New York Jets vs. New England Patriots: 2011 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-10-09, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 30–21 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with +8.07 total EPA, and +10.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 81-A.Hernandez INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Cromartie at NYJ -1. 31-A.Cromartie to NYJ 41 for 42 yards (77-N.Solder).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +8.07 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Holmes · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.40 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Branch · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.06 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Gronkowski · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Sanchez · New York Jets · Passing · +2.96 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Green-Ellis · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.89 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
7. 7 S. Greene · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.25 total EPA · 21 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Kerley · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.63 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — B. Green-Ellis (Q1 52:36)
• New York Jets — S. Greene (Q2 33:24)
• New England Patriots — D. Branch (T. Brady pass) (Q3 27:50)
• New York Jets — J. Kerley (M. Sanchez pass) (Q3 26:06)
• New England Patriots — B. Green-Ellis (Q3 16:24)
• New York Jets — S. Holmes (M. Sanchez pass) (Q4 7:19)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 41:19)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q4 13:01)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q4 1:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q1 52:36) — (7:36) (Shotgun) 42-B.Green-Ellis left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 52:32) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 26 (Q2 41:19) — (11:19) 3-S.Gostkowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 3 (Q2 33:24) — (3:24) (Shotgun) 23-S.Greene right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 33:21) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 14–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q3 27:50); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 27:45) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 9 (Q3 26:06) — (11:06) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right to 11-J.Kerley for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q3 26:02) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q3 16:24) — (1:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 42-B.Green-Ellis left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 16:20) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–6. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 6 (Q4 13:01) — (13:01) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 21 (Q4 7:19) — (7:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 10-S.Holmes for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 7:14) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 9 (Q4 1:06).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q2 30:09) — (:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 81-A.Hernandez INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Cromartie at NYJ -1. 31-A.Cromartie to NYJ 41 for 42 yards (77-N.Solder). [WPA -12.0% · EPA -2.96]
• New England Patriots (Q3 30:00) — *** play under review *** [WPA +11.7% · EPA +4.57]
• New York Jets (Q3 27:45) — 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 73 yards from NE 35 to NYJ -8. 25-J.McKnight pushed ob at NE 20 for 88 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +4.23]
• New England Patriots (Q3 19:19) — (4:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski to NE 37 for 17 yards (30-D.Strickland). [WPA +7.9% · EPA +2.82]
• New England Patriots (Q1 48:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 81-A.Hernandez [33-E.Smith]. PENALTY on NYJ-30-D.Strickland, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at NE 12 - No Play. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +4.37]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q3 30:00) — *** play under review *** [WPA +11.7% · EPA +4.57]
• New England Patriots (Q1 48:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 81-A.Hernandez [33-E.Smith]. PENALTY on NYJ-30-D.Strickland, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at NE 12 - No Play. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +4.37]
• New York Jets (Q3 27:45) — 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 73 yards from NE 35 to NYJ -8. 25-J.McKnight pushed ob at NE 20 for 88 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +4.23]
• New York Jets (Q4 7:19) — (7:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 10-S.Holmes for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.6% · EPA +3.61]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 42 dropbacks · 54.8% completion · +10.0% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +8.07 total EPA
• M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 27 dropbacks · 59.3% completion · +3.9% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +2.96 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs +0.08), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• New England Patriots: 11 drives, +13.65 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, +5.98 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• M. Sanchez (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 52:36 · NYJ 3 · Score 0-6
   (7:36) (Shotgun) 42-B.Green-Ellis left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 52:32 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-7
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
3. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 41:19 · NYJ 26 · Score 0-10
   (11:19) 3-S.Gostkowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
4. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 33:24 · NE 3 · Score 6-10
   (3:24) (Shotgun) 23-S.Greene right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 33:21 · NE 2 · Score 7-10
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell.
6. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 27:50 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-16
   (12:50) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 275th career TD pass, ties Vinny Testaverde for 8th place all-ti
7. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 27:45 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-17
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
8. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 26:06 · NE 9 · Score 13-17
   (11:06) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right to 11-J.Kerley for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 26:02 · NE 2 · Score 14-17
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell.
10. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 16:24 · NYJ 3 · Score 14-23
    (1:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 42-B.Green-Ellis left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 16:20 · NYJ 2 · Score 14-24
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
12. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 13:01 · NYJ 6 · Score 14-27
    (13:01) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
13. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 7:19 · NE 21 · Score 20-27
    (7:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 10-S.Holmes for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 7:14 · NE 2 · Score 21-27
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-8-M.Brunell.
15. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 1:06 · NYJ 9 · Score 21-30
    (1:06) 3-S.Gostkowski 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-14-Z.Mesko. NE 13th straight game with 30+ points, 2nd all-time (Rams 14 1999-2000)