New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins: 1999 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 1999 NFL season on 1999-12-27, the New York Jets took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 38–31 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Marino (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +2.48 total EPA.

On the individual side, R. Lucas (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.11 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+44.8% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New York Jets changed the game: O.Mare kicks 60 yards from MIA 30 to NYJ 10. A.Glenn to NYJ 35 for 25 yards (G.Jeffries).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Lucas · New York Jets · Passing · +11.11 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
2. 2 W. Chrebet · New York Jets · Receiving · +6.29 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Martin · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +5.71 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Ward · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.24 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
5. 5 Y. Green · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.61 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
6. 6 K. Johnson · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Marino · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +2.48 total EPA · 55 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Martin · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.35 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — unlisted player (Q1 60:00)
• Miami Dolphins — unlisted player (Q1 53:16)
• New York Jets — unlisted player (Q2 45:00)
• Miami Dolphins — unlisted player (Q2 38:41)
• Miami Dolphins — unlisted player (Q3 30:00)
• New York Jets — unlisted player (Q3 22:53)
• Miami Dolphins — unlisted player (Q4 15:00)
• New York Jets — unlisted player (Q4 13:32)
• New York Jets — unlisted player (Q4 9:05)

Field goals

• New York Jets — unlisted player (Q1 50:37)
• Miami Dolphins — unlisted player (Q4 4:28)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the MIA 4 (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) R.Lucas pass to K.Johnson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q1 53:16) — J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q1 53:16) — (8:16) D.Marino pass to E.Perry for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 50:37) — O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the MIA 30 (Q1 50:37) — (5:37) J.Hall 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) D.Marino pass intended for O.McDuffie INTERCEPTED by M.Coleman at NYJ 2. M.Coleman for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q2 38:41) — J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q2 38:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) D.Marino pass to S.Pritchett for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 32:46) — O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NYJ 32 (Q3 30:00) — (15:00) D.Marino pass to T.Martin for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 26:01) — O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.; New York Jets found the end zone from the MIA 1 (Q3 22:53) — (7:53) C.Martin left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q3 22:01) — J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 14–10. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) J.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 13:32) — O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.; New York Jets found the end zone from the MIA 50 (Q4 13:32) — (13:32) R.Lucas pass to W.Chrebet for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 10:41) — J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.; New York Jets found the end zone from the MIA 56 (Q4 9:05) — (9:05) R.Lucas pass to D.Ward for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 8:56) — J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the NYJ 19 (Q4 4:28) — (4:28) O.Mare 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q1 60:00) — O.Mare kicks 60 yards from MIA 30 to NYJ 10. A.Glenn to NYJ 35 for 25 yards (G.Jeffries). [WPA +44.8% · EPA +0.81]
• Miami Dolphins (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) D.Marino pass intended for O.McDuffie INTERCEPTED by M.Coleman at NYJ 2. M.Coleman for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -34.7% · EPA -11.23]
• New York Jets (Q4 13:32) — (13:32) R.Lucas pass to W.Chrebet for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +28.5% · EPA +5.98]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 24:19) — (9:19) (Shotgun) D.Marino pass intended for S.Pritchett INTERCEPTED by R.Phifer at MIA 5. R.Phifer to MIA 1 for 4 yards (S.Pritchett). [WPA -20.6% · EPA -4.64]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 10:41) — (10:41) T.Hutton punts 41 yards to NYJ 29, Center-E.Perry. D.Ward to NYJ 38 for 9 yards (O.Brigance). FUMBLES (O.Brigance), RECOVERED by MIA-L.Izzo at NYJ 39. Play Challenged by NYJ and Upheld. (Timeo [WPA +20.3% · EPA +3.83]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Miami Dolphins (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) D.Marino pass intended for O.McDuffie INTERCEPTED by M.Coleman at NYJ 2. M.Coleman for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -34.7% · EPA -11.23]
• New York Jets (Q4 13:32) — (13:32) R.Lucas pass to W.Chrebet for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +28.5% · EPA +5.98]
• New York Jets (Q4 9:05) — (9:05) R.Lucas pass to D.Ward for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.5% · EPA +5.38]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 24:19) — (9:19) (Shotgun) D.Marino pass intended for S.Pritchett INTERCEPTED by R.Phifer at MIA 5. R.Phifer to MIA 1 for 4 yards (S.Pritchett). [WPA -20.6% · EPA -4.64]

Quarterback report card

D.Marino led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Marino (Miami Dolphins) · 55 dropbacks · 52.7% completion · +0.05 EPA/play · +2.48 total EPA
• R.Lucas (New York Jets) · 26 dropbacks · 42.3% completion · +0.43 EPA/play · +11.11 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New York Jets generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.27 vs +0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Miami Dolphins: 12 drives, +9.68 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, +20.10 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Lucas (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 60:00 · MIA 4 · Score 6-0
   (15:00) R.Lucas pass to K.Johnson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 53:16 · MIA 2 · Score 7-0
   J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.
3. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 53:16 · NYJ 1 · Score 7-6
   (8:16) D.Marino pass to E.Perry for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q1 50:37 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-7
   O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.
5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q1 50:37 · MIA 30 · Score 10-7
   (5:37) J.Hall 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.
6. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · NYJ 4 · Score 16-7
   (15:00) D.Marino pass intended for O.McDuffie INTERCEPTED by M.Coleman at NYJ 2. M.Coleman for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 38:41 · MIA 2 · Score 17-7
   J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.
8. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 38:41 · NYJ 3 · Score 17-13
   (8:41) (Shotgun) D.Marino pass to S.Pritchett for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 32:46 · NYJ 2 · Score 17-14
   O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.
10. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q3 30:00 · NYJ 32 · Score 17-20
    (15:00) D.Marino pass to T.Martin for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q3 26:01 · NYJ 2 · Score 17-21
    O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.
12. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 22:53 · MIA 1 · Score 23-21
    (7:53) C.Martin left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 22:01 · MIA 2 · Score 24-21
    J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.
14. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · NYJ 1 · Score 24-27
    (15:00) J.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 13:32 · NYJ 2 · Score 24-28
    O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.
16. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 13:32 · MIA 50 · Score 30-28
    (13:32) R.Lucas pass to W.Chrebet for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 10:41 · MIA 2 · Score 31-28
    J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.
18. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 9:05 · MIA 56 · Score 37-28
    (9:05) R.Lucas pass to D.Ward for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 8:56 · MIA 2 · Score 38-28
    J.Hall extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Hudson, Holder-T.Tupa.
20. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q4 4:28 · NYJ 19 · Score 38-31
    (4:28) O.Mare 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Perry, Holder-D.Huard.