · NYJ 15 · Score 20-29
    (1:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 87-Gronkowski 18th career 100-yard game, extends his Patriots record
15. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 1:13 · NYJ 15 · Score 20-30
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
16. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 0:23 · NE 37 · Score 23-30
    (:23) 2-N.Folk 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-S.Weatherford.