New York Jets vs. New England Patriots: 2010 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-06, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 45–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Sanchez (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -12.59 total EPA, and -11.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +23.90 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (6:55) 2-N.Folk 53 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +23.90 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
2. 2 W. Welker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +8.73 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Woodhead · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
4. 4 S. Greene · New York Jets · Rushing · +4.60 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Branch · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Hernandez · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.68 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Green-Ellis · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.05 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Tate · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.74 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.74 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — B. Green-Ellis (Q1 49:04)
• New England Patriots — D. Branch (T. Brady pass) (Q1 46:07)
• New England Patriots — B. Tate (T. Brady pass) (Q2 38:21)
• New England Patriots — W. Welker (T. Brady pass) (Q3 19:47)
• New England Patriots — A. Hernandez (T. Brady pass) (Q4 15:00)
• New England Patriots — B. Green-Ellis (Q4 9:26)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Graham (Q1 56:02)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 42:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 17–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 23 (Q1 56:02) — (11:02) 5-S.Graham 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q1 49:04) — (4:04) 63-D.Connolly reported in as eligible. 42-B.Green-Ellis left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 49:02) — 5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 25 (Q1 46:07) — (1:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 46:01) — 5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 21 (Q2 42:19) — (12:19) 2-N.Folk 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q2 38:21); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 38:15) — 5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 18 (Q3 19:47); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 19:40) — 5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 14–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 63-D.Connolly reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady pass short right to 85-A.Hernandez for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 14:57) — 5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 5 (Q4 9:26) — (9:26) 42-B.Green-Ellis up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 9:20) — 5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q1 51:55) — (6:55) 2-N.Folk 53 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford. [WPA -11.6% · EPA -3.47]
• New England Patriots (Q1 46:07) — (1:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +4.75]
• New England Patriots (Q1 56:54) — (11:54) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-D.Branch ran ob at NYJ 23 for 20 yards. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +1.31]
• New England Patriots (Q1 49:49) — (4:49) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 87-R.Gronkowski. PENALTY on NYJ-33-E.Smith, Defensive Pass Interference, 36 yards, enforced at NYJ 37 - No Play. [WPA +7.5% · EPA +3.17]
• New York Jets (Q1 53:35) — (8:35) 78-W.Hunter reported in as eligible. 23-S.Greene up the middle to NYJ 48 for 2 yards (31-B.Meriweather, 27-K.Arrington). [WPA +7.5% · EPA +2.38]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q1 46:07) — (1:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +4.75]
• New York Jets (Q3 24:23) — (9:23) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle intended for 17-B.Edwards INTERCEPTED by 55-B.Spikes at NE 2. 55-B.Spikes to NE 7 for 5 yards (68-M.Slauson). NE 55-Spikes 1st career interception. [WPA -4.2% · EPA -4.40]
• New York Jets (Q4 12:55) — (12:55) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 10-S.Holmes INTERCEPTED by 36-J.Sanders at NE 44. 36-J.Sanders to NYJ 28 for 28 yards (60-D.Ferguson). [WPA +0.0% · EPA -4.32]
• New England Patriots (Q3 15:55) — (:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 39-D.Woodhead to NYJ 12 for 50 yards (26-D.Lowery). NE 12-Brady 33rd career 300-yard game. NE 39-Woodhead 1st career 100-yard receiving game. [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.74]

Quarterback report card

M.Sanchez led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 36 dropbacks · 47.2% completion · -11.1% CPOE · -0.35 EPA/play · -12.59 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 35 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +12.3% CPOE · +0.68 EPA/play · +23.90 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.37 vs -0.18), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• New England Patriots: 10 drives, +27.39 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, -14.56 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Sanchez (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 56:02 · NYJ 23 · Score 0-3
   (11:02) 5-S.Graham 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
2. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 49:04 · NYJ 1 · Score 0-9
   (4:04) 63-D.Connolly reported in as eligible. 42-B.Green-Ellis left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 49:02 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-10
   5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
4. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 46:07 · NYJ 25 · Score 0-16
   (1:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 46:01 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-17
   5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
6. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 42:19 · NE 21 · Score 3-17
   (12:19) 2-N.Folk 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
7. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 38:21 · NYJ 4 · Score 3-23
   (8:21) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 19-B.Tate for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 250th career TD pass, 14th player ever to accomplish that.
8. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 38:15 · NYJ 2 · Score 3-24
   5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
9. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 19:47 · NYJ 18 · Score 3-30
   (4:47) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 251st career TD pass, ties Drew Bledsoe for 13th place all-time.
10. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 19:40 · NYJ 2 · Score 3-31
    5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
11. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · NYJ 1 · Score 3-37
    (15:00) 63-D.Connolly reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady pass short right to 85-A.Hernandez for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 14:57 · NYJ 2 · Score 3-38
    5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.
13. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 9:26 · NYJ 5 · Score 3-44
    (9:26) 42-B.Green-Ellis up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 9:20 · NYJ 2 · Score 3-45
    5-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Katula, Holder-14-Z.Mesko.