New York Jets vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2015 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-01, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 34–20 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G. Smith (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with +6.32 total EPA, and +2.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.69 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: Raiders Captains: #77 A.Howard, #18 A.Holmes, #4 D.Carr, #45 M.Reece, #24 C.Woodson Jets Captains: #92 L.Williams, #85 J.Cumberland, #68 B.Giacomini, #91 S.Richardson

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +16.69 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
2. 2 G. Smith · New York Jets · Passing · +6.32 total EPA · 49 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Kerley · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.56 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Fitzpatrick · New York Jets · Passing · +5.31 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Holmes · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.25 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Jones · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.57 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.57 EPA/play
7. 7 E. Decker · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.87 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Roberts · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.44 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — A. Holmes (D. Carr pass) (Q1 47:00)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 39:46)
• Las Vegas Raiders — A. Holmes (D. Carr pass) (Q2 35:19)
• Las Vegas Raiders — T. Jones (D. Carr pass) (Q3 26:20)
• New York Jets — E. Decker (G. Smith pass) (Q3 22:23)
• New York Jets — K. Davis (G. Smith pass) (Q4 8:45)

Field goals

• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q1 52:21)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 30:44)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 20:50)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 12:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the LV 22 (Q1 52:21) — (7:21) 2-N.Folk 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 5 (Q1 47:00) — (2:00) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 18-A.Holmes for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 46:56) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 36 (Q2 39:46) — (9:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 39:37) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 49 (Q2 35:19) — (5:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 18-A.Holmes for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 35:11) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the LV 20 (Q2 30:44).

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NYJ 59 (Q3 26:20) — (11:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 22-T.Jones for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 26:06) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q3 22:23) — (7:23) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 22:19) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NYJ 33 (Q3 20:50) — (5:50) 11-S.Janikowski 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NYJ 28 (Q4 12:55) — (12:55) 11-S.Janikowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 8:45) — (8:45) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 47-K.Davis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [96-D.Autry].; New York Jets added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 8:37) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — Raiders Captains: #77 A.Howard, #18 A.Holmes, #4 D.Carr, #45 M.Reece, #24 C.Woodson Jets Captains: #92 L.Williams, #85 J.Cumberland, #68 B.Giacomini, #91 S.Richardson [WPA +18.2% · EPA -0.48]
• New York Jets (Q1 54:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 11-J.Kerley to LV 30 for 23 yards (24-C.Woodson). [WPA +10.6% · EPA +2.75]
• New York Jets (Q1 59:54) — (14:54) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 15-B.Marshall to NYJ 23 for 8 yards (25-D.Hayden). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +0.60]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 39:46) — (9:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.69]
• New York Jets (Q1 56:41) — (11:41) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick scrambles left end to NYJ 43 for 12 yards (24-C.Woodson). NYJ-14-R.Fitzpatrick was injured during the play. He is Out. [WPA +6.1% · EPA +1.88]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 35:19) — (5:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 18-A.Holmes for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.9% · EPA +4.98]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 26:20) — (11:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 22-T.Jones for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.8% · EPA +4.57]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 39:46) — (9:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.69]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 32:18) — (2:18) 11-S.Janikowski 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King. [WPA -2.7% · EPA -2.87]

Quarterback report card

G.Smith led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• G.Smith (New York Jets) · 49 dropbacks · 55.1% completion · +2.3% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +6.32 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 36 dropbacks · 63.9% completion · -2.0% CPOE · +0.46 EPA/play · +16.69 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs +0.07), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 13 drives, +18.41 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, +5.91 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q1 52:21 · LV 22 · Score 3-0
   (7:21) 2-N.Folk 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
2. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 47:00 · NYJ 5 · Score 3-6
   (2:00) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 18-A.Holmes for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 46:56 · NYJ 15 · Score 3-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 39:46 · NYJ 36 · Score 3-13
   (9:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 39:37 · NYJ 15 · Score 3-14
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
6. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 35:19 · NYJ 49 · Score 3-20
   (5:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 18-A.Holmes for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 35:11 · NYJ 15 · Score 3-21
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
8. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 30:44 · LV 20 · Score 6-21
   (:44) #79 B.Qvale, #78 L.Douzable, #60 D.Ferguson reported as Eligible. 2-N.Folk 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 26:20 · NYJ 59 · Score 6-27
   (11:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 22-T.Jones for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 26:06 · NYJ 15 · Score 6-28
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 22:23 · LV 4 · Score 12-28
    (7:23) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 22:19 · LV 15 · Score 13-28
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
13. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 20:50 · NYJ 33 · Score 13-31
    (5:50) 11-S.Janikowski 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
14. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 12:55 · NYJ 28 · Score 13-34
    (12:55) 11-S.Janikowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
15. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 8:45 · LV 1 · Score 19-34
    (8:45) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 47-K.Davis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [96-D.Autry].
16. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 8:37 · LV 15 · Score 20-34
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.