FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 10 · November 12, 2006 · 10 min read

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots: 2006 Week 10 Recap

Jets defeat Patriots 17–14 in Week 10

J.Cotchery led Fantasy Impact as Jets prevailed in a 17–14 Week 10 finish.

New York Jets 17 5–4 Winner
Final 17–14
New England Patriots 14 6–3
Winner
New York Jets
Final score
17–14
Halftime
New York Jets 7–6 New England Patriots
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
J.Cotchery
Game date
November 12, 2006

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • J.Cotchery 6 REC · 70 YDS · 1 TD +9.6 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Coles 5 REC · 29 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Barlow 18 CAR · 75 YDS · 1 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • R.Caldwell 9 REC · 90 YDS · 1 TD +7.6 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Gaffney 3 REC · 65 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Dillon 11 CAR · 98 YDS +4.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New York Jets defeated the New England Patriots 17–14 in Week 10 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-11-12, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-20.3% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In Week 10 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-11-12, the New York Jets took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 17–14 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 15 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -5.40 total EPA, and +5.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Cotchery (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-20.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 46 for -8 yards (92-S.Ellis). FUMBLES (92-S.Ellis), recovered by NE-71-R.Hochstein at NYJ 48.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
New York Jets7370017
New England Patriots6080014

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +9.55 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.59 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Caldwell · New England Patriots · Receiving · +7.59 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Gaffney · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.64 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Dillon · New England Patriots · Rushing · +4.40 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  5. 5 L. Coles · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.40 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
  6. 6 B. Watson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.02 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Barlow · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.87 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  8. 8 H. Evans · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.61 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Cotchery — NYJ · Receiving

J. Cotchery posted the highest total EPA (+9.55) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New York Jets's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.59 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.34 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (6:54) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 39-L.Maroney INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Coleman [99-B.Thomas] at NE 38. 26-E.Coleman to NE 35 for 3 yards (39-L.Maroney).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New York Jets — K. Barlow (Q2 34:47)
  • New York Jets — J. Cotchery (C. Pennington pass) (Q4 4:51)
  • New England Patriots — R. Caldwell (T. Brady pass) (Q4 4:22)

Field goals

  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 45:00)
  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 30:07)
  • New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q3 16:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–6. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 13 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 3-S.Gostkowski 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 2 (Q2 34:47) — (4:47) 32-K.Barlow up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 34:43) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 3 (Q2 30:07) — (:07) 3-S.Gostkowski 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 15 (Q3 16:50) — (1:50) 1-M.Nugent 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 8–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 22 (Q4 4:51) — (4:51) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right to 89-J.Cotchery for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 4:45) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 15 (Q4 4:22) — (4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Caldwell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots registered a safety from the NYJ 2 (Q4 4:14) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-T.Brady pass to 87-R.Caldwell is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. shotgun formation.

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 0:09) — (:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 46 for -8 yards (92-S.Ellis). FUMBLES (92-S.Ellis), recovered by NE-71-R.Hochstein at NYJ 48. [WPA -20.3% · EPA -0.52]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 6:54) — (6:54) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 39-L.Maroney INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Coleman [99-B.Thomas] at NE 38. 26-E.Coleman to NE 35 for 3 yards (39-L.Maroney). [WPA -17.9% · EPA -4.34]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 47:54) — (2:54) 28-C.Dillon right guard pushed ob at NYJ 23 for 50 yards (21-A.Dyson). longest run since 10/6/02 (67 TD for Bengals at Colts) [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.40]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 4:22) — (4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Caldwell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.5% · EPA +2.70]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 13:25) — (13:25) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-B.Watson to NYJ 32 for 6 yards (58-M.Chatham). [WPA +10.6% · EPA +3.05]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New England Patriots (Q4 6:54) — (6:54) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 39-L.Maroney INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Coleman [99-B.Thomas] at NE 38. 26-E.Coleman to NE 35 for 3 yards (39-L.Maroney). [WPA -17.9% · EPA -4.34]
  • New York Jets (Q2 44:47) — (14:47) 10-C.Pennington pass deep middle intended for 87-L.Coles INTERCEPTED by 25-A.Hawkins at NE 44. 25-A.Hawkins to NE 44 for no gain (87-L.Coles). [WPA -10.1% · EPA -3.58]
  • New York Jets (Q4 4:51) — (4:51) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right to 89-J.Cotchery for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.6% · EPA +3.42]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 47:54) — (2:54) 28-C.Dillon right guard pushed ob at NYJ 23 for 50 yards (21-A.Dyson). longest run since 10/6/02 (67 TD for Bengals at Colts) [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.40]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 44 dropbacks · 56.8% completion · +5.1% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -5.40 total EPA
  • C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 36 dropbacks · 61.1% completion · +4.1% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.78 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew York JetsNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play+0.080+0.012
Offensive success rate50.0%45.9%
Pass EPA/play-0.022-0.123
Rush EPA/play+0.142+0.098
Defensive EPA/play-0.012-0.080
Defensive success rate54.1%50.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New York Jets generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs +0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • New England Patriots: 10 drives, +1.00 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 10 drives, +6.25 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Cotchery (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • C. Pennington (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · NYJ 13 · Score 0-3
    (15:00) 3-S.Gostkowski 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  2. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 34:47 · NE 2 · Score 6-3
    (4:47) 32-K.Barlow up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 34:43 · NE 2 · Score 7-3
    1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
  4. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:07 · NYJ 3 · Score 7-6
    (:07) 3-S.Gostkowski 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 16:50 · NE 15 · Score 10-6
    (1:50) 1-M.Nugent 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
  6. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 4:51 · NE 22 · Score 16-6
    (4:51) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right to 89-J.Cotchery for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 4:45 · NE 2 · Score 17-6
    1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
  8. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 4:22 · NYJ 15 · Score 17-12
    (4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Caldwell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. New England Patriots Safety (+2) — Q4 4:14 · NYJ 2 · Score 17-14
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-T.Brady pass to 87-R.Caldwell is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. shotgun formation

Frequently asked questions

Who won New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

The New York Jets beat the New England Patriots 17-14 in Week 10, 2006 on 2006-11-12.

What was the final score of New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

The final score was New York Jets 17, New England Patriots 14 (NYJ 17-14 NE) in Week 10, 2006 on 2006-11-12.

What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

Q2: New York Jets 7, New England Patriots 6; Q3: New York Jets 3, New England Patriots 0; Q4: New York Jets 7, New England Patriots 8; Final: New York Jets 17, New England Patriots 14.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

New York Jets touchdown — K. Barlow (Q2 34:47) New York Jets touchdown — J. Cotchery (C. Pennington pass) (Q4 4:51) New England Patriots touchdown — R. Caldwell (T. Brady pass) (Q4 4:22) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q2 45:00, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q2 30:07, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — M. Nugent (Q3 16:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 56.8% completion, +5.1% CPOE, -0.12 EPA per dropback, -5.40 total passing EPA. C. Pennington (New York Jets), 61.1% completion, +4.1% CPOE, -0.02 EPA per dropback, -0.78 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

J. Cotchery (New York Jets) led the game in total EPA with +9.55 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.34 EPA): (6:54) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 39-L.Maroney INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Coleman [99-B.Thomas] at NE 38. 26-E.Coleman to NE 35 for 3 yards (39-L.Maroney).. The biggest win-probability swing was -20.3%.

Was New York Jets vs New England Patriots a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. New York Jets won 17-14 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

New York Jets

Entered 4-4 Now 5-4 W

New England Patriots

Entered 6-2 Now 6-3 L